Climate Risk in Eildon, Victoria

Eildon, Victoria· UNKNOWN
High Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Eildon faces significant risks from flooding and bushfires due to its location near the Eildon Dam and surrounding forests. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, leading to more frequent and intense events. Residents should prepare for potential impacts and take steps to mitigate their exposure.

Overall Risk Score

7.2/10
High

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
8.0
Bushfire
7.5
Heat
6.5
Coastal
1.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

6.5/10

Eildon experiences moderately high temperatures during summer, with the potential for heatwaves. This can pose a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.8

2050

7.2

Data source

flood Risk

8.0/10

Eildon faces a high risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Eildon Dam and the Goulburn River. Heavy rainfall events can lead to rapid increases in water levels, inundating low-lying areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Dam management practices
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

8.3

2050

8.7

Data source

coastal Risk

1.0/10

Eildon is not located near the coast, therefore the risk of coastal hazards is negligible.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

7.5/10

The surrounding forested areas make Eildon susceptible to bushfires, particularly during hot and dry conditions. The risk is exacerbated by strong winds and the accumulation of dry vegetation.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Fuel load
  • ·Arson

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.8

2050

8.2

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the high risk of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire overlays.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
  • 3.Obtain insurance quotes.
  • 4.Consider the long-term impacts of climate change on property value.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Goulburn River, Eildon Dam
Elevation Range
250-350m
Flood Zone
Areas adjacent to the Goulburn River and near the Eildon Dam are designated as flood zones.

Historical flood events have impacted properties near the river and dam.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Immediately adjacent to town
Planning Overlay
Bushfire Prone Area Overlay
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area has a history of significant bushfire activity.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
30.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Heatwaves can strain local infrastructure and emergency services.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
150 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2007
floodModerate

Significant flooding occurred in the Goulburn River, impacting low-lying areas of Eildon.

Source
2009
bushfireMajor

The Black Saturday bushfires caused widespread devastation in Victoria, with significant impacts on communities near Eildon.

Source
2013
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall led to flooding in the Goulburn River, affecting properties in Eildon.

Source
2019
bushfireModerate

Bushfires in the surrounding region caused smoky conditions and heightened fire danger in Eildon.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood8.08.3(+0.3)8.7(+0.7)
bushfire7.57.8(+0.3)8.2(+0.7)
heat6.56.8(+0.3)7.0(+0.5)
coastal1.01.01.0

By 2030, Eildon is projected to experience an increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, particularly flooding and bushfires. Heatwaves are also expected to become more common and severe.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to protect properties from flooding, such as levees and improved drainage systems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Mitigation

Immediate

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, such as fuel reduction burns and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Preparedness

Near-term

Develop a heatwave preparedness plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Education

Long-term

Raise community awareness about climate change risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Eildon's Climate Risk Profile

Eildon, nestled in the foothills of the Victorian Alps, is a picturesque town known for its proximity to the Eildon Dam and the surrounding natural beauty. However, this idyllic setting also presents significant environmental challenges, particularly in the face of a changing climate.

The primary concern for Eildon is the risk of flooding. The Eildon Dam, while providing water storage and recreational opportunities, can also contribute to flood risk during periods of heavy rainfall. The Goulburn River, which flows through the town, is also prone to flooding. Climate change is projected to increase the intensity and frequency of heavy rainfall events, further exacerbating this risk.

Bushfire is another major threat to Eildon. The town is surrounded by dense forests, which can become highly flammable during hot and dry conditions. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and severity of bushfires, posing a significant risk to life and property.

Heatwaves are also becoming more common and intense in Eildon. This can pose a health risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Residents should take steps to protect themselves during heatwaves, such as staying hydrated and seeking air-conditioned environments.

Addressing these climate risks will require a multi-faceted approach, including improved flood management, bushfire prevention measures, and strategies to mitigate the impacts of heatwaves. Community engagement and preparedness are also crucial to building resilience in the face of a changing climate.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · Victorian State Emergency Service · Country Fire Authority

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Eildon?

The main climate change risks in Eildon are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare my property for flooding?

You can prepare your property for flooding by raising electrical appliances, storing valuables above flood level, and clearing gutters and drains.

What should I do during a bushfire?

During a bushfire, you should follow your bushfire survival plan. If you are not prepared to defend your property, you should evacuate early.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, you should stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and avoid strenuous activity.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Eildon?

You can find more information about climate change in Eildon on the Mansfield Shire Council website and the Victorian State Emergency Service website.

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