Climate Risk in Mundrabilla, Western Australia

Mundrabilla, Western Australia
Medium Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Mundrabilla faces increasing risks from heat and bushfires due to its arid climate and geographic location. Flooding is a moderate concern, while coastal risks are minimal. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
3.5
Bushfire
6.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Mundrabilla

increasing

Flood

35/100

Mundrabilla faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential flash flooding due to the flat terrain and limited drainage infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Poor drainage infrastructure
increasing

Bushfire

60/100

The bushfire risk in Mundrabilla is relatively high due to the surrounding arid landscape and sparse vegetation, which can act as fuel during dry periods. Increased temperatures and prolonged droughts exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Arid climate
  • ·Sparse vegetation
increasing

Heat

70/100

Mundrabilla experiences high heat risk due to its location in a hot, arid region. Extreme heat events are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a significant threat to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Arid climate
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
stable

Coastal

10/100

Coastal risk is very low in Mundrabilla due to its inland location far from the coast.

Key drivers:

  • ·Inland location
stable

Wind

32/100

Moderate wind risk — winter storms

stable

Storm

28/100

Moderate storm risk — occasional severe thunderstorms

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability

increasing

Energy

39/100

Moderate energy costs — cooling demand in summer

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Mundrabilla

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Mundrabilla experiences high heat risk due to its location in a hot, arid region. Extreme heat events are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a significant threat to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Arid climate
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

35/100

Mundrabilla faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential flash flooding due to the flat terrain and limited drainage infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Poor drainage infrastructure
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.0

2050

4.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Coastal risk is very low in Mundrabilla due to its inland location far from the coast.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Inland location

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

60/100

The bushfire risk in Mundrabilla is relatively high due to the surrounding arid landscape and sparse vegetation, which can act as fuel during dry periods. Increased temperatures and prolonged droughts exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Arid climate
  • ·Sparse vegetation
  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Prolonged droughts

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to rising climate risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be affected by increased bushfire and heat risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood risk maps.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider the impact of extreme heat on property value.
  • 4.Review insurance options and costs.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Ephemeral creeks
Elevation Range
Relatively flat
Flood Zone
Low-lying areas prone to flash flooding

Due to the flat terrain, even minor rainfall can cause localised flooding.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Surrounded by arid shrubland
Planning Overlay
Available from DFES WA
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area is prone to bushfires, especially during the dry season.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
38.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
15 days

Extreme heat events are common during the summer months.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
800 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2010
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localised flooding in Mundrabilla, disrupting transport and damaging infrastructure.

Source
2015
bushfireModerate

A bushfire near Mundrabilla threatened the community and caused damage to property.

Source
2019
heatwaveMajor

An extended heatwave in Mundrabilla resulted in record-breaking temperatures and increased demand for emergency services.

Source
2022
droughtModerate

Prolonged drought conditions impacted local water resources and agricultural activities.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday2030205020302050
flood353.7(+0.2)3.8(+0.3)3.8(+0.3)4.0(+0.5)
bushfire606.4(+0.4)6.7(+0.7)6.6(+0.6)7.0(+1.0)
heat707.5(+0.5)7.8(+0.8)7.7(+0.7)8.2(+1.2)
coastal101.01.01.01.0

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Mundrabilla is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, primarily driven by rising temperatures and increased bushfire risk.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve water management

Near-term

Implement water conservation measures and explore alternative water sources to mitigate the impact of droughts.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Enhance bushfire preparedness

Immediate

Develop and implement bushfire management plans, including controlled burns and community education programs.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Upgrade infrastructure

Long-term

Invest in infrastructure improvements to enhance resilience to extreme weather events, such as upgrading drainage systems and strengthening buildings.

Est. cost: Very High

Learn more

Promote energy efficiency

Near-term

Encourage energy conservation and the adoption of renewable energy sources to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and mitigate climate change.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community awareness programs

Immediate

Implement community-based programs to raise awareness about climate change risks and promote adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Mundrabilla's Climate Risk Profile

Mundrabilla, located in a remote part of Western Australia, is particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change due to its arid environment and limited infrastructure. The primary concerns are rising temperatures, increased bushfire risk, and potential flooding from intense rainfall events.

The region's arid climate makes it susceptible to prolonged droughts and heatwaves, which are expected to become more frequent and severe in the coming decades. This poses a significant threat to human health, agriculture, and local ecosystems.

Bushfire risk is also a major concern, as the dry vegetation provides ample fuel for fires. The combination of high temperatures, strong winds, and dry conditions can lead to rapid fire spread, threatening communities and infrastructure.

While Mundrabilla is not located on the coast, it is still susceptible to flooding from heavy rainfall events. The flat terrain and limited drainage infrastructure can exacerbate the risk of flash flooding, particularly during periods of intense precipitation.

Addressing these climate risks will require a combination of adaptation and mitigation strategies, including improving water management, enhancing bushfire preparedness, and reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · DFES WA

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Mundrabilla?

The main climate change risks in Mundrabilla are rising temperatures, increased bushfire risk, and potential flooding from intense rainfall events.

How will climate change affect property values in Mundrabilla?

Property values in Mundrabilla may be affected by increased bushfire and heat risks, potentially leading to higher insurance premiums and reduced demand.

What can residents do to prepare for extreme heat events?

Residents can prepare for extreme heat events by staying hydrated, seeking air-conditioned environments, and checking on vulnerable neighbors.

What is the local council doing to address climate change?

The local council's climate change initiatives are currently unknown. Contacting the council directly is recommended for more information.

Where can I find more information about bushfire risks in Mundrabilla?

More information about bushfire risks in Mundrabilla can be found on the Department of Fire and Emergency Services (DFES) website.

Are there any community programs to help residents adapt to climate change?

Information on community programs related to climate change adaptation may be available through the local council or community organizations. Contacting these entities directly is recommended.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections