Climate Risk Assessment for Campbell Town, TAS

Campbell Town, Tasmania
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Campbell Town faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with a lower risk from bushfires. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly flooding and heatwaves, in the coming decades. Coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Campbell Town

increasing

Flood

65/100

Campbell Town faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Elizabeth River. Riverine flooding can occur after periods of heavy rainfall.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in river flow patterns
stable

Bushfire

40/100

The area around Campbell Town has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding grasslands and bushland. Hot, dry conditions during summer increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
increasing

Heat

50/100

Campbell Town is experiencing an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, particularly during summer.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwave events
stable

Coastal

10/100

Campbell Town is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·Not applicable
stable

Wind

39/100

Notable wind risk — westerly wind storms

stable

Storm

28/100

Moderate storm risk — occasional severe weather

stable

Social

14/100

Lower social stability — regional isolation

increasing

Energy

32/100

Moderate energy costs — winter heating

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Campbell Town

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

50/100

Campbell Town is experiencing an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, particularly during summer.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwave events

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Campbell Town faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Elizabeth River. Riverine flooding can occur after periods of heavy rainfall.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in river flow patterns

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Campbell Town is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Not applicable

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

The area around Campbell Town has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding grasslands and bushland. Hot, dry conditions during summer increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.2

2050

4.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Consider potential impacts of climate change on property value.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Elizabeth River
Elevation Range
200-220m
Flood Zone
Areas near the Elizabeth River are designated as flood zones.

Historical flood events have impacted properties and infrastructure in Campbell Town.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Within 1km of town boundaries
Planning Overlay
Bushfire-prone area overlays are in effect.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Vegetation management is crucial to reduce bushfire risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
25°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
2 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in the region.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
75 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2016
floodModerate

Significant flooding occurred in Campbell Town following heavy rainfall, impacting several properties and businesses.

Source
2013
bushfireMinor

A bushfire near Campbell Town caused some property damage and required emergency response.

Source
2009
floodModerate

Flooding in Campbell Town resulted in road closures and property damage.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Record high temperatures were recorded in Campbell Town during a prolonged heatwave event.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire404.1(+0.1)4.3(+0.3)
heat505.4(+0.4)5.9(+0.9)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Campbell Town is projected to experience an increase in flood and heatwave risks under a high emissions scenario. Bushfire risk is expected to remain relatively stable. Coastal risks will remain minimal.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade existing flood defenses and implement new measures to protect properties and infrastructure from flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Vegetation Management

Near-term

Implement vegetation management strategies to reduce bushfire hazards in surrounding areas.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Heatwave Preparedness Plan

Immediate

Develop and implement a heatwave preparedness plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Conduct community awareness programs to educate residents about climate change risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Campbell Town's Climate Risk Profile

Campbell Town, located in the Midlands region of Tasmania, is susceptible to several climate-related risks. The primary concern is flooding from the Elizabeth River, which can inundate low-lying areas after heavy rainfall events. Climate change is projected to increase the intensity of rainfall, leading to more frequent and severe flooding.

Bushfire risk is moderate, with surrounding grasslands and bushland posing a threat during dry summer months. While not as immediate a threat as flooding, bushfires can still impact the community and environment. Heatwaves are also becoming more frequent and intense, posing health risks to vulnerable populations.

Coastal risks are minimal due to Campbell Town's inland location. However, the broader region may experience indirect impacts from coastal changes.

Adaptation measures are crucial to mitigate these risks. These include improving flood defenses, managing vegetation to reduce bushfire hazards, and implementing heatwave preparedness plans. Community awareness and education are also essential to building resilience to climate change impacts.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Tasmanian State Emergency Service · Fire Service Tasmania · Northern Midlands Council

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Campbell Town?

The main climate change risks in Campbell Town are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Flooding is the most immediate concern due to the Elizabeth River, while bushfires pose a threat during dry summer months. Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing health risks.

How will climate change affect property values in Campbell Town?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions due to increased flood risk. Insurance premiums may also increase, further impacting property values.

What can I do to protect my property from flooding in Campbell Town?

Consider installing flood barriers, elevating your property, and improving drainage. Ensure your property is adequately insured against flood damage.

What should I do during a heatwave in Campbell Town?

Stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Campbell Town?

You can find more information on the Northern Midlands Council website, the Tasmanian State Emergency Service website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections