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Climate Risk in Dardanup, WA

Dardanup, Western Australia
Medium Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Dardanup faces increasing risks from bushfires, floods, and heatwaves due to climate change. While coastal risks are lower, the region should prepare for indirect impacts. Proactive adaptation measures are essential to protect the community and infrastructure.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
7.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
4.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Dardanup

increasing

Flood

60/100

Dardanup faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Ferguson River and other waterways. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·River overflow
increasing

Bushfire

70/100

The area surrounding Dardanup has a high bushfire risk due to the presence of dense vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

50/100

Dardanup is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
stable

Coastal

40/100

Dardanup is not directly on the coast, so coastal risks are lower. However, sea level rise and storm surges could indirectly affect the region.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
stable

Wind

32/100

Moderate wind risk — winter storms

stable

Storm

28/100

Moderate storm risk — occasional severe thunderstorms

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability

increasing

Energy

39/100

Moderate energy costs — cooling demand in summer

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Dardanup

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

50/100

Dardanup is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Dardanup faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Ferguson River and other waterways. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·River overflow
  • ·Inadequate drainage

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

40/100

Dardanup is not directly on the coast, so coastal risks are lower. However, sea level rise and storm surges could indirectly affect the region.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.0

2050

4.5

Data source

bushfire Risk

70/100

The area surrounding Dardanup has a high bushfire risk due to the presence of dense vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the rising risk of bushfires and floods.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making a purchase.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Ferguson River
Elevation Range
50-150m
Flood Zone
Areas near the Ferguson River are prone to flooding.

Historical flood events have occurred in Dardanup, particularly after periods of heavy rainfall.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to state forest
Planning Overlay
DFES Bushfire Prone Area Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The Shire of Dardanup has areas designated as bushfire prone.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in the region.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
25 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in low-lying areas of Dardanup.

Source
2016
bushfireModerate

A bushfire near Dardanup threatened properties and required emergency response.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Dardanup experienced a prolonged heatwave with temperatures exceeding 40°C.

Source
2022
floodMinor

Localized flooding occurred after a period of intense rainfall.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire707.5(+0.5)8.0(+1.0)
heat505.5(+0.5)6.0(+1.0)
coastal404.04.5(+0.5)

By 2030, Dardanup is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in flood, bushfire, and heatwave risks.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Mitigation Measures

Immediate

Implement bushfire mitigation strategies, such as fuel reduction and firebreaks, to protect properties.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Preparedness Plan

Near-term

Develop a heatwave preparedness plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Conduct community awareness programs to educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Dardanup's Climate Risk Profile

Dardanup, located inland from the coast in Western Australia, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary concerns are rising temperatures, increased bushfire risk, and more intense rainfall events leading to flooding.

The region's proximity to bushland makes it susceptible to bushfires, which are projected to become more frequent and severe with hotter, drier conditions. This poses a significant threat to homes, businesses, and the natural environment.

Additionally, Dardanup is at risk of flooding due to its location near the Ferguson River and other waterways. Increased rainfall intensity can overwhelm drainage systems and cause significant damage.

Heatwaves are also expected to become more common and intense, impacting human health, particularly among vulnerable populations. Infrastructure may also be strained during extreme heat events.

While Dardanup is not directly on the coast, sea level rise and storm surges could indirectly affect the region through economic and social disruptions. It is crucial for the community to implement adaptation strategies to mitigate these risks and build resilience.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · DFES

Local Government Resources

Shire of Dardanup

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Dardanup?

The main climate change risks in Dardanup are increased bushfire risk, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and increased rainfall intensity leading to flooding.

How is the Shire of Dardanup addressing climate change?

The Shire of Dardanup is developing and implementing strategies to mitigate and adapt to the impacts of climate change, including improving drainage infrastructure and promoting community awareness.

What can residents do to prepare for bushfires in Dardanup?

Residents can prepare for bushfires by clearing vegetation around their homes, developing a bushfire survival plan, and staying informed about fire danger ratings.

How can I protect myself during a heatwave in Dardanup?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Dardanup?

Information about flood risks in Dardanup can be found on the Shire of Dardanup website and through the Department of Water and Environmental Regulation.

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30-120%
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