Flood Risk in Lower Turners Marsh, TAS: What Buyers & Owners Need to Know

Lower Turners Marsh, Tasmania
Moderate flood risk — riverine flooding in catchment areasUpdated 19 Sept 2026

Flood Risk Score

2.1/10

Moderate flood risk — riverine flooding in catchment areas

Key Facts

Flood Risk
Moderate flood risk — riverine flooding in catchment areas
Trend
increasing
Suburb
Lower Turners Marsh, TAS
Assessment
Address-level recommended
Postcode
7267
Highest high-risk exposure
9.7% of land (surface flood)

Flood Risk Analysis

Lower Turners Marsh in Tasmania is situated within a region where flood risk is influenced by proximity to waterways, local topography, and catchment characteristics. The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) maintains flood warning systems and river height data for waterways across Tasmania, which are essential for understanding local flood behaviour.

Flood risk in Lower Turners Marsh varies by property — even within a single street, elevation differences of one to two metres can significantly change flood exposure. Local council flood maps and overlays identify flood-prone land, and properties within designated flood zones may have specific building and insurance requirements under Australian planning schemes.

Flood insurance costs in Lower Turners Marsh vary significantly based on the property's flood zone classification and elevation. Annual flood insurance premiums typically range from approximately $1,500 for low-risk properties up to $10,000 or more for properties in high-risk flood zones. The 1% Annual Exceedance Probability (1% AEP) flood level — commonly referred to as the 1-in-100-year flood — is the standard reference used by Australian insurers and councils to define flood risk.

Climate projections from CSIRO indicate that intense rainfall events are likely to become more frequent across many regions of Australia through 2050, which may increase flood risk in areas like Lower Turners Marsh that receive inflows from upstream catchments or are located in low-lying terrain.

The Tas LISTmap Flood Data provides publicly accessible flood hazard mapping for properties across Tasmania, including Lower Turners Marsh. These maps show flood extent, depth, and probability classifications that inform planning decisions and insurance assessments.

For a property-specific assessment of flood risk at your Lower Turners Marsh address — including elevation data, flood zone mapping, and insurance cost estimates — use the ClimateNest full analysis tool. General suburb data cannot replace a site-specific evaluation.

Lower Turners Marsh sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for flood risk. 5% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk flood zones and 82.7% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Lower Turners Marsh.

Lower Turners Marsh (postcode 7267) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are surface flood (9.7% of land in high-risk zones), extreme wind (8% of land in high-risk zones), bushfire (7.6% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Lower Turners Marsh — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.

Explore Lower Turners Marsh Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Lower Turners Marsh in a flood zone?

Flood zoning in Lower Turners Marsh varies by property location. Some parts of the suburb may be within designated flood overlay areas while others are not. Check your specific address with ClimateNest and review your local council flood maps — including the Tas LISTmap Flood Data — for definitive flood zone information.

What does the flood risk score mean for Lower Turners Marsh?

The flood risk score for Lower Turners Marsh reflects the suburb's overall exposure to flooding based on proximity to waterways, topography, historical flood records, and climate projections. A higher score indicates greater potential flood impact, but property-level risk depends on your specific address elevation and drainage characteristics.

What flood insurance costs can I expect in Lower Turners Marsh?

Flood insurance premiums in Lower Turners Marsh typically range from approximately $1,500 per year for low-risk properties to $10,000 or more for properties in high-risk flood zones. The 1% AEP (1-in-100-year) flood level is the standard insurers use to assess risk. ClimateNest provides address-level insurance cost estimates for properties across Lower Turners Marsh.

Does flood risk affect property values in Lower Turners Marsh?

Yes, flood risk can affect property values in Lower Turners Marsh. Properties in mapped flood zones may experience lower buyer demand and reduced valuations. Lenders increasingly assess climate risk, including flood exposure, as part of mortgage risk evaluation.

Can I reduce my flood risk in Lower Turners Marsh?

Flood risk can be reduced through measures such as raising floor levels above the 1% AEP flood level, installing flood-resistant building materials, maintaining adequate drainage and overland flow paths, using flood barriers, and ensuring stormwater systems are clear. Consult your local council for Lower Turners Marsh-specific flood management guidelines.

How does elevation affect flood risk in Lower Turners Marsh?

Elevation is a critical factor in flood risk. Properties at higher elevations within Lower Turners Marsh typically have lower flood exposure than those near waterways or in low-lying areas. BOM river height data combined with property elevation provides the most accurate flood risk picture.

How does flood risk affect property value in Lower Turners Marsh?

Flood risk can negatively affect property values in Lower Turners Marsh through higher insurance costs, reduced buyer demand, and potential lender restrictions in high-risk areas. However, properties with verified low flood risk within the same suburb may attract a premium as climate risk awareness grows among buyers.

Where can I find official flood maps for Lower Turners Marsh?

Official flood maps for Lower Turners Marsh are available through the Tas LISTmap Flood Data and your local council. These resources show flood hazard extent, depth, and probability for properties across Tasmania. For real-time flood warnings in Lower Turners Marsh, monitor BOM alerts and https://www.fire.tas.gov.au.

What share of Lower Turners Marsh is exposed to high surface flood risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 9.7% of Lower Turners Marsh in high-risk zones for surface flood, with a further 75.1% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Lower Turners Marsh Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Lower Turners Marsh, Tasmania, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections