Climate Risk in Wangaratta, VIC

Wangaratta, Victoria· Rural City of Wangaratta· 3677
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Wangaratta faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with increasing bushfire risk. Climate change is projected to exacerbate these hazards, requiring proactive adaptation measures.

Overall Risk Score

5.2/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
6.0
Coastal
1.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

6.0/10

Wangaratta is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures and prolonged periods of extreme heat can pose significant health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

6.5/10

Wangaratta faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Ovens River and other waterways. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Riverine flooding
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

1.0/10

Wangaratta is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

4.0/10

The area around Wangaratta has a moderate bushfire risk. Drier conditions and higher temperatures associated with climate change are projected to increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation
  • ·Strong winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the rising risk of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider the impact of heatwaves on property value and comfort.
  • 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related hazards.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Ovens River
Elevation Range
150-170m
Flood Zone
Areas near the Ovens River are designated as flood zones.

The Rural City of Wangaratta has experienced several significant flood events in the past, highlighting the need for effective flood management strategies.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Surrounded by bushland to the north and east.
Planning Overlay
Refer to the Victorian Bushfire Prone Area Map.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The risk of bushfires is higher during the summer months when temperatures are high and vegetation is dry.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Wangaratta experiences several days above 35°C each summer, increasing the risk of heat-related illnesses.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
250 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable.
Erosion Risk
Not applicable.

Historical Climate Events

2010
floodMajor

Major flooding along the Ovens River caused widespread damage to homes and businesses in Wangaratta.

Source
2009
bushfireCatastrophic

The Black Saturday bushfires impacted the region surrounding Wangaratta, causing significant damage and loss of life.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave in January 2019 resulted in record-breaking temperatures and increased demand for emergency services.

Source
2016
floodModerate

Significant flooding occurred along the Ovens River, impacting low-lying areas and disrupting transportation.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood6.57.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire4.04.3(+0.3)4.5(+0.5)
heat6.06.7(+0.7)7.2(+1.2)
coastal1.01.01.0

By 2030, Wangaratta is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, driven primarily by increased flooding and heatwave intensity. Bushfire risk is also expected to rise slightly.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade flood defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure improvements to protect against flooding, such as levees, drainage systems, and flood-proofing buildings.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop a heatwave management plan

Immediate

Implement strategies to mitigate the impacts of heatwaves, such as establishing cooling centers, providing public education, and ensuring access to healthcare.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Improve bushfire preparedness

Near-term

Implement measures to reduce bushfire risk, such as clearing vegetation around properties, developing evacuation plans, and conducting community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation practices to reduce demand on water resources during periods of drought and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Enhance community resilience

Long-term

Build community resilience by fostering social connections, promoting mental health, and providing support services to vulnerable populations.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Wangaratta's Climate Risk Profile

Wangaratta, located in northeastern Victoria, is susceptible to several climate-related hazards. The most significant risks are flooding from the Ovens River and its tributaries, as well as increasing heatwave frequency and intensity. Bushfire risk is also a concern, particularly in the surrounding rural areas.

Climate change projections indicate that Wangaratta will experience higher average temperatures, more frequent heatwaves, and changes in rainfall patterns. These changes are expected to increase the risk of flooding, bushfires, and heat-related illnesses. The local community and authorities need to prepare for these challenges by implementing adaptation strategies.

Flooding is a major concern due to the town's location near the Ovens River. Heavy rainfall events can cause the river to overflow, inundating low-lying areas and disrupting transportation. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of these rainfall events, making flooding a more pressing issue.

Heatwaves are also a significant threat, especially for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Higher average temperatures and prolonged periods of extreme heat can lead to heatstroke, dehydration, and other health problems. The urban heat island effect can further exacerbate these risks in built-up areas.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · EMV

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Wangaratta?

The main climate change risks in Wangaratta are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to rising temperatures and changes in rainfall patterns.

How is the Rural City of Wangaratta addressing climate change?

The Rural City of Wangaratta is developing and implementing strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. These strategies include promoting energy efficiency, investing in renewable energy, and improving flood management.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Wangaratta?

To prepare for heatwaves in Wangaratta, it is important to stay hydrated, stay cool, and avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day. You should also check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

How can I protect my property from flooding in Wangaratta?

To protect your property from flooding in Wangaratta, you can install flood barriers, raise electrical appliances, and ensure that your property is properly insured. You should also be aware of flood warnings and evacuation routes.

What should I do during a bushfire in Wangaratta?

During a bushfire in Wangaratta, it is important to follow the advice of emergency services. If you are in a high-risk area, you should evacuate to a safer location. If you are unable to evacuate, you should shelter in place and follow bushfire survival guidelines.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Wangaratta?

You can find more information about climate change in Wangaratta on the Rural City of Wangaratta website, the Bureau of Meteorology website, and the CSIRO website.

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