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PROPERTY ANALYTICS

Climate Risk in Coolbellup, WA

Coolbellup, Western Australia· City of Cockburn· 6163
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Coolbellup faces increasing risks from heatwaves and flooding due to climate change. Bushfire risk is also a concern due to proximity to bushland. Coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location.

Overall Risk Score

5.2/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.5
Bushfire
3.8
Heat
6.5
Coastal
1.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

6.5/10

Coolbellup is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

flood Risk

4.5/10

Coolbellup faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and localized drainage issues. Some areas are susceptible to flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development reducing permeable surfaces

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.0

2050

5.5

Data source

coastal Risk

1.0/10

Coolbellup is located inland and has a low direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.2

2050

1.5

Data source

bushfire Risk

3.8/10

The bushfire risk in Coolbellup is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland reserves facing a higher threat. Increased temperatures and drier conditions contribute to the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Proximity to bushland

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.2

2050

4.7

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and drainage reports
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and mitigation measures
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency and cooling options
  • 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related events

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Beeliar Regional Park wetlands
Elevation Range
15-30m
Flood Zone
Localized areas near drainage lines

Historical flood events have been reported in areas with poor drainage.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to Beeliar Regional Park
Planning Overlay
DFES Bushfire Prone Area Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Properties bordering the park are at higher risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2010
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in Coolbellup, affecting several homes and businesses.

Source
2011
bushfireMinor

A bushfire near Beeliar Regional Park threatened properties in Coolbellup, but was quickly contained.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave in Perth caused heat stress and health concerns for vulnerable residents in Coolbellup.

Source
2022
stormMinor

A severe storm brought heavy rain and strong winds to Coolbellup, causing minor property damage.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood4.54.7(+0.2)5.0(+0.5)
bushfire3.83.9(+0.1)4.2(+0.4)
heat6.57.0(+0.5)8.3(+1.8)
coastal1.01.01.1(+0.1)

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Coolbellup is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, primarily driven by rising temperatures and increased flood risk.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flash flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Heatwave Management Plan

Immediate

Develop a plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves, including cooling centers and outreach programs.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Bushfire Risk Reduction

Near-term

Implement vegetation management and fire breaks to reduce bushfire risk in areas bordering bushland.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage residents to conserve water through rebates and education programs to reduce strain on water resources during drier periods.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Coolbellup's Climate Risk Profile

Coolbellup, a suburb in Western Australia, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Rising temperatures are expected to lead to more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing health risks to residents, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions. The suburb's infrastructure may also be strained during prolonged periods of extreme heat.

Changes in rainfall patterns are likely to increase the risk of flooding in Coolbellup. More intense rainfall events could overwhelm drainage systems, leading to flash flooding in low-lying areas. This could damage property and disrupt transportation networks.

While Coolbellup is not directly on the coast, it is still indirectly affected by climate change impacts such as sea level rise, which can exacerbate storm surges and coastal erosion in nearby coastal areas. These changes can have flow-on effects on the local economy and environment.

The local council is developing strategies to mitigate these risks, including improving drainage infrastructure, implementing heatwave management plans, and promoting water conservation. Residents can also take steps to prepare for climate change impacts by investing in home improvements, developing emergency plans, and staying informed about local weather conditions and warnings.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · DFES

Local Government Resources

City of Cockburn

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Coolbellup?

The main risks are increased heatwaves, flooding from heavy rainfall, and bushfire risk due to proximity to bushland.

How is the City of Cockburn addressing climate change?

The City of Cockburn is developing strategies to mitigate climate risks, including improving drainage infrastructure, implementing heatwave management plans, and promoting water conservation.

What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves?

Residents can stay informed about weather forecasts, stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

How can I protect my property from flooding?

Ensure proper drainage around your property, clear gutters and downpipes, and consider installing flood barriers if you live in a flood-prone area.

What should I do if a bushfire threatens Coolbellup?

Stay informed about fire warnings, have a bushfire survival plan, and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.

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