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PROPERTY ANALYTICS

Climate Risk Assessment for Korumburra, VIC

Korumburra, Victoria· South Gippsland· 3950
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Korumburra faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. Bushfire risk is moderate. Coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location.

Overall Risk Score

5.2/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
6.0
Coastal
1.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

6.0/10

Korumburra is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

6.0/10

Korumburra faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and the Tarwin River. Local topography and drainage capacity contribute to the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

1.0/10

Korumburra is not directly on the coast, so the risk of coastal hazards is very low.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

4.0/10

The area around Korumburra has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Wind patterns

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and prepare a survival plan.
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency for heatwave resilience.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Tarwin River
Elevation Range
150-200m
Flood Zone
Areas near the Tarwin River are prone to flooding.

Local drainage infrastructure may be insufficient to handle increased rainfall intensity.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland areas.
Planning Overlay
Refer to South Gippsland Shire Council for bushfire overlay maps.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents should maintain firebreaks and have bushfire survival plans.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
26.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
2 days

Elderly residents are particularly vulnerable during heatwaves.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
25 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not directly exposed to sea level rise.
Erosion Risk
No significant erosion risk.

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Significant flooding occurred in the region, impacting Korumburra and surrounding areas.

Source
2009
bushfireMajor

The Black Saturday bushfires impacted the wider region, highlighting the bushfire risk.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave affected Victoria, with Korumburra experiencing high temperatures.

Source
2023
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in parts of South Gippsland, including areas near Korumburra.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood6.06.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire4.04.3(+0.3)4.5(+0.5)
heat6.06.7(+0.7)7.2(+1.2)
coastal1.01.01.0

By 2030, Korumburra is projected to experience a noticeable increase in flood and heatwave risks. Bushfire risk will also slightly increase. Coastal risks remain low.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop a Heatwave Management Plan

Immediate

Implement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and community outreach.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness Programs

Near-term

Enhance community education and preparedness for bushfires, including firebreak maintenance and evacuation planning.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to mitigate the impacts of drought and water scarcity.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Korumburra's Climate Risk Profile

Korumburra, located in South Gippsland, Victoria, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns are rising temperatures, more frequent heatwaves, and increased rainfall intensity leading to flooding. The town's location and existing infrastructure contribute to its vulnerability.

Flooding is a significant concern, with the Tarwin River and local creeks posing a threat during heavy rainfall events. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, with more intense rainfall predicted in the future. This could lead to more frequent and severe flooding, impacting homes, businesses, and infrastructure.

Heatwaves are also becoming more common and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. The urban environment can amplify the effects of heatwaves, creating urban heat islands.

While Korumburra is not directly on the coast, it is still important to consider the broader impacts of climate change on the region. Changes in rainfall patterns and temperature can affect agriculture and other industries, which are important to the local economy. Bushfire risk is also a factor due to surrounding vegetation.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · EMV

Local Government Resources

South Gippsland Shire Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Korumburra?

The main risks are increased flooding due to more intense rainfall, more frequent and severe heatwaves, and a moderate risk of bushfires.

How is the local council addressing climate change?

The South Gippsland Shire Council is developing and implementing climate change strategies to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves?

Residents can stay hydrated, stay in air-conditioned environments, check on vulnerable neighbors, and follow advice from health authorities.

What should I do to prepare for a potential flood?

Stay informed about weather forecasts, have an emergency plan, and know your evacuation routes. Ensure you have insurance coverage for flood damage.

How can I reduce my carbon footprint in Korumburra?

You can reduce your carbon footprint by using public transport, conserving energy, reducing waste, and supporting local businesses that prioritize sustainability.

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