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Climate Risk Profile: Seville Grove, WA

Seville Grove, Western Australia
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Seville Grove faces moderate climate risks, primarily from bushfires and heatwaves. Flooding is also a concern. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.0
Bushfire
6.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Seville Grove

increasing

Flood

40/100

Seville Grove faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from nearby waterways. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
increasing

Bushfire

60/100

Seville Grove has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry summers and strong winds exacerbate the risk. Climate change is projected to worsen bushfire conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

50/100

Seville Grove experiences moderately high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
stable

Coastal

10/100

Seville Grove is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast
stable

Wind

32/100

Moderate wind risk — winter storms

stable

Storm

28/100

Moderate storm risk — occasional severe thunderstorms

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability

increasing

Energy

39/100

Moderate energy costs — cooling demand in summer

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Seville Grove

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

50/100

Seville Grove experiences moderately high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.0

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

40/100

Seville Grove faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from nearby waterways. The risk is expected to increase with climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.0

2050

6.0

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Seville Grove is located inland and has a very low risk of coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

60/100

Seville Grove has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry summers and strong winds exacerbate the risk. Climate change is projected to worsen bushfire conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Climate change

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

8.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Review insurance options and premiums.
  • 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making a purchase.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Southern River
Elevation Range
20-30 meters
Flood Zone
Low-lying areas near Southern River

Some properties may be susceptible to flash flooding during heavy rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland reserves
Planning Overlay
Bushfire Prone Area
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents should maintain firebreaks and have a bushfire survival plan.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Heatwaves can pose a risk to vulnerable populations.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
30 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2010
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas of Seville Grove.

Source
2011
bushfireMinor

A bushfire near Seville Grove threatened properties but was quickly contained.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in heat stress and health concerns for residents.

Source
2022
floodMinor

Heavy downpours led to flash flooding in some parts of Seville Grove, causing minor property damage.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood404.3(+0.3)4.6(+0.6)
bushfire606.6(+0.6)7.0(+1.0)
heat505.7(+0.7)6.5(+1.5)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Seville Grove is projected to experience an increase in bushfire and heatwave risks under a high emissions scenario. Flooding risk will also slightly increase.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire mitigation strategies, such as clearing vegetation around properties and developing a bushfire survival plan.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Enhance Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote Energy Efficiency

Long-term

Encourage residents to adopt energy-efficient practices to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and mitigate climate change.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Develop a Heatwave Response Plan

Near-term

Create a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwave events, including establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Seville Grove's Climate Risk Profile

Seville Grove, located in Western Australia, is susceptible to several climate-related risks. The suburb's proximity to bushland increases its vulnerability to bushfires, particularly during the hot, dry summer months. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfire events, posing a significant threat to residents and property.

Flooding is another concern for Seville Grove, with heavy rainfall events potentially leading to localized flooding. The risk is further compounded by urban development, which can increase surface runoff and reduce natural drainage. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating the risk of flooding in the future.

Heatwaves are also a growing concern for Seville Grove, with summer temperatures frequently exceeding comfortable levels. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwave events, posing a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

While Seville Grove is located inland and has a low risk of coastal hazards, the impacts of climate change on other hazards should not be ignored. Taking proactive measures to adapt to these changes is crucial to ensure the long-term sustainability and resilience of the suburb. This includes implementing bushfire mitigation strategies, improving drainage infrastructure, and promoting energy efficiency to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · DFES

Local Government Resources

City of Armadale

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Seville Grove?

Seville Grove faces risks from bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves, which are expected to worsen with climate change.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires?

Clear vegetation around your property, maintain firebreaks, and develop a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Is my property at risk of flooding?

Check the City of Armadale's flood maps to determine if your property is in a flood-prone area.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The City of Armadale is developing and implementing climate strategies to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Seville Grove, use our analysis tool.

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