Is Goorianawa, TAS Climate Safe? 2026 Assessment

Goorianawa, Tasmania· Warrumbungle Shire Council
Climate risk is high — address assessment recommendedUpdated 29 May 2026

Climate Safety Score

7.2/10

Climate risk is high — address assessment recommended

Key Facts

Climate Safety
High
Flood
Goorianawa faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine flooding.
Bushfire
The area surrounding Goorianawa is prone to bushfires, particularly during dry and windy conditions. The risk is exacerbated by the presence of extensive bushland.
Heat
Goorianawa is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Storm
Moderate storm risk — westerly wind storms and occasional severe weather
Postcode
7316
Highest high-risk exposure
10.1% of land (surface flood)

Climate Safety Analysis

Goorianawa in Tasmania has an overall climate safety rating of High. This multi-hazard assessment combines flood, bushfire, heat, coastal, and storm risk data with climate projections to 2050 from CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology.

Key factors affecting Goorianawa's climate safety include heat, flood, bushfire. Each hazard is assessed independently and combined for an overall picture. Australia has warmed by approximately 1.5 °C since 1910, with flow-on effects to fire weather, extreme rainfall, and heatwave frequency.

Climate safety for property in Goorianawa is not uniform — it varies by address. Factors such as elevation, distance to waterways, proximity to bushland, and local drainage all influence actual risk at a specific property. Two nearby properties can have materially different risk profiles.

For a complete property-specific climate safety report for Goorianawa including address-level hazard mapping, insurance outlook, and adaptation recommendations, use the ClimateNest full analysis tool.

Goorianawa (postcode 7316) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are surface flood (10.1% of land in high-risk zones), riverine flood (9% of land in high-risk zones), extreme wind (7.3% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Goorianawa — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.

Local Hazard Evidence

Distance to BushlandAdjacent to Pilliga Forest
BAL OverlayRFS Bush Fire Prone Land Map
Nearest WaterwayCastlereagh River
Flood ZoneLow-lying areas near the river
Avg January Max34.5 °C

Historical Events

2019
Major

Severe bushfires impacted the region, causing property damage and evacuations.

2017
Moderate

Heavy rainfall led to flooding along the Castlereagh River, affecting low-lying areas.

2013
Moderate

Prolonged heatwave conditions resulted in heat stress and increased demand for emergency services.

2009
Moderate

Bushfires threatened properties in the area, requiring firefighting efforts.

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Improve Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement comprehensive bushfire management strategies, including fuel reduction, community education, and improved firefighting capabilities.

Est. cost: High

Enhance Heatwave Resilience

Near-term

Develop heatwave action plans, establish cooling centers, and promote public awareness of heat-related health risks.

Est. cost: Medium

Upgrade Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in improved drainage infrastructure, construct flood levees, and implement land-use planning that avoids development in flood-prone areas.

Est. cost: High

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water-efficient practices in homes and businesses to reduce water stress during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Council & Emergency Services

Warrumbungle Shire Council
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 29 May 2026

Explore Goorianawa Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Goorianawa safe from climate change?

No location in Australia is entirely immune to climate change impacts. Goorianawa has an overall High climate risk rating. Understanding the specific hazards at your property address — not just the suburb average — provides the most reliable risk picture.

Which climate hazard poses the biggest risk in Goorianawa?

The dominant hazard for Goorianawa depends on geography and local environment. Proximity to waterways elevates flood risk, while proximity to bushland increases bushfire risk. ClimateNest's multi-hazard analysis identifies the highest-risk hazards for any specific address.

How does Goorianawa compare to nearby suburbs for climate safety?

Nearby suburbs may have different climate risk profiles depending on elevation, vegetation cover, drainage patterns, and land use. ClimateNest allows comparison of climate safety scores across Tasmania suburbs.

Should I be concerned about buying property in Goorianawa?

Climate risk should be one factor in your decision, alongside price, location, and amenity. An informed buyer understands the specific risks at a property address and factors insurance costs and climate projections into their assessment of long-term value.

What climate projections should I know for Goorianawa?

Key projections for Tasmania from CSIRO include increased average temperatures, more frequent hot days, changes in rainfall seasonality, longer fire seasons, and potential increases in extreme rainfall intensity. These trends inform the long-term outlook for Goorianawa.

What share of Goorianawa is exposed to high surface flood risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 10.1% of Goorianawa in high-risk zones for surface flood, with a further 75.5% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Goorianawa Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Goorianawa, Tasmania, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections