Climate Risk in Alexandra Hills, QLD

Alexandra Hills, Queensland· Redland· 4161
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Alexandra Hills faces a moderate overall climate risk. Key concerns include increasing flood and heat risks, along with moderate bushfire and coastal risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

58/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.2
Heat
7.0
Coastal
5.5

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Alexandra Hills

increasing

Flood

65/100

Alexandra Hills faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and overflowing of local waterways. The risk is exacerbated by increasing urban density and limited stormwater infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
stable

Bushfire

42/100

Bushfire risk in Alexandra Hills is moderate due to the presence of bushland areas and dry vegetation. Hot, dry conditions during the bushfire season increase the likelihood of fire ignition and spread.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

70/100

Alexandra Hills experiences a high risk from heatwaves and extreme temperatures. Urban areas retain heat, leading to higher nighttime temperatures and increased heat stress for residents.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

55/100

Alexandra Hills faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and storm surge. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable to inundation and erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
increasing

Wind

35/100

Notable wind risk — tropical cyclone wind fields

increasing

Storm

39/100

Notable storm risk — cyclones and thunderstorms

stable

Social

24/100

Moderate social stability — growth regions

increasing

Energy

42/100

Elevated energy costs — high cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Alexandra Hills

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Alexandra Hills experiences a high risk from heatwaves and extreme temperatures. Urban areas retain heat, leading to higher nighttime temperatures and increased heat stress for residents.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Increased humidity

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Alexandra Hills faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and overflowing of local waterways. The risk is exacerbated by increasing urban density and limited stormwater infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Inadequate drainage

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

55/100

Alexandra Hills faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and storm surge. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable to inundation and erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
  • ·Coastal erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.0

2050

6.5

Data source

bushfire Risk

42/100

Bushfire risk in Alexandra Hills is moderate due to the presence of bushland areas and dry vegetation. Hot, dry conditions during the bushfire season increase the likelihood of fire ignition and spread.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Wind

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

4.8

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and storm risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider the potential impacts of sea level rise.
  • 4.Review insurance coverage for extreme weather events.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Eprapah Creek
Elevation Range
5-50 meters
Flood Zone
Areas near Eprapah Creek are prone to flooding.

Historical flood events have impacted properties along Eprapah Creek. Council maintains flood maps and provides guidance on flood preparedness.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland reserves.
Planning Overlay
QFES Bushfire Prone Area Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Properties bordering bushland are at higher risk. Residents should maintain firebreaks and follow QFES guidelines.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
30.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Average January maximum temperature is increasing. Heat stress events are becoming more frequent and intense.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
3 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying areas may be exposed to sea level rise.
Erosion Risk
Minimal erosion risk.

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodMajor

The 2011 Brisbane floods caused significant inundation in Alexandra Hills, particularly along Eprapah Creek.

Source
2013
stormModerate

A severe thunderstorm caused widespread damage in Alexandra Hills, including fallen trees and power outages.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Alexandra Hills experienced a prolonged heatwave with record-breaking temperatures, leading to increased heat stress.

Source
2020
bushfireMinor

A bushfire near Alexandra Hills required QFES intervention to prevent it from spreading to residential areas.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood656.8(+0.3)7.2(+0.7)
bushfire424.3(+0.1)4.5(+0.3)
heat707.8(+0.8)8.5(+1.5)
coastal555.7(+0.2)6.0(+0.5)

By 2030, Alexandra Hills is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, driven primarily by rising temperatures and increased flood risk. Heatwaves will become more frequent and intense, while coastal areas will face greater exposure to sea level rise.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade Stormwater Infrastructure

Near-term

Invest in improved stormwater drainage systems to mitigate flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement Bushfire Mitigation Measures

Near-term

Create firebreaks and manage vegetation to reduce bushfire risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Implement strategies to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Protect Coastal Areas

Long-term

Implement coastal protection measures to address sea level rise and storm surge.

Est. cost: Very High

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Near-term

Raise awareness about climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Alexandra Hills's Climate Risk Profile

Alexandra Hills, located in the Redland City Council area, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's proximity to waterways and bushland elevates its risk profile, particularly concerning flooding and bushfires.

Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves pose a significant threat to public health, especially for vulnerable populations. The urban environment exacerbates the heat island effect, leading to higher nighttime temperatures and increased energy demand for cooling.

Coastal risks, including sea level rise and storm surge, also present a challenge for Alexandra Hills. Low-lying areas are susceptible to inundation, potentially impacting property values and infrastructure.

Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including investments in stormwater infrastructure, bushfire mitigation strategies, and community awareness programs. Residents should take proactive steps to protect their homes and prepare for extreme weather events.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · QFES · Redland City Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Alexandra Hills?

The main climate change risks in Alexandra Hills include increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and potential impacts from sea level rise.

How can I prepare my home for flooding?

You can prepare your home for flooding by elevating appliances, clearing gutters and downpipes, and having an emergency plan in place.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities.

Where can I find information about bushfire risks in Alexandra Hills?

You can find information about bushfire risks on the QFES website and the Redland City Council website.

Is my property at risk from sea level rise?

Properties in low-lying areas near the coast may be at risk from sea level rise. Consult the Redland City Council's coastal hazard maps for more information.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

Redland City Council is implementing various strategies to address climate change, including investing in stormwater infrastructure, promoting energy efficiency, and developing a climate resilience plan.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections