Climate Risk in Hilbert, WA
Hilbert is a suburb in Western Australia that faces moderate climate risks, primarily from bushfires and heatwaves. Flooding is also a concern. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future.
Overall Risk Score
Confidence: Medium
Hazard Breakdown
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Hilbert experiences high temperatures during summer, with the potential for heatwaves. Climate change is expected to lead to more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
6.5
2050
7.0
flood Risk
Hilbert faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from local waterways. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall, potentially exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Waterway capacity
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
4.5
2050
5.0
coastal Risk
Hilbert is located inland and has a low risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
1.0
2050
1.0
bushfire Risk
Hilbert is located in a region with a significant bushfire risk due to the proximity of bushland areas. Hot, dry summers and strong winds contribute to the potential for bushfires. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfire weather.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
6.5
2050
7.0
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to bushfire and flood risk.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check bushfire risk assessment
- 2.Review flood maps
- 3.Assess home cooling options
- 4.Inquire about insurance costs
Local Climate Evidence
Flood Evidence
- Nearest Waterway
- Serpentine River
- Elevation Range
- 20-40m
- Flood Zone
- Low-lying areas near the Serpentine River
The Serpentine River is the primary source of flood risk in Hilbert. Council maintains flood maps, but specific details for Hilbert are limited.
View council flood mapBushfire Evidence
- Distance to Bushland
- Adjacent to bushland reserves
- Planning Overlay
- DFES Bushfire Prone Area Map
- Bushfire Prone Area
- Yes
Hilbert is designated as a bushfire-prone area. Residents should consult the DFES website for information on bushfire preparedness.
Heat Evidence
- Avg January Max Temp
- 32.5°C
- Heat Stress Days/Year
- 3 days
Average January maximum temperature is based on nearby weather station data. Heat stress events are defined as consecutive days above 35°C.
Coastal Evidence
- Distance to Coast
- 45 km
- Sea Level Rise Exposure
- Not applicable
- Erosion Risk
- Not applicable
Historical Climate Events
Climate Outlook to 2050
Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5
| Hazard | Today | 2030 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| flood | 4.0 | 4.3(+0.3) | 4.5(+0.5) |
| bushfire | 6.0 | 6.7(+0.7) | 7.0(+1.0) |
| heat | 6.0 | 6.5(+0.5) | 6.8(+0.8) |
| coastal | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
By 2030, Hilbert is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, with bushfire risk increasing more significantly than other hazards. Heatwaves will become more frequent and intense.
CSIRO Climate ProjectionsAdaptation Recommendations
Improve Bushfire Preparedness
ImmediateImplement bushfire mitigation measures, such as clearing vegetation around properties and developing evacuation plans.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreDevelop Heatwave Response Plan
Near-termEstablish a community heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreUpgrade Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termInvest in upgrading drainage infrastructure to reduce the risk of flooding from heavy rainfall events.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termEncourage water conservation practices to reduce water stress during periods of drought and heat.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Hilbert's Climate Risk Profile
Hilbert, Western Australia, is a growing suburb that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. The suburb's location near bushland increases the risk of bushfires, particularly during the hot, dry summer months. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfire weather, posing a significant threat to the community.
Heatwaves are another significant concern for Hilbert. The suburb experiences high temperatures during summer, and climate change is expected to lead to more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Flooding is also a risk for Hilbert, particularly from heavy rainfall events. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall, potentially exacerbating flood risk.
Addressing these climate risks will require a combination of mitigation and adaptation measures. Mitigation efforts should focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions to slow the pace of climate change. Adaptation measures should focus on preparing the community for the impacts of climate change, such as by improving bushfire preparedness, developing heatwave response plans, and upgrading drainage infrastructure.
Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · DFES
Local Government Resources
Shire of Serpentine-Jarrahdale
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Hilbert?
The main climate change risks for Hilbert are bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.
How can I prepare my property for bushfires?
You can prepare your property for bushfires by clearing vegetation around your home, maintaining your roof and gutters, and having a bushfire survival plan.
What should I do during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, it is important to stay hydrated, stay cool, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Hilbert?
You can find information about flood risks in Hilbert on the Shire of Serpentine-Jarrahdale website or by contacting the council directly.
What is the council doing to address climate change?
The Shire of Serpentine-Jarrahdale is developing and implementing climate change strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and prepare the community for the impacts of climate change.
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