Climate Risk Assessment for Tammin, WA

Tammin, Western Australia· Tammin· 6409
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Tammin faces moderate climate risks, primarily from bushfires, heatwaves and flooding. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events, posing challenges for the community.

Overall Risk Score

5.2/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.0
Bushfire
6.0
Heat
5.0
Coastal
1.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

5.0/10

Tammin experiences high temperatures during summer, with the risk of heatwaves increasing due to climate change. This poses a threat to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.0

Data source

flood Risk

4.0/10

Tammin faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events overwhelming local drainage. The risk is projected to increase with climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Poor drainage infrastructure

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

coastal Risk

1.0/10

Tammin is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

6.0/10

Tammin is located in a region with a high bushfire risk due to dry vegetation and hot, windy conditions during summer. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Drier vegetation
  • ·Strong winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to bushfire and flood risk.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check bushfire risk assessment
  • 2.Assess flood risk
  • 3.Inquire about heatwave preparedness
  • 4.Review insurance options

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Yilgarn River
Elevation Range
280-320m
Flood Zone
Low-lying areas near the Yilgarn River

Historical flood events have been associated with intense rainfall periods.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to large areas of uncleared land
Planning Overlay
DFES Bushfire Prone Area Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area is prone to dry lightning strikes during summer.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
35°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Heatwaves can last for several days, posing a risk to vulnerable residents.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
200 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not applicable
Erosion Risk
Not applicable

Historical Climate Events

2010
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in Tammin, affecting some residential areas.

Source
2012
bushfireModerate

A bushfire near Tammin threatened properties and required emergency response.

Source
2019
heatwaveModerate

Tammin experienced a prolonged heatwave with temperatures exceeding 40°C for several days.

Source
2022
droughtModerate

Prolonged dry conditions impacted agriculture in the Tammin region.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood4.04.3(+0.3)4.5(+0.5)
bushfire6.06.4(+0.4)6.8(+0.8)
heat5.05.6(+0.6)6.2(+1.2)
coastal1.01.01.0

By 2030, Tammin is projected to experience an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves and bushfires. Rainfall patterns may become more erratic, leading to increased flood risk.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Bushfire Management

Immediate

Implement controlled burns and maintain firebreaks to reduce the risk of bushfires spreading to populated areas.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Upgrade Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Improve drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement Heatwave Early Warning System

Immediate

Develop a system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide advice on how to stay safe.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage residents to conserve water to reduce the impact of droughts.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Tammin's Climate Risk Profile

Tammin, located in the Wheatbelt region of Western Australia, is vulnerable to a range of climate-related hazards. The most significant risks include bushfires, which are common in the region due to dry vegetation and hot summers. Heatwaves are also a concern, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Flooding can occur during periods of heavy rainfall, overwhelming local drainage systems. While Tammin is not located near the coast, it can still be affected by extreme weather events associated with coastal systems.

Climate change is projected to exacerbate these risks, with rising temperatures, more frequent heatwaves, and changes in rainfall patterns. This could lead to increased stress on infrastructure, agriculture, and human health.

Adaptation measures are needed to reduce the vulnerability of Tammin to climate change. These may include improving bushfire management practices, upgrading drainage infrastructure, and implementing heatwave early warning systems. Community awareness and preparedness are also essential to building resilience.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · DFES

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Tammin?

The main climate change risks in Tammin are bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to rising temperatures and changes in rainfall patterns.

How will climate change affect property values in Tammin?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased bushfire and flood risk. Insurance premiums may also increase.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The Shire of Tammin is developing strategies to address climate change, including improving bushfire management, upgrading drainage infrastructure, and promoting water conservation.

How can I prepare for a heatwave in Tammin?

Stay indoors during the hottest part of the day, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors. The local council may also provide cooling centers during heatwaves.

What should I do if a bushfire threatens my property?

Follow the advice of emergency services, evacuate if necessary, and have a bushfire survival plan in place.

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