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Climate Risk in South Yunderup, Western Australia

South Yunderup, Western Australia
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

South Yunderup faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and consider adaptation measures to protect their properties and health. The risk scores are projected to increase by 2030 and 2050.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
5.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for South Yunderup

increasing

Flood

60/100

South Yunderup faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Murray River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity and rising sea levels could exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
increasing

Bushfire

40/100

The risk of bushfires in South Yunderup is moderate, with bushland areas surrounding the suburb. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Higher temperatures
increasing

Heat

70/100

South Yunderup is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
increasing

Coastal

50/100

South Yunderup faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to the coast and the Murray River estuary. Sea level rise and storm surges could lead to increased coastal erosion and inundation.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
stable

Wind

32/100

Moderate wind risk — winter storms

stable

Storm

28/100

Moderate storm risk — occasional severe thunderstorms

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability

increasing

Energy

39/100

Moderate energy costs — cooling demand in summer

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for South Yunderup

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

South Yunderup is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

South Yunderup faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Murray River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity and rising sea levels could exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Riverine flooding

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

50/100

South Yunderup faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its proximity to the coast and the Murray River estuary. Sea level rise and storm surges could lead to increased coastal erosion and inundation.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Coastal erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

The risk of bushfires in South Yunderup is moderate, with bushland areas surrounding the suburb. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Higher temperatures
  • ·Increased fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire overlays.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise.
  • 4.Review insurance options and premiums.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Murray River
Elevation Range
0-10 meters
Flood Zone
Areas near the Murray River are prone to flooding.

Historical flood events have impacted properties near the river.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland areas.
Planning Overlay
Check DFES website for current bushfire overlays.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Residents should maintain firebreaks and clear vegetation around their homes.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Elderly residents are particularly vulnerable during heatwaves.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
2 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying areas are susceptible to sea level rise.
Erosion Risk
Coastal erosion is a concern in some areas.

Historical Climate Events

2017
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused flooding in low-lying areas of South Yunderup.

Source
2015
bushfireMinor

A bushfire near South Yunderup threatened properties but was contained by firefighters.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave resulted in heat stress and health concerns for residents.

Source
2022
stormMinor

A severe storm caused minor damage to properties in South Yunderup.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire404.2(+0.2)4.5(+0.5)
heat707.4(+0.4)7.8(+0.8)
coastal505.3(+0.3)5.7(+0.7)

Under a moderate emissions scenario, South Yunderup is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, with notable increases in flood and heat risks.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Bushfire Management Plans

Near-term

Develop and implement bushfire management plans to protect properties and infrastructure from bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote Heatwave Preparedness

Immediate

Educate residents about the risks of heatwaves and provide resources for staying safe during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Protect Coastal Areas

Long-term

Implement measures to protect coastal areas from erosion and inundation, such as building seawalls and restoring coastal vegetation.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

About South Yunderup's Climate Risk Profile

South Yunderup, located in Western Australia, is susceptible to a range of climate-related risks. Its proximity to the Murray River and the coast makes it vulnerable to flooding and coastal erosion. Rising sea levels and increased rainfall intensity are expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades.

Heatwaves are also a significant concern for South Yunderup. As average temperatures rise, the frequency and intensity of heatwaves are projected to increase, posing health risks to residents, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions.

Bushfire risk is also present due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures can increase the likelihood of bushfires, threatening properties and infrastructure.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions is crucial to slowing down the rate of climate change. Local adaptation measures, such as improving drainage infrastructure, implementing bushfire management plans, and promoting heatwave preparedness, are also essential to protect the community.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · DFES

Local Government Resources

City of Mandurah

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing South Yunderup?

South Yunderup faces risks from flooding, heatwaves, bushfires, and coastal hazards due to its location near the Murray River, the coast, and bushland areas.

How will climate change affect South Yunderup in the future?

Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, such as floods, heatwaves, and bushfires, posing risks to residents and infrastructure.

What can I do to prepare for climate change in South Yunderup?

You can take steps to protect your property from flooding and bushfires, stay informed about heatwave warnings, and support local adaptation efforts.

Where can I find more information about climate change in South Yunderup?

You can find more information on the City of Mandurah website, the Department of Fire and Emergency Services website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.

Is South Yunderup a good place to invest in property considering climate change?

While South Yunderup offers a desirable lifestyle, potential buyers should carefully consider the climate risks and take steps to mitigate their exposure.

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2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
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*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

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