Climate Risk in Hilbert, WA

Hilbert, Western Australia· Serpentine-Jarrahdale· 6112
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Hilbert is a suburb in Western Australia that faces moderate climate risks, primarily from bushfires and heatwaves. Flooding is also a concern. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future.

Overall Risk Score

5.5/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.0
Bushfire
6.0
Heat
6.0
Coastal
1.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

6.0/10

Hilbert experiences high temperatures during summer, with the potential for heatwaves. Climate change is expected to lead to more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

4.0/10

Hilbert faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from local waterways. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall, potentially exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Waterway capacity

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

coastal Risk

1.0/10

Hilbert is located inland and has a low risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

6.0/10

Hilbert is located in a region with a significant bushfire risk due to the proximity of bushland areas. Hot, dry summers and strong winds contribute to the potential for bushfires. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfire weather.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to bushfire and flood risk.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check bushfire risk assessment
  • 2.Review flood maps
  • 3.Assess home cooling options
  • 4.Inquire about insurance costs

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Serpentine River
Elevation Range
20-40m
Flood Zone
Low-lying areas near the Serpentine River

The Serpentine River is the primary source of flood risk in Hilbert. Council maintains flood maps, but specific details for Hilbert are limited.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland reserves
Planning Overlay
DFES Bushfire Prone Area Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Hilbert is designated as a bushfire-prone area. Residents should consult the DFES website for information on bushfire preparedness.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Average January maximum temperature is based on nearby weather station data. Heat stress events are defined as consecutive days above 35°C.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
45 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas of Hilbert.

Source
2015
bushfireModerate

A bushfire near Hilbert threatened properties and required emergency response.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in heat stress and health concerns for residents.

Source
2022
floodMinor

Minor flooding occurred due to heavy rainfall, impacting some residential areas.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood4.04.3(+0.3)4.5(+0.5)
bushfire6.06.7(+0.7)7.0(+1.0)
heat6.06.5(+0.5)6.8(+0.8)
coastal1.01.01.0

By 2030, Hilbert is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with bushfire risk increasing more significantly than other hazards. Heatwaves will become more frequent and intense.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, such as clearing vegetation around properties and developing evacuation plans.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Response Plan

Near-term

Establish a community heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Upgrade Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Invest in upgrading drainage infrastructure to reduce the risk of flooding from heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation practices to reduce water stress during periods of drought and heat.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Hilbert's Climate Risk Profile

Hilbert, Western Australia, is a growing suburb that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. The suburb's location near bushland increases the risk of bushfires, particularly during the hot, dry summer months. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfire weather, posing a significant threat to the community.

Heatwaves are another significant concern for Hilbert. The suburb experiences high temperatures during summer, and climate change is expected to lead to more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Flooding is also a risk for Hilbert, particularly from heavy rainfall events. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall, potentially exacerbating flood risk.

Addressing these climate risks will require a combination of mitigation and adaptation measures. Mitigation efforts should focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions to slow the pace of climate change. Adaptation measures should focus on preparing the community for the impacts of climate change, such as by improving bushfire preparedness, developing heatwave response plans, and upgrading drainage infrastructure.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · DFES

Local Government Resources

Shire of Serpentine-Jarrahdale

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Hilbert?

The main climate change risks for Hilbert are bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires?

You can prepare your property for bushfires by clearing vegetation around your home, maintaining your roof and gutters, and having a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, it is important to stay hydrated, stay cool, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Hilbert?

You can find information about flood risks in Hilbert on the Shire of Serpentine-Jarrahdale website or by contacting the council directly.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The Shire of Serpentine-Jarrahdale is developing and implementing climate change strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and prepare the community for the impacts of climate change.

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