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Climate Risk Assessment for Innaloo, WA

Innaloo, Western Australia· City of Stirling· 6018
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Innaloo faces increasing risks from heatwaves and coastal hazards due to its proximity to the coast and urban environment. Flooding is a moderate concern, while bushfire risk is relatively low. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense heat events and potential coastal impacts.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.5
Bushfire
3.0
Heat
6.5
Coastal
7.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Innaloo

increasing

Flood

45/100

Innaloo faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from intense rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. Low-lying areas are more vulnerable.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
stable

Bushfire

30/100

Bushfire risk in Innaloo is relatively low due to its urbanized environment, but proximity to parks and reserves introduces some level of risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry vegetation
increasing

Heat

65/100

Innaloo is experiencing increasing heatwave intensity and frequency, posing risks to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

70/100

Located near the coast, Innaloo is vulnerable to coastal erosion and sea level rise, impacting infrastructure and property values.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
stable

Wind

32/100

Moderate wind risk — winter storms

stable

Storm

28/100

Moderate storm risk — occasional severe thunderstorms

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability

increasing

Energy

39/100

Moderate energy costs — cooling demand in summer

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Innaloo

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

65/100

Innaloo is experiencing increasing heatwave intensity and frequency, posing risks to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Reduced vegetation cover

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.2

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

45/100

Innaloo faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from intense rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. Low-lying areas are more vulnerable.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Sea level rise impacting drainage

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.0

2050

5.8

Data source

coastal Risk

70/100

Located near the coast, Innaloo is vulnerable to coastal erosion and sea level rise, impacting infrastructure and property values.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Coastal erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.2

Data source

bushfire Risk

30/100

Bushfire risk in Innaloo is relatively low due to its urbanized environment, but proximity to parks and reserves introduces some level of risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Wind patterns

Projections (RCP4.5)

2030

3.2

2050

3.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase in areas prone to flooding and coastal hazards.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price depreciation.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and coastal hazard zones.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making a purchase.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Herdsman Lake
Elevation Range
5-20 meters
Flood Zone
Areas near Herdsman Lake are prone to flooding.

Historical flood events have occurred in low-lying areas after heavy rainfall.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
1-2 km to nearby reserves
Planning Overlay
DFES Bushfire Prone Areas Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

While Innaloo is largely urban, adjacent bushland areas pose a potential risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in recent years.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
2 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying areas are exposed to sea level rise.
Erosion Risk
Some coastal areas are at risk of erosion.

Historical Climate Events

2010
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas of Innaloo.

Source
2011
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased hospital admissions and strain on infrastructure.

Source
2015
stormMinor

A severe storm caused minor damage to property and infrastructure.

Source
2021
heatwaveModerate

Record high temperatures were recorded during a summer heatwave, impacting public health.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood454.8(+0.3)5.1(+0.6)
bushfire303.1(+0.1)3.2(+0.2)
heat657.3(+0.8)8.0(+1.5)
coastal707.6(+0.6)8.0(+1.0)

By 2030, Innaloo is projected to experience a notable increase in heatwave intensity and frequency, along with a moderate increase in coastal hazards and flooding risk. Bushfire risk remains relatively stable.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Develop a heatwave management plan

Immediate

Implement strategies to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, such as cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Improve stormwater drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement coastal protection measures

Near-term

Construct seawalls and other coastal defenses to protect infrastructure and property from erosion and sea level rise.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Promote water-sensitive urban design

Long-term

Incorporate green infrastructure and permeable surfaces to reduce stormwater runoff and mitigate the urban heat island effect.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community awareness programs

Immediate

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Innaloo's Climate Risk Profile

Innaloo, a suburb of Perth, Western Australia, is increasingly vulnerable to climate change impacts. The primary concerns are rising temperatures, coastal hazards, and potential flooding. Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing health risks, especially to vulnerable populations.

Coastal erosion and sea level rise threaten infrastructure and property values in areas close to the coast. Storm surges can exacerbate these risks, leading to potential damage and displacement.

Flooding is a moderate concern, with intense rainfall events potentially overwhelming stormwater drainage systems. Low-lying areas are particularly susceptible to flooding. Bushfire risk is relatively low due to the suburb's urbanized nature, but nearby parks and reserves introduce some level of risk.

Adapting to these changes requires a combination of individual actions, community initiatives, and government policies. Residents should take steps to prepare for heatwaves, protect their properties from coastal hazards, and support efforts to improve stormwater management. The City of Stirling is developing strategies to address climate change and enhance community resilience.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · DFES

Local Government Resources

City of Stirling

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Innaloo?

The main risks are increasing heatwaves, coastal erosion and sea level rise, and potential flooding.

How will climate change affect property values in Innaloo?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price depreciation due to increased insurance costs and potential damage from climate hazards.

What is the City of Stirling doing to address climate change?

The City of Stirling is developing strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and enhance community resilience to climate change impacts.

How can I prepare my home for heatwaves?

Install insulation, use air conditioning or fans, and stay hydrated during hot weather. Consider planting trees to provide shade.

What should I do during a flood?

Move to higher ground, avoid driving through floodwaters, and follow instructions from emergency services.

Where can I find information about emergency services during a bushfire?

The Department of Fire and Emergency Services (DFES) website provides information about bushfire risks and emergency procedures.

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