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Climate Risk Profile: North Hobart, TAS

North Hobart, Tasmania· 7000
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

North Hobart faces moderate climate risks, primarily related to increasing heatwave intensity and potential flooding from heavy rainfall. Bushfire risk is present but relatively lower compared to other hazards. Coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.5
Bushfire
3.8
Heat
6.5
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for North Hobart

increasing

Flood

45/100

North Hobart faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and the proximity to the Hobart Rivulet. Localized flooding can occur in low-lying areas and near drainage systems.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development increasing runoff
stable

Bushfire

38/100

The bushfire risk in North Hobart is moderate due to its proximity to bushland areas. While the immediate urban area is less vulnerable, surrounding areas can pose a threat during dry periods and high winds.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
increasing

Heat

65/100

North Hobart is experiencing increasing heatwave frequency and intensity. The urban heat island effect exacerbates the impact, particularly for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Coastal risks are low in North Hobart due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats to this suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Minimal coastal exposure
stable

Wind

39/100

Notable wind risk — westerly wind storms

stable

Storm

28/100

Moderate storm risk — occasional severe weather

stable

Social

14/100

Lower social stability — regional isolation

increasing

Energy

32/100

Moderate energy costs — winter heating

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for North Hobart

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

65/100

North Hobart is experiencing increasing heatwave frequency and intensity. The urban heat island effect exacerbates the impact, particularly for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

flood Risk

45/100

North Hobart faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and the proximity to the Hobart Rivulet. Localized flooding can occur in low-lying areas and near drainage systems.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development increasing runoff

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.0

2050

5.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Coastal risks are low in North Hobart due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats to this suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Minimal coastal exposure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

38/100

The bushfire risk in North Hobart is moderate due to its proximity to bushland areas. While the immediate urban area is less vulnerable, surrounding areas can pose a threat during dry periods and high winds.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.0

2050

4.2

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to increased flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property drainage and potential for water damage.
  • 3.Consider the impact of heatwaves on property comfort and energy costs.
  • 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related risks.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Hobart Rivulet
Elevation Range
40-150 meters
Flood Zone
Areas near the Hobart Rivulet are susceptible to flooding.

Localized flooding can occur during periods of heavy rainfall, particularly in areas with poor drainage.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to Wellington Park.
Planning Overlay
Check Tasmania Fire Service maps for specific bushfire-prone areas.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Properties bordering bushland areas are at higher risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
22°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
2.5 days

Urban areas experience higher temperatures due to the urban heat island effect.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
3.5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2018
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas of North Hobart.

Source
2013
bushfireMinor

Bushfires in the surrounding areas caused smoke haze and increased fire risk in North Hobart.

Source
2009
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions led to increased heat stress and health concerns.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood454.8(+0.3)5.1(+0.6)
bushfire384.0(+0.2)4.1(+0.3)
heat657.3(+0.8)8.0(+1.5)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, North Hobart is projected to experience a notable increase in heatwave frequency and intensity, along with a slight increase in flood risk due to more intense rainfall events. Bushfire risk will remain relatively stable. Coastal risks will remain low.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Urban Greening Strategies

Near-term

Increase tree cover and green spaces to mitigate the urban heat island effect and provide shade.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement bushfire management plans and educate residents on fire safety measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Develop Heat Action Plans

Immediate

Create heat action plans to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About North Hobart's Climate Risk Profile

North Hobart, located in Tasmania, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns are rising temperatures, leading to more frequent and intense heatwaves, and increased rainfall intensity, which elevates the risk of flooding.

The suburb's proximity to bushland also poses a moderate bushfire risk, particularly during dry periods. While not directly on the coast, changes in weather patterns can indirectly affect the region.

Climate projections indicate that these risks will likely intensify in the coming decades. Adaptation measures are crucial to protect the community and infrastructure. These include improving drainage systems, implementing urban greening strategies to mitigate the urban heat island effect, and enhancing bushfire preparedness.

Residents should stay informed about local weather conditions and emergency alerts. Property owners should consider measures to protect their homes from flooding and bushfires. Community-level initiatives can also play a significant role in building resilience to climate change.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Tasmania SES · Tasmania Fire Service · Hobart City Council

Local Government Resources

Hobart City Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in North Hobart?

The main risks are increasing heatwave frequency and intensity, and increased flood risk due to more intense rainfall events. Bushfire risk is also a concern.

How will climate change affect property values in North Hobart?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value. Increased insurance premiums are also possible.

What can I do to protect my home from flooding?

Ensure proper drainage around your property, consider installing flood barriers, and review your insurance coverage.

How can I prepare for heatwaves in North Hobart?

Stay informed about weather forecasts, stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Where can I find information about bushfire risks in North Hobart?

Check the Tasmania Fire Service website for bushfire-prone area maps and fire safety information.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in North Hobart, use our analysis tool.

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