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Climate Risk in Yerranderie, New South Wales

Yerranderie, New South Wales· Oberon
High Risk
Updated May 2026

Yerranderie faces significant climate risks, particularly from bushfires and flooding. Increasing temperatures and changing rainfall patterns are expected to exacerbate these risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

72/100
High

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
8.0
Heat
6.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Yerranderie

increasing

Flood

65/100

Yerranderie faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from localized heavy rainfall events and nearby waterways. The risk is projected to increase due to climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in river flow patterns
increasing

Bushfire

80/100

Yerranderie has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to extensive bushland. Hot, dry conditions exacerbate the risk, and climate change is expected to worsen these conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Drier vegetation
increasing

Heat

60/100

Yerranderie experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Yerranderie is not exposed to coastal risks due to its inland location.

stable

Wind

40/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

55/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

30/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

50/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Yerranderie

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

60/100

Yerranderie experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Yerranderie faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from localized heavy rainfall events and nearby waterways. The risk is projected to increase due to climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in river flow patterns
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Yerranderie is not exposed to coastal risks due to its inland location.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

80/100

Yerranderie has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to extensive bushland. Hot, dry conditions exacerbate the risk, and climate change is expected to worsen these conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Drier vegetation
  • ·Stronger winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

8.5

2050

9.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the elevated bushfire and flood risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to climate change impacts.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check bushfire and flood risk maps
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to extreme weather events
  • 3.Review insurance coverage and premiums
  • 4.Consider climate change projections when making long-term investment decisions

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Wollondilly River
Elevation Range
600-800m
Flood Zone
Low-lying areas near the Wollondilly River

Historical flood data indicates localized flooding during periods of heavy rainfall. Council flood maps provide detailed information on flood-prone areas.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to extensive bushland
Planning Overlay
NSW Rural Fire Service Bush Fire Prone Land Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area is designated as bushfire prone, requiring specific building standards and land management practices to mitigate the risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
28°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Average maximum temperatures in January are increasing, with more frequent heat stress events posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
150 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2019
bushfireMajor

The 2019-2020 bushfires significantly impacted the region, causing widespread damage and evacuations.

Source
2016
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas, disrupting transportation and damaging property.

Source
2013
bushfireModerate

A bushfire near Yerranderie threatened properties and required extensive firefighting efforts.

Source
2011
floodMinor

Minor flooding occurred due to heavy rainfall, affecting local roads and infrastructure.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood656.8(+0.3)7.1(+0.6)
bushfire808.4(+0.4)8.8(+0.8)
heat606.2(+0.2)6.5(+0.5)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Yerranderie is projected to experience an increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in bushfire and flood risk due to changing weather patterns.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Develop a community bushfire protection plan

Immediate

Create a detailed plan outlining evacuation routes, firebreaks, and community responsibilities during bushfire events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Improve flood management infrastructure

Near-term

Invest in drainage systems and flood barriers to mitigate the impact of heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement a heatwave action plan

Near-term

Establish cooling centers and provide support to vulnerable populations during heatwave events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote water conservation measures

Long-term

Encourage residents to reduce water consumption and implement water-efficient landscaping practices.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Yerranderie's Climate Risk Profile

Yerranderie, located in New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. The region's proximity to extensive bushland elevates the bushfire risk, while localized heavy rainfall events can lead to flooding.

Climate change projections indicate a rise in average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves, posing health risks to vulnerable populations. Changes in rainfall patterns are expected to increase the intensity of flooding events. The community needs to adapt to these changing conditions to protect lives and property.

Understanding the specific risks and implementing appropriate adaptation measures is crucial for Yerranderie's long-term resilience. This includes improving bushfire preparedness, enhancing flood management strategies, and implementing heatwave action plans. Community engagement and awareness are essential components of a successful adaptation strategy.

Long-term planning should consider the potential impacts of climate change on infrastructure, natural resources, and community well-being. Investing in climate-resilient infrastructure and promoting sustainable land management practices can help mitigate the risks and build a more resilient future for Yerranderie.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW Rural Fire Service · Oberon Council

Local Government Resources

Oberon Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Yerranderie?

The main climate change risks in Yerranderie are bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to changing weather patterns.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires?

You can prepare your property for bushfires by clearing vegetation around your home, installing firebreaks, and having a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a flood?

During a flood, you should move to higher ground, avoid driving through floodwaters, and follow the instructions of emergency services.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, you should stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity, and seek shelter in air-conditioned environments.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Yerranderie?

You can find more information about climate change in Yerranderie on the Oberon Council website, the NSW Department of Planning and Environment website, and the CSIRO website.

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