Is Kelmscott, WA Climate Safe? 2026 Assessment

Kelmscott, Western Australia· UNKNOWN
Moderate climate risk — address-specificUpdated 8 Mar 2026

Climate Safety Score

5.8/10

Moderate climate risk — address-specific

Key Facts

Climate Safety
Medium
Flood
Kelmscott faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Canning River and other waterways. Increased rainfall intensity and altered river flows could exacerbate this risk.
Bushfire
The risk of bushfires in Kelmscott is high due to the presence of nearby bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Heat
Kelmscott is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This will increase the risk of heat stress, particularly for vulnerable populations.
Storm
Moderate storm risk — winter storms and occasional severe thunderstorms
Postcode
6111
Highest high-risk exposure
15.1% of land (bushfire)

Climate Safety Analysis

Kelmscott in Western Australia has an overall climate safety rating of Medium. This multi-hazard assessment combines flood, bushfire, heat, coastal, and storm risk data with climate projections to 2050 from CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology.

Key factors affecting Kelmscott's climate safety include flood, bushfire. Each hazard is assessed independently and combined for an overall picture. Australia has warmed by approximately 1.5 °C since 1910, with flow-on effects to fire weather, extreme rainfall, and heatwave frequency.

Climate safety for property in Kelmscott is not uniform — it varies by address. Factors such as elevation, distance to waterways, proximity to bushland, and local drainage all influence actual risk at a specific property. Two nearby properties can have materially different risk profiles.

For a complete property-specific climate safety report for Kelmscott including address-level hazard mapping, insurance outlook, and adaptation recommendations, use the ClimateNest full analysis tool.

Kelmscott (postcode 6111) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (15.1% of land in high-risk zones), riverine flood (10.4% of land in high-risk zones), tropical cyclone (6.2% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Kelmscott — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.

Local Hazard Evidence

Distance to BushlandAdjacent to bushland areas.
BAL OverlayRefer to DFES bushfire prone area map.
Nearest WaterwayCanning River
Flood ZoneAreas near the Canning River are prone to flooding.
Avg January Max32.5 °C

Historical Events

2017
Moderate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding along the Canning River, impacting some properties in Kelmscott.

2011
Moderate

A bushfire near Kelmscott threatened properties and required emergency response.

2010
Moderate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased heat stress and health concerns in Kelmscott.

2005
Minor

Minor flooding occurred in low-lying areas of Kelmscott following heavy rainfall.

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as levees and improved drainage systems.

Est. cost: High

Bushfire Management

Immediate

Implement bushfire management strategies, including fuel reduction and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Heatwave Preparedness

Near-term

Develop a heatwave response plan and provide support for vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Council & Emergency Services

City of Armadale
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 8 March 2026

Explore Kelmscott Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Kelmscott safe from climate change?

No location in Australia is entirely immune to climate change impacts. Kelmscott has an overall Medium climate risk rating. Understanding the specific hazards at your property address — not just the suburb average — provides the most reliable risk picture.

Which climate hazard poses the biggest risk in Kelmscott?

The dominant hazard for Kelmscott depends on geography and local environment. Proximity to waterways elevates flood risk, while proximity to bushland increases bushfire risk. ClimateNest's multi-hazard analysis identifies the highest-risk hazards for any specific address.

How does Kelmscott compare to nearby suburbs for climate safety?

Nearby suburbs may have different climate risk profiles depending on elevation, vegetation cover, drainage patterns, and land use. ClimateNest allows comparison of climate safety scores across Western Australia suburbs.

Should I be concerned about buying property in Kelmscott?

Climate risk should be one factor in your decision, alongside price, location, and amenity. An informed buyer understands the specific risks at a property address and factors insurance costs and climate projections into their assessment of long-term value.

What climate projections should I know for Kelmscott?

Key projections for Western Australia from CSIRO include increased average temperatures, more frequent hot days, changes in rainfall seasonality, longer fire seasons, and potential increases in extreme rainfall intensity. These trends inform the long-term outlook for Kelmscott.

What share of Kelmscott is exposed to high bushfire risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 15.1% of Kelmscott in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 73.4% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Kelmscott Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Kelmscott, Western Australia, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections