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Climate Risk in Lindisfarne, Tasmania

Lindisfarne, Tasmania· Clarence· 7015
Medium Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Lindisfarne faces increasing risks from flooding, coastal inundation, and heatwaves due to climate change. Bushfire risk is present but relatively lower. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
3.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
6.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Lindisfarne

increasing

Flood

65/100

Lindisfarne faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Derwent River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
increasing

Bushfire

30/100

Bushfire risk in Lindisfarne is relatively low compared to other areas in Tasmania, but still present due to nearby bushland. Drier conditions could increase this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load
increasing

Heat

50/100

Lindisfarne is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This will impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

60/100

Coastal inundation and erosion are increasing threats to Lindisfarne due to sea level rise. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
stable

Wind

39/100

Notable wind risk — westerly wind storms

stable

Storm

28/100

Moderate storm risk — occasional severe weather

stable

Social

14/100

Lower social stability — regional isolation

increasing

Energy

32/100

Moderate energy costs — winter heating

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Lindisfarne

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

50/100

Lindisfarne is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This will impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Lindisfarne faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Derwent River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

60/100

Coastal inundation and erosion are increasing threats to Lindisfarne due to sea level rise. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

30/100

Bushfire risk in Lindisfarne is relatively low compared to other areas in Tasmania, but still present due to nearby bushland. Drier conditions could increase this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load
  • ·Wind patterns

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

3.5

2050

4.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in high-risk areas.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider the potential impacts of sea level rise.
  • 4.Evaluate the energy efficiency of the property.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Derwent River
Elevation Range
0-30 meters
Flood Zone
Areas near the Derwent River are designated as flood zones.

Historical flood events have impacted low-lying areas of Lindisfarne.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Within 1km of bushland reserves.
Planning Overlay
Bushfire-prone area overlays exist in parts of Lindisfarne.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents should maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
22°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
2 days

Elderly residents are particularly vulnerable during heatwaves.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
0.5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying areas are exposed to sea level rise.
Erosion Risk
Some coastal areas are at risk of erosion.

Historical Climate Events

1972
floodModerate

Major flooding event impacted the Derwent River, affecting low-lying areas of Lindisfarne.

Source
2013
bushfireMinor

Bushfires in the surrounding areas caused smoke haze in Lindisfarne.

Source
2018
stormModerate

Severe storms caused flash flooding and power outages in Lindisfarne.

Source
2020
heatwaveModerate

Record-breaking heatwave impacted Tasmania, with Lindisfarne experiencing high temperatures.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire303.3(+0.3)3.5(+0.5)
heat505.4(+0.4)5.8(+0.8)
coastal606.6(+0.6)7.2(+1.2)

By 2030, Lindisfarne is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in flood and coastal risks due to sea level rise and more intense rainfall events. Heatwave frequency and intensity are also expected to rise.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flash flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Coastal Protection Measures

Near-term

Construct sea walls and other coastal defenses to protect against sea level rise and storm surges.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Promote Energy Efficiency

Long-term

Encourage energy-efficient building design and retrofitting to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and lower energy costs.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Develop Heat Action Plans

Immediate

Implement heat action plans to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Ensure residents are well-prepared for bushfires through community education programs and property maintenance guidelines.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Lindisfarne's Climate Risk Profile

Lindisfarne, a suburb of Hobart, Tasmania, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's proximity to the Derwent River and coastal location make it susceptible to flooding and coastal inundation. Rising sea levels and more intense rainfall events are expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades.

Bushfire risk, while lower than in some other Tasmanian regions, is still a concern, particularly during dry periods. Increased temperatures and drier conditions could lead to a higher frequency of bushfires in the surrounding areas.

Heatwaves are also projected to become more frequent and intense, posing a threat to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban environment can amplify the effects of heatwaves, creating urban heat islands.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies. Mitigation efforts focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions, while adaptation strategies aim to minimize the impacts of climate change on the community. These strategies include improving drainage infrastructure, implementing coastal protection measures, and promoting energy efficiency.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Tasmanian State Emergency Service · Tasmanian Fire Service · Clarence City Council

Local Government Resources

Clarence City Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Lindisfarne?

The main climate change risks in Lindisfarne are flooding, coastal inundation, heatwaves, and bushfire risk.

How will sea level rise affect Lindisfarne?

Sea level rise is expected to increase the frequency and severity of coastal inundation, particularly in low-lying areas.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Lindisfarne?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors during heatwaves.

Is my property at risk of flooding in Lindisfarne?

Check flood maps and historical flood data to assess your property's flood risk. Contact the Clarence City Council for more information.

How can I reduce my carbon footprint in Lindisfarne?

Reduce your energy consumption, use public transport, and support local businesses that prioritize sustainability.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The Clarence City Council is developing and implementing climate strategies to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. Check their website for more information.

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