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Climate Risk in North Fremantle, WA

North Fremantle, Western Australia· City of Fremantle· 6159
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

North Fremantle faces moderate climate risks, primarily related to flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Sea level rise and increasing temperatures are key drivers of these risks. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and consider adaptation measures.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
3.0
Heat
5.5
Coastal
6.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for North Fremantle

increasing

Flood

65/100

North Fremantle faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Swan River and coastal areas. Sea level rise and increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
stable

Bushfire

30/100

Bushfire risk in North Fremantle is relatively low due to the suburb's urban development and limited vegetation. However, nearby bushland areas pose a potential threat.

Key drivers:

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry vegetation
increasing

Heat

55/100

North Fremantle experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This could impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
increasing

Coastal

60/100

North Fremantle is exposed to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion. These factors could impact infrastructure, property values, and recreational areas.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Coastal erosion
stable

Wind

32/100

Moderate wind risk — winter storms

stable

Storm

28/100

Moderate storm risk — occasional severe thunderstorms

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability

increasing

Energy

39/100

Moderate energy costs — cooling demand in summer

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for North Fremantle

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

55/100

North Fremantle experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This could impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.0

2050

6.8

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

North Fremantle faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Swan River and coastal areas. Sea level rise and increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Storm surge

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.8

Data source

coastal Risk

60/100

North Fremantle is exposed to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion. These factors could impact infrastructure, property values, and recreational areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Coastal erosion
  • ·Storm surge

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.2

Data source

bushfire Risk

30/100

Bushfire risk in North Fremantle is relatively low due to the suburb's urban development and limited vegetation. However, nearby bushland areas pose a potential threat.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Proximity to bushland
  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Wind patterns

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

3.2

2050

3.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to coastal erosion.
  • 3.Consider the potential impact of heatwaves on energy costs.
  • 4.Inquire about council plans for climate adaptation.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Swan River
Elevation Range
0-10 meters
Flood Zone
Coastal and riverine flood zones

Historical flood events have impacted low-lying areas near the Swan River.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Within 2km of bushland reserves
Planning Overlay
DFES Bushfire Prone Area Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents should maintain firebreaks and clear vegetation around their properties.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Elderly residents are particularly vulnerable during heatwaves.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
0.5 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Moderate exposure to sea level rise
Erosion Risk
Moderate erosion risk

Historical Climate Events

2010
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in low-lying areas near the Swan River.

Source
2011
stormModerate

A severe storm caused damage to coastal infrastructure and properties.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased hospital admissions.

Source
2021
floodMinor

Minor flooding occurred after a period of heavy rainfall.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire303.2(+0.2)3.5(+0.5)
heat556.1(+0.6)6.7(+1.2)
coastal606.4(+0.4)6.8(+0.8)

By 2030, North Fremantle is projected to experience increased flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion due to climate change.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement coastal protection measures

Near-term

Construct seawalls and other coastal defenses to protect against erosion and sea level rise.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop a heatwave management plan

Immediate

Establish cooling centers and provide support for vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Encourage residents to reduce water consumption to mitigate the impacts of drought.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Raise awareness of climate risks

Immediate

Educate residents about the impacts of climate change and how to prepare for extreme weather events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About North Fremantle's Climate Risk Profile

North Fremantle, located near the mouth of the Swan River, is susceptible to flooding from both riverine and coastal sources. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events, leading to higher flood risks. Sea level rise will also exacerbate coastal flooding and erosion.

The suburb is also vulnerable to heatwaves, with average temperatures projected to increase in the coming decades. This could lead to heat stress for vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. The urban heat island effect may further amplify these impacts.

Bushfire risk is relatively low in North Fremantle due to its urban development. However, nearby bushland areas pose a potential threat, particularly during dry and windy conditions. Residents should be aware of bushfire safety guidelines and maintain their properties to reduce fire hazards.

Coastal erosion is another concern for North Fremantle, with rising sea levels threatening beaches and coastal infrastructure. Protecting coastal areas through managed retreat or coastal protection measures will be crucial to mitigate these risks. Planning for climate change impacts is essential to ensure the long-term sustainability of North Fremantle.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · DFES · City of Fremantle · Department of Water and Environmental Regulation

Local Government Resources

City of Fremantle

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in North Fremantle?

The main climate change risks in North Fremantle are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These risks are expected to increase in the coming decades due to rising temperatures and sea levels.

How will sea level rise affect North Fremantle?

Sea level rise will increase the risk of coastal flooding and erosion in North Fremantle, potentially impacting properties, infrastructure, and recreational areas.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in North Fremantle?

During heatwaves, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Consider installing energy-efficient cooling systems in your home.

Where can I find information about flood risks in North Fremantle?

You can find information about flood risks in North Fremantle on the City of Fremantle website and the Department of Water and Environmental Regulation website.

Is my property in North Fremantle at risk from bushfires?

While the overall bushfire risk in North Fremantle is relatively low, properties near bushland areas may be at risk. Maintain firebreaks and clear vegetation around your property to reduce the risk.

What is the City of Fremantle doing to address climate change?

The City of Fremantle has developed a climate strategy that outlines actions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. This includes improving drainage infrastructure, implementing coastal protection measures, and promoting water conservation.

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