Climate Risk in Collie, WA

Collie, Western Australia· Collie· 6225
Medium Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Collie faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. The town's inland location mitigates coastal risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.8
Heat
5.5
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Collie

increasing

Flood

65/100

Collie faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Collie River and other waterways. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·River overflow
increasing

Bushfire

48/100

The risk of bushfires in Collie is moderate, given the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Higher temperatures
increasing

Heat

55/100

Collie is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
stable

Coastal

10/100

Collie is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·Inland location
stable

Wind

32/100

Moderate wind risk — winter storms

stable

Storm

28/100

Moderate storm risk — occasional severe thunderstorms

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability

increasing

Energy

39/100

Moderate energy costs — cooling demand in summer

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Collie

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

55/100

Collie is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.0

2050

6.5

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Collie faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Collie River and other waterways. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·River overflow
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Collie is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Inland location

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

48/100

The risk of bushfires in Collie is moderate, given the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Higher temperatures
  • ·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.3

2050

5.8

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the rising risk of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Consider the long-term impacts of climate change on property value.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Collie River
Elevation Range
200-300m
Flood Zone
Areas near the Collie River are prone to flooding.

The Collie River has a history of flooding, particularly after heavy rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Surrounded by bushland
Planning Overlay
Available from DFES
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area around Collie is designated as a bushfire-prone area.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Collie experiences several days above 35°C each summer.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
50 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2010
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused the Collie River to flood, impacting low-lying areas of the town.

Source
2016
bushfireModerate

A bushfire near Collie threatened homes and infrastructure, requiring emergency response efforts.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Collie experienced a prolonged heatwave with temperatures exceeding 40°C for several days.

Source
2022
floodMinor

Localized flooding occurred after a period of intense rainfall.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire485.1(+0.3)5.4(+0.6)
heat556.2(+0.7)6.7(+1.2)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Collie is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, driven primarily by more frequent and intense heatwaves and increased flooding risk.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risks, such as levees, drainage improvements, and flood-proofing buildings.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire management strategies, including fuel reduction, community education, and improved emergency response capabilities.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Action Plan

Near-term

Create a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations, including cooling centers, public awareness campaigns, and early warning systems.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce the strain on water resources during periods of drought and heat.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Upgrade Infrastructure

Long-term

Upgrade existing infrastructure to withstand extreme weather events, including power grids, transportation networks, and communication systems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

About Collie's Climate Risk Profile

Collie is situated in the south-west of Western Australia, an area known for its diverse landscapes and natural resources. The town's climate is typically Mediterranean, with warm, dry summers and mild, wet winters. However, climate change is expected to alter these patterns, leading to more extreme weather events.

Flooding is a concern due to the presence of the Collie River and other waterways. Increased rainfall intensity could lead to more frequent and severe flooding, impacting homes, businesses, and infrastructure. Bushfires also pose a threat, particularly during the dry summer months. Higher temperatures and drier conditions can create a more conducive environment for bushfires to ignite and spread rapidly.

Heatwaves are projected to become more frequent and intense, posing risks to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. The town's infrastructure may also be affected, with increased demand for electricity and potential disruptions to transportation networks.

While Collie is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader region could experience impacts from sea level rise and coastal erosion. These changes could indirectly affect Collie through economic and social disruptions.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · DFES · DWER

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Collie?

Collie faces increasing risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves due to climate change. These risks are projected to worsen in the coming decades.

How is the Shire of Collie preparing for climate change?

The Shire of Collie is developing strategies to mitigate and adapt to the impacts of climate change, including improving flood defenses and enhancing bushfire preparedness.

What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves?

Residents can prepare for heatwaves by staying hydrated, seeking air-conditioned environments, and checking on vulnerable neighbors.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Collie?

Information about flood risks in Collie can be found on the Shire of Collie website and from the Department of Water and Environmental Regulation.

How can I protect my property from bushfires?

You can protect your property from bushfires by clearing vegetation around your home, maintaining firebreaks, and having a bushfire survival plan.

Are there any community initiatives to address climate change in Collie?

Yes, there are several community initiatives focused on sustainability and climate action. Contact the Shire of Collie for more information.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections