Is Kirwan, QLD Climate Safe? 2026 Assessment

Kirwan, Queensland· UNKNOWN
Moderate climate risk — address-specificUpdated 10 Mar 2026

Climate Safety Score

5.8/10

Moderate climate risk — address-specific

Key Facts

Climate Safety
Medium
Flood
Kirwan faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.
Bushfire
Kirwan has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Heat
Kirwan experiences high temperatures, particularly during summer. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Storm
Notable storm risk — tropical cyclones and severe thunderstorms in summer months
Postcode
4817
Highest high-risk exposure
14.9% of land (riverine flood)

Climate Safety Analysis

Kirwan in Queensland has an overall climate safety rating of Medium. This multi-hazard assessment combines flood, bushfire, heat, coastal, and storm risk data with climate projections to 2050 from CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology.

Key factors affecting Kirwan's climate safety include heat, flood, coastal. Each hazard is assessed independently and combined for an overall picture. Australia has warmed by approximately 1.5 °C since 1910, with flow-on effects to fire weather, extreme rainfall, and heatwave frequency.

Climate safety for property in Kirwan is not uniform — it varies by address. Factors such as elevation, distance to waterways, proximity to bushland, and local drainage all influence actual risk at a specific property. Two nearby properties can have materially different risk profiles.

For a complete property-specific climate safety report for Kirwan including address-level hazard mapping, insurance outlook, and adaptation recommendations, use the ClimateNest full analysis tool.

Kirwan (postcode 4817) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are riverine flood (14.9% of land in high-risk zones), bushfire (14% of land in high-risk zones), extreme wind (11.8% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Kirwan — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.

Local Hazard Evidence

Distance to BushlandAdjacent
BAL OverlayQFES Bushfire Prone Area Map
Nearest WaterwayRoss River
Flood ZoneMedium Risk
Avg January Max32 °C

Historical Events

2019
Moderate

Significant rainfall caused flooding in parts of Kirwan, affecting homes and businesses.

2018
Minor

A bushfire near Kirwan caused smoke haze and required firefighting efforts.

2015
Moderate

A prolonged heatwave affected Kirwan, with temperatures exceeding 35 degrees Celsius for several days.

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: High

Implement bushfire management strategies

Near-term

Clear vegetation around properties and create firebreaks to reduce the risk of bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Develop a heatwave response plan

Immediate

Establish cooling centers and provide support to vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Strengthen building codes

Long-term

Update building codes to ensure that new buildings are more resilient to extreme weather events.

Est. cost: High

Council & Emergency Services

Townsville City Council
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 10 March 2026

Explore Kirwan Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Kirwan safe from climate change?

No location in Australia is entirely immune to climate change impacts. Kirwan has an overall Medium climate risk rating. Understanding the specific hazards at your property address — not just the suburb average — provides the most reliable risk picture.

Which climate hazard poses the biggest risk in Kirwan?

The dominant hazard for Kirwan depends on geography and local environment. Proximity to waterways elevates flood risk, while proximity to bushland increases bushfire risk. ClimateNest's multi-hazard analysis identifies the highest-risk hazards for any specific address.

How does Kirwan compare to nearby suburbs for climate safety?

Nearby suburbs may have different climate risk profiles depending on elevation, vegetation cover, drainage patterns, and land use. ClimateNest allows comparison of climate safety scores across Queensland suburbs.

Should I be concerned about buying property in Kirwan?

Climate risk should be one factor in your decision, alongside price, location, and amenity. An informed buyer understands the specific risks at a property address and factors insurance costs and climate projections into their assessment of long-term value.

What climate projections should I know for Kirwan?

Key projections for Queensland from CSIRO include increased average temperatures, more frequent hot days, changes in rainfall seasonality, longer fire seasons, and potential increases in extreme rainfall intensity. These trends inform the long-term outlook for Kirwan.

What share of Kirwan is exposed to high riverine flood risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 14.9% of Kirwan in high-risk zones for riverine flood, with a further 61.3% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Kirwan Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Kirwan, Queensland, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections