Bushfire Risk in Ercildoune, VIC: 2026 Assessment
Bushfire Risk Score
6.5/10Moderate to high bushfire risk due to proximity to grasslands and scattered timbered areas, with potential for rapid fire spread under hot, dry, and windy conditions.
Key Facts
- Bushfire Risk
- Moderate to high bushfire risk due to proximity to grasslands and scattered timbered areas, with potential for rapid fire spread under hot, dry, and windy conditions.
- Trend
- increasing
- Suburb
- Ercildoune, VIC
- Overall Risk
- Medium
- Postcode
- 3352
- Region
- Regional VIC
- Median property value
- $475,000
- Dominant hazard
- extreme heat (5/10)
- Highest high-risk exposure
- 11.8% of land (bushfire)
Bushfire Risk Analysis
Ercildoune, Victoria, has a moderate to high bushfire risk due to proximity to grasslands and scattered timbered areas, with potential for rapid fire spread under hot, dry, and windy conditions. bushfire risk profile. Key factors include distance to classified bushland, vegetation type, slope, and historical bushfire activity in the region. The Victoria fire authority maps bushfire-prone areas and assigns BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) ratings.
Significant areas of dry vegetation surrounding the suburb pose a high fuel load risk.
CSIRO research indicates climate change is extending fire seasons and increasing the number of severe fire weather days across southern and eastern Australia. For Ercildoune, this may mean shifts in bushfire risk levels over the coming decades, making property-level BAL assessment increasingly important.
Use ClimateNest for a complete address-level bushfire risk report for Ercildoune including BAL zone assessment, evacuation route mapping, and property-specific risk mitigation recommendations.
Ercildoune sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for bushfire risk. 11.8% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk bushfire zones and 69.5% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Ercildoune.
On ClimateNest's 0โ10 suburb hazard index, Ercildoune scores 4 for bushfire risk โ a moderate exposure relative to the Australian suburb range. For comparison, properties in Ercildoune can still sit well above or below this suburb average depending on elevation, distance to waterways or vegetation, and local drainage.
Ercildoune located in Regional VIC (postcode 3352), is a Victoria suburb tracked by ClimateNest. The suburb's median property value is $475,000, and understanding climate exposure is becoming a standard part of due diligence for buyers, lenders and insurers pricing property in Ercildoune.
Across the six hazard axes ClimateNest models, the dominant climate risk in Ercildoune is extreme heat (score 5/10), with moderate exposure. Insurance signals for the suburb point to premiums rising moderately (+25% by 2030). These suburb-level signals help prioritise which properties need the closest look โ the actual risk of any single home can only be confirmed with an address-level report.
Whether you are buying, selling or renovating in Ercildoune, extreme heat is the hazard to weigh first. Local council planning controls, state hazard mapping and lender climate policies each reference this kind of suburb-level signal, and property decisions in Ercildoune are increasingly made with an address-level climate report in hand.
Local Hazard Evidence
Historical Events
Several grass fires occurred in the Pyrenees region during a hot and dry summer, demonstrating ongoing bushfire activity.
Black Saturday bushfires impacted surrounding regions, highlighting the significant bushfire risk in areas like Ercildoune.
Adaptation & Mitigation Actions
Strengthen Bushfire Preparedness
ImmediateDevelop and maintain defendable space around properties, upgrade building materials to fire-resistant standards, and ensure clear evacuation plans are in place.
Est. cost: $5,000 - $50,000+
Improve Property Drainage
Near-termImplement measures to manage stormwater runoff, such as swales, rain gardens, and improved guttering, to mitigate localized flooding from heavy rainfall.
Est. cost: $1,000 - $10,000
Enhance Heat Resilience
Near-termPlant deciduous trees for summer shade, improve home insulation, install efficient cooling systems, and ensure access to cool refuges during heatwaves.
Est. cost: $2,000 - $15,000
Community Bushfire Education
Near-termOrganize regular community workshops and information sessions on bushfire preparedness, response, and recovery.
Est. cost: $500 - $2,000 per event
Water Conservation Measures
Long-termImplement water-wise gardening practices and consider rainwater harvesting to reduce reliance on mains water during potential dry periods.
Est. cost: $500 - $5,000
Council & Emergency Services
Explore Ercildoune Risk Reports
View other climate risk assessments for Ercildoune:
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Ercildoune in a bushfire prone area?
Parts of Ercildoune may be designated as bushfire prone land. Based on available data, Ercildoune has a notable bushfire risk. Check your specific property for BAL ratings through ClimateNest or your local council.
What BAL rating applies to properties in Ercildoune?
BAL ratings in Ercildoune depend on the property's distance from classified vegetation, vegetation type, and slope. A site-specific assessment under AS 3959 is required to determine the exact BAL rating for any property within the suburb.
Does bushfire risk affect insurance in Ercildoune?
Yes, properties in bushfire-prone parts of Ercildoune may face higher building insurance premiums. Insurers assess bushfire risk based on BAL rating, fire history, and proximity to bushland. Some insurers may restrict cover in very high-risk locations.
What bushfire mitigation measures help protect homes in Ercildoune?
Effective bushfire mitigation includes maintaining cleared asset protection zones, using ember-proof mesh on vents, installing metal gutter guards, using non-combustible building materials, and maintaining defendable space. Consult the Victoria fire authority for property-specific guidance.
What are the main climate risks in Ercildoune?
ClimateNest's suburb model rates Ercildoune's dominant climate risk as extreme heat at 5/10 on a 0โ10 index, followed by bushfire (4/10) and damaging wind (4/10). These are suburb-level averages โ an address-level report is needed to confirm the risk of a specific property in Ercildoune.
What share of Ercildoune is exposed to high bushfire risk?
ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 11.8% of Ercildoune in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 69.5% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform โ individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.
Is Ercildoune Safe from Climate Risk?
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What A$69 could save you from
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