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Climate Risk in Aldgate, SA

Aldgate, South Australia· 5154
Medium Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Aldgate, South Australia, faces moderate climate risks, primarily from bushfires and flooding. The risk of these hazards is projected to increase in the future due to climate change.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.5
Bushfire
6.8
Heat
4.2
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Aldgate

increasing

Flood

45/100

Aldgate has a moderate risk of flooding due to its location in the Adelaide Hills and proximity to creeks and waterways. Heavy rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
increasing

Bushfire

68/100

Aldgate faces a high risk of bushfires due to its location in the Adelaide Hills, surrounded by dense vegetation. Hot, dry summers and strong winds exacerbate the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Dry vegetation
increasing

Heat

42/100

Aldgate experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures during summer months. Heatwaves can pose a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Aldgate is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — gusty northerly winds

stable

Storm

24/100

Moderate storm risk — occasional thunderstorms

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — summer cooling

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Aldgate

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

42/100

Aldgate experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures during summer months. Heatwaves can pose a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.7

2050

5.2

Data source

flood Risk

45/100

Aldgate has a moderate risk of flooding due to its location in the Adelaide Hills and proximity to creeks and waterways. Heavy rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.0

2050

5.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Aldgate is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

68/100

Aldgate faces a high risk of bushfires due to its location in the Adelaide Hills, surrounded by dense vegetation. Hot, dry summers and strong winds exacerbate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased ignition sources

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.2

2050

7.8

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Home insurance premiums may be higher in Aldgate due to the risk of bushfires and flooding.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience some price impact due to climate change concerns.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to bushfires and floods.
  • 3.Obtain adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Consider future climate change impacts.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Aldgate Creek
Elevation Range
340-400m
Flood Zone
Areas near Aldgate Creek are susceptible to flooding.

Local residents have reported instances of flash flooding following heavy rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Surrounded by bushland
Planning Overlay
Bushfire Management Area
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The Adelaide Hills region is known for its high bushfire risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
28.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
2.5 days

While generally cooler than Adelaide, Aldgate still experiences heatwaves.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
20 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2019
bushfireModerate

Bushfire in the Adelaide Hills, impacting areas near Aldgate. Several properties were threatened, and residents were evacuated.

Source
2016
stormModerate

Severe storm with heavy rainfall and strong winds caused flash flooding and property damage in Aldgate.

Source
2013
bushfireMinor

Small bushfire near Aldgate, quickly contained by fire services.

Source
2009
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave with record-breaking temperatures impacted Aldgate and surrounding areas.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood454.7(+0.2)5.0(+0.5)
bushfire687.2(+0.4)7.7(+0.9)
heat424.5(+0.3)4.9(+0.7)
coastal101.01.0

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Aldgate is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, with bushfire risk increasing more significantly than other hazards.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Bushfire Preparedness Plan

Immediate

Develop and implement a comprehensive bushfire preparedness plan for your property, including clearing vegetation, maintaining firebreaks, and having an evacuation plan.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Flood Mitigation Measures

Near-term

Implement flood mitigation measures such as installing drainage systems, raising vulnerable equipment, and protecting property from water damage.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Preparedness

Near-term

Prepare for heatwaves by ensuring access to cooling, staying hydrated, and checking on vulnerable neighbors.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Resilience Building

Long-term

Participate in community resilience building initiatives to enhance preparedness and response to climate-related hazards.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Aldgate's Climate Risk Profile

Aldgate, nestled in the Adelaide Hills, is a suburb that enjoys a leafy environment but is also exposed to certain climate-related risks. The primary concerns for Aldgate are bushfires and flooding, both of which are influenced by the region's topography and climate patterns.

The risk of bushfires is significant due to the surrounding dense vegetation and hot, dry summers. Climate change is expected to exacerbate this risk, with longer fire seasons and more intense fires. Residents need to be prepared and maintain their properties to reduce fire hazards.

Flooding is another concern, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. Creeks and waterways in the area can overflow, leading to flash flooding. Urban development and changes in land use can also contribute to increased flood risk.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. While Aldgate is generally cooler than the Adelaide plains, residents should still take precautions during heatwaves.

Coastal risks are minimal due to Aldgate's inland location.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · CFS · Environment SA

Local Government Resources

City of Mount Barker

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Aldgate?

The main climate change risks in Aldgate are bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires in Aldgate?

You can prepare your property for bushfires by clearing vegetation, maintaining firebreaks, and having an evacuation plan. Contact the CFS for more information.

What should I do during a heatwave in Aldgate?

During a heatwave, stay hydrated, seek cooling, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Aldgate?

You can find information about flood risks in Aldgate on the City of Mount Barker website and the Environment SA website.

Is climate change going to affect property values in Aldgate?

Climate change may have some impact on property values in Aldgate, particularly in areas that are more vulnerable to bushfires or flooding. It's important to consider these risks when buying or selling property.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Aldgate, use our analysis tool.

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