Climate Risk in Burswood, WA

Burswood, Western Australia
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Burswood faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Sea level rise and increased rainfall intensity are key drivers of these risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
3.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
4.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Burswood

increasing

Flood

65/100

Burswood faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Swan River and low-lying areas. Riverine flooding and flash flooding from intense rainfall events are potential concerns.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
stable

Bushfire

30/100

The risk of bushfire in Burswood is relatively low due to its urbanized environment and distance from large bushland areas. However, ember attack from distant fires remains a potential hazard.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

70/100

Burswood is susceptible to heatwaves, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent extreme heat days projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

40/100

Burswood faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to the Swan River. Sea level rise and storm surges could lead to inundation of low-lying areas.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
stable

Wind

32/100

Moderate wind risk — winter storms

stable

Storm

28/100

Moderate storm risk — occasional severe thunderstorms

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability

increasing

Energy

39/100

Moderate energy costs — cooling demand in summer

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Burswood

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Burswood is susceptible to heatwaves, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent extreme heat days projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Burswood faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Swan River and low-lying areas. Riverine flooding and flash flooding from intense rainfall events are potential concerns.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

40/100

Burswood faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to the Swan River. Sea level rise and storm surges could lead to inundation of low-lying areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

30/100

The risk of bushfire in Burswood is relatively low due to its urbanized environment and distance from large bushland areas. However, ember attack from distant fires remains a potential hazard.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

3.2

2050

3.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to increased flood and heatwave risks.

Price Impact

Properties in low-lying areas may experience some price impact due to flood risk.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise.
  • 4.Inquire about local adaptation plans.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Swan River
Elevation Range
2-10 meters
Flood Zone
Areas near the Swan River are designated as flood zones.

Historical flood events have impacted Burswood, particularly areas close to the river. Drainage improvements are ongoing to mitigate future risks.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Approximately 5km to nearest significant bushland.
Planning Overlay
Not designated as a high bushfire risk area.
Bushfire Prone Area
No

While not a primary concern, residents should be aware of ember attack risks during bushfire season.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

The number of days exceeding 35°C is projected to increase in the future.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
12 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying areas near the Swan River are potentially exposed to sea level rise.
Erosion Risk
Minimal erosion risk.

Historical Climate Events

2010
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in Burswood, particularly in low-lying areas near the Swan River.

Source
2011
stormMinor

A severe storm brought strong winds and heavy rain to Burswood, causing minor damage to property.

Source
2015
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave affected Burswood, with temperatures exceeding 40°C for several consecutive days.

Source
2022
floodMinor

Heavy rainfall led to flash flooding in some parts of Burswood, causing minor disruptions.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire303.2(+0.2)3.5(+0.5)
heat707.8(+0.8)8.5(+1.5)
coastal404.3(+0.3)4.8(+0.8)

By 2030, Burswood is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, as well as an increased risk of flooding due to rising sea levels and more intense rainfall events. Bushfire risk will remain relatively stable, while coastal hazards will become more pronounced.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to better manage increased rainfall and reduce the risk of flash flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a heatwave management plan

Immediate

Implement strategies to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, such as cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Protect coastal areas

Long-term

Implement measures to protect coastal areas from sea level rise and storm surges, such as seawalls and beach nourishment.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Near-term

Encourage residents and businesses to conserve water to reduce strain on water resources during periods of drought.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Burswood's Climate Risk Profile

Burswood, located near the Swan River, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's low-lying areas make it susceptible to flooding from both riverine and flash flood events. Rising sea levels and more intense rainfall are expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades.

Heatwaves are another significant concern for Burswood. As average temperatures rise, the frequency and intensity of extreme heat days will increase, posing a threat to public health, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect can further amplify these impacts.

While the risk of bushfire is relatively low compared to other areas in Western Australia, Burswood is not entirely immune. Ember attack from distant fires remains a potential hazard, and residents should take precautions to protect their properties.

Coastal hazards, including sea level rise and storm surges, also pose a threat to Burswood. Inundation of low-lying areas could damage infrastructure and disrupt daily life. Planning for adaptation measures is crucial to mitigate these risks and ensure the long-term resilience of the suburb.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · DFES

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Burswood?

The main climate change risks for Burswood are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Rising sea levels and more intense rainfall are expected to increase the risk of flooding, while rising temperatures will lead to more frequent and intense heatwaves. Coastal areas are vulnerable to sea level rise and storm surges.

How will climate change affect property values in Burswood?

Properties in low-lying areas may experience some price impact due to flood risk. However, the overall impact on property values will depend on the effectiveness of adaptation measures and the overall perception of climate risk.

What is the City of Perth doing to address climate change?

The City of Perth has developed a climate strategy that outlines a range of actions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. These actions include improving energy efficiency, promoting renewable energy, and enhancing drainage infrastructure.

How can I prepare for heatwaves in Burswood?

To prepare for heatwaves, stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day, and seek out air-conditioned spaces. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members, and be aware of the signs of heatstroke.

What should I do if my property is flooded?

If your property is flooded, prioritize your safety and the safety of your family. Turn off the electricity and gas, and move to higher ground. Contact emergency services if necessary, and do not return to your property until it is safe to do so.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections