Climate Risk in Taranna, Tasmania

Taranna, Tasmania· 7180
Medium Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Taranna faces a moderate climate risk, primarily driven by bushfire and coastal hazards. Increasing temperatures and sea levels are expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.0
Bushfire
6.0
Heat
3.0
Coastal
8.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Taranna

increasing

Flood

40/100

Taranna faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. Low-lying areas are more vulnerable.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
increasing

Bushfire

60/100

Taranna has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and dry vegetation. Hot, dry summers increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Drier vegetation
increasing

Heat

30/100

Taranna experiences a relatively low risk from heatwaves compared to other regions, but increasing temperatures could pose a threat to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
increasing

Coastal

80/100

Taranna faces a significant coastal risk due to its location on the coast. Sea level rise and storm surges pose a threat to infrastructure and property.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
stable

Wind

39/100

Notable wind risk — westerly wind storms

stable

Storm

28/100

Moderate storm risk — occasional severe weather

stable

Social

14/100

Lower social stability — regional isolation

increasing

Energy

32/100

Moderate energy costs — winter heating

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Taranna

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

30/100

Taranna experiences a relatively low risk from heatwaves compared to other regions, but increasing temperatures could pose a threat to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

3.5

2050

4.0

Data source

flood Risk

40/100

Taranna faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. Low-lying areas are more vulnerable.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

coastal Risk

80/100

Taranna faces a significant coastal risk due to its location on the coast. Sea level rise and storm surges pose a threat to infrastructure and property.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
  • ·Coastal erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

8.5

2050

9.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

60/100

Taranna has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland and dry vegetation. Hot, dry summers increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Drier vegetation
  • ·Stronger winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the elevated risk of bushfires and coastal hazards.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to climate change impacts.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check for flood and bushfire risk assessments.
  • 2.Review insurance coverage and premiums.
  • 3.Assess the property's vulnerability to coastal erosion.
  • 4.Inquire about local council's climate adaptation plans.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Norfolk Bay
Elevation Range
0-50 meters
Flood Zone
Coastal and Riverine Flood Zones

Low-lying areas near the coast are most vulnerable to flooding during storm surges and heavy rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland
Planning Overlay
Bushfire Prone Area Overlay
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area is designated as a bushfire-prone area, requiring specific building standards for new constructions.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
23.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
1.2 days

While heatwaves are not as frequent as in other parts of Australia, increasing temperatures pose a risk to vulnerable populations.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
0.5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
High
Erosion Risk
Moderate

Historical Climate Events

2013
bushfireModerate

Bushfires impacted the Tasman Peninsula, including areas near Taranna, causing property damage and evacuations.

Source
2018
stormModerate

Severe storms caused coastal erosion and flooding in Taranna, damaging infrastructure and properties.

Source
2020
floodMinor

Heavy rainfall led to localized flooding in low-lying areas of Taranna, disrupting traffic and causing minor property damage.

Source
2023
bushfireModerate

Bushfire near Taranna required residents to be prepared for potential evacuation.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood404.3(+0.3)4.6(+0.6)
bushfire606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
heat303.2(+0.2)3.5(+0.5)
coastal808.7(+0.7)9.5(+1.5)

By 2030, Taranna is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with the most significant impacts from coastal hazards and bushfires. Sea level rise and increased storm intensity will exacerbate coastal erosion and inundation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures will increase the risk of bushfires.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Develop a Bushfire Management Plan

Immediate

Create a comprehensive bushfire management plan for your property, including clearing vegetation, installing firebreaks, and preparing an evacuation plan.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Invest in Coastal Protection Measures

Near-term

Consider investing in coastal protection measures, such as seawalls or vegetation buffers, to protect your property from erosion and inundation.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Advocate for improvements to local drainage infrastructure to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Install Energy-Efficient Cooling Systems

Long-term

Install energy-efficient cooling systems, such as air conditioners or fans, to mitigate the impact of heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Participate in Community Education Programs

Near-term

Attend community education programs on climate change adaptation and disaster preparedness to learn how to protect yourself and your property.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Taranna's Climate Risk Profile

Taranna, Tasmania, is a suburb that will face increasing climate-related challenges in the coming decades. The primary risks are associated with bushfires, coastal hazards, and, to a lesser extent, flooding and heatwaves. The region's proximity to bushland makes it particularly vulnerable to bushfires during hot, dry summers. Coastal areas are susceptible to erosion and inundation due to rising sea levels and storm surges.

Climate change projections indicate that Taranna will experience higher average temperatures, more frequent heatwaves, and altered rainfall patterns. These changes will likely lead to drier vegetation, increasing the risk and intensity of bushfires. Sea level rise will continue to threaten coastal infrastructure and properties, potentially leading to displacement and economic losses.

Flooding events, while less frequent than bushfires and coastal hazards, can still pose a significant risk to low-lying areas. Heavy rainfall events can overwhelm drainage systems, leading to flash flooding. The increasing intensity of rainfall due to climate change may exacerbate this risk.

Residents and property owners in Taranna should take proactive measures to mitigate these risks. This includes implementing bushfire safety measures, such as clearing vegetation around homes and preparing emergency evacuation plans. Coastal residents should consider investing in coastal protection measures and ensuring adequate insurance coverage. Staying informed about weather forecasts and emergency warnings is also crucial for minimizing the impact of extreme weather events.

Local authorities and emergency services are working to address these challenges through improved infrastructure, emergency planning, and community education programs. However, individual and community-level preparedness is essential for building resilience to climate change impacts in Taranna.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Tasmanian Fire Service · Tasmanian State Emergency Service · Department of Primary Industries, Parks, Water and Environment

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Taranna?

Taranna faces significant risks from bushfires and coastal hazards, with increasing threats from flooding and heatwaves. Sea level rise and more frequent extreme weather events are expected to exacerbate these risks.

How will climate change affect property values in Taranna?

Properties in high-risk areas, particularly those vulnerable to coastal erosion and bushfires, may experience a decrease in value due to climate change impacts. Insurance premiums are also likely to increase.

What can I do to protect my property from bushfires?

You can protect your property by clearing vegetation around your home, installing firebreaks, and preparing an evacuation plan. Ensure you have adequate insurance coverage and stay informed about fire danger ratings.

What measures can I take to mitigate coastal erosion?

Consider investing in coastal protection measures, such as seawalls or vegetation buffers. Ensure your property is adequately insured against coastal hazards and stay informed about storm surge warnings.

How can I prepare for heatwaves in Taranna?

Install energy-efficient cooling systems, such as air conditioners or fans. Stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day, and check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find more information about climate change impacts in Tasmania?

You can find more information on the CSIRO website, the Bureau of Meteorology website, and the Tasmanian Department of Primary Industries, Parks, Water and Environment website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Taranna, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Taranna's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections