Climate Risk Assessment for Heyfield, VIC

Heyfield, Victoria· Wellington· 3858
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Heyfield faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. Bushfire risk is also a concern. Coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location.

Overall Risk Score

5.2/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
6.0
Coastal
1.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

6.0/10

Heyfield is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This could pose a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Reduced cooling capacity

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

6.5/10

Heyfield is located near the Thomson River and is susceptible to flooding. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·River proximity
  • ·Inadequate drainage

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

1.0/10

Heyfield is located inland and is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

4.0/10

The area surrounding Heyfield has some bushland, posing a moderate bushfire risk. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Higher temperatures
  • ·Vegetation density

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Property values may be affected by increased climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency and cooling options.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Thomson River
Elevation Range
50-70m
Flood Zone
Likely

The Thomson River has a history of flooding in the Heyfield area.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent
Planning Overlay
https://www.emv.vic.gov.au/
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area to the north and east of Heyfield is classified as bushfire prone.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
30°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Heyfield experiences several days above 35°C each summer.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
45 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
None
Erosion Risk
None

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

The Thomson River flooded, impacting low-lying areas of Heyfield.

Source
2009
bushfireMajor

The Black Saturday bushfires impacted the region surrounding Heyfield.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Heyfield experienced a prolonged heatwave with temperatures exceeding 40°C.

Source
2022
floodModerate

Significant rainfall caused flooding in the Thomson River, affecting Heyfield.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood6.57.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire4.04.3(+0.3)4.5(+0.5)
heat6.06.7(+0.7)7.2(+1.2)
coastal1.01.01.0

By 2030, Heyfield is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, as well as an increased risk of flooding. Bushfire risk will also increase slightly.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in improved drainage infrastructure and flood levees to protect properties from flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop a Heatwave Management Plan

Immediate

Implement a heatwave management plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement bushfire mitigation strategies, including vegetation management and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce the strain on water resources during periods of drought.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Heyfield's Climate Risk Profile

Heyfield, Victoria, is projected to experience a range of climate change impacts over the coming decades. The most significant risks are associated with increased flooding due to more intense rainfall events and rising temperatures leading to more frequent and severe heatwaves.

The Thomson River poses a flood risk to Heyfield, and climate change is expected to exacerbate this risk. More intense rainfall events could overwhelm existing drainage infrastructure and lead to property damage and disruption.

Rising temperatures will also pose a challenge to the community. More frequent and intense heatwaves could strain the electricity grid and put vulnerable populations at risk. It is important to implement adaptation measures to mitigate these risks.

While Heyfield is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the community should still be aware of the broader impacts of climate change and take steps to reduce its carbon footprint. This includes investing in renewable energy, improving energy efficiency, and promoting sustainable transportation.

Bushfire risk is also a factor, with surrounding bushland creating a potential hazard. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood of bushfires, requiring careful management and preparedness.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · EMV

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks facing Heyfield?

The main risks are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a higher risk of bushfires.

How will climate change affect property values in Heyfield?

Property values may be affected by increased climate risks, particularly flooding and bushfires. Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decline in value.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The Wellington Shire Council is developing a climate strategy to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. This includes investing in renewable energy, improving energy efficiency, and promoting sustainable transportation.

What can I do to prepare for climate change?

You can take steps to reduce your carbon footprint, such as investing in renewable energy, improving energy efficiency, and using public transportation. You can also prepare for extreme weather events by developing an emergency plan and assembling a survival kit.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Heyfield?

You can find more information on the Wellington Shire Council website, the Bureau of Meteorology website, and the CSIRO website.

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