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Climate Risk in Forth, Tasmania

Forth, Tasmania· 7310
Medium Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Forth, Tasmania, faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, potentially impacting property values and community well-being. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
6.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Forth

increasing

Flood

60/100

Forth faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from the Forth River. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding
increasing

Bushfire

40/100

Bushfire risk in Forth is moderate due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

50/100

Forth experiences moderate heat risk. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, impacting vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
increasing

Coastal

60/100

Forth faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards. Sea level rise and storm surges could lead to increased coastal erosion and inundation.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
stable

Wind

39/100

Notable wind risk — westerly wind storms

stable

Storm

28/100

Moderate storm risk — occasional severe weather

stable

Social

14/100

Lower social stability — regional isolation

increasing

Energy

32/100

Moderate energy costs — winter heating

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Forth

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

50/100

Forth experiences moderate heat risk. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, impacting vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Forth faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from the Forth River. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

60/100

Forth faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards. Sea level rise and storm surges could lead to increased coastal erosion and inundation.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

Bushfire risk in Forth is moderate due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Vegetation density

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate-related risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price depreciation.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire overlays.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to climate hazards.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making property decisions.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Forth River
Elevation Range
5-50 meters
Flood Zone
Areas near the Forth River are prone to flooding.

Historical flood events have impacted properties near the river. Improved drainage and flood defenses are needed.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to forested areas
Planning Overlay
Check Tasmania Fire Service for bushfire prone areas.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents should maintain defensible space around their properties and have a bushfire survival plan.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
22.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
1.2 days

Heatwaves can strain infrastructure and impact public health. Cooling centers and community awareness programs are important.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
2 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying areas are vulnerable to sea level rise.
Erosion Risk
Coastal erosion is a concern in some areas.

Historical Climate Events

2016
floodModerate

Significant flooding occurred in the Forth River, impacting low-lying properties.

Source
2013
bushfireMinor

Bushfires near Forth caused property damage and evacuations.

Source
2009
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in heat stress and health impacts.

Source
2018
stormModerate

Severe storms caused power outages and property damage in Forth.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire404.3(+0.3)4.7(+0.7)
heat505.7(+0.7)6.2(+1.2)
coastal606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)

By 2030, Forth is projected to experience increased flooding, bushfire risk, and more frequent heatwaves. Sea level rise will exacerbate coastal erosion.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems and construct flood barriers to protect properties from riverine flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, including vegetation management and community education programs.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Heatwave Action Plan

Near-term

Develop a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Coastal Protection

Long-term

Implement coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and beach nourishment, to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and storm surges.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

About Forth's Climate Risk Profile

Forth, located in Tasmania, is exposed to a range of climate-related risks. The most significant threats include flooding from the Forth River, bushfires due to surrounding vegetation, increased heatwave frequency and intensity, and coastal hazards such as sea level rise and storm surges.

Climate change projections indicate that Forth will experience higher temperatures, altered rainfall patterns, and rising sea levels. These changes are expected to increase the frequency and severity of extreme weather events, posing challenges to infrastructure, property, and public health.

Flooding is a major concern for Forth, with the potential for increased rainfall intensity to overwhelm existing drainage systems and cause riverine flooding. Bushfire risk is also elevated due to drier conditions and increased vegetation flammability. Heatwaves are projected to become more frequent and intense, particularly impacting vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Coastal hazards, including sea level rise and storm surges, pose a threat to properties and infrastructure located near the coast. Erosion and inundation could lead to significant damage and displacement. Adapting to these changing conditions will require proactive measures to mitigate risks and enhance community resilience.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Tasmania Fire Service · State Emergency Service

Local Government Resources

UNKNOWN

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Forth?

Forth faces risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards, all of which are expected to worsen with climate change.

How will climate change impact property values in Forth?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price depreciation due to increased climate risks.

What can residents do to prepare for climate change?

Residents can take steps to protect their properties from flooding and bushfires, develop a heatwave action plan, and support community resilience initiatives.

Where can I find more information about flood risks in Forth?

Flood maps and information are available from the State Emergency Service and the local council.

What is the local council doing to address climate change?

The local council is developing a climate strategy to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Forth, use our analysis tool.

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30-120%
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