Climate Risk in Tom Price, Western Australia

Tom Price, Western Australia· Shire of Ashburton· 6751
High Risk
Updated Apr 2026

Tom Price faces significant climate risks, primarily from bushfires and extreme heat. Flooding is a secondary concern. Coastal risks are negligible due to its inland location.

Overall Risk Score

72/100
High

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
8.0
Heat
7.5
Coastal
2.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Tom Price

increasing

Flood

65/100

Tom Price experiences some risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events overwhelming local drainage. The risk is moderate but can be exacerbated by infrequent but intense cyclones.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development reducing permeable surfaces
stable

Bushfire

80/100

Tom Price faces a high risk of bushfires due to the surrounding arid landscape and dry vegetation. Hot, dry summers and strong winds contribute to the potential for rapid fire spread.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
increasing

Heat

75/100

Tom Price experiences extreme heat, particularly during the summer months. Rising temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing health risks to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Reduced rainfall
stable

Coastal

20/100

Tom Price is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

stable

Wind

45/100

Moderate wind risk — winter storms

stable

Storm

40/100

Moderate storm risk — occasional severe thunderstorms

stable

Social

30/100

Moderate social stability

increasing

Energy

55/100

Moderate energy costs — cooling demand in summer

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Tom Price

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

75/100

Tom Price experiences extreme heat, particularly during the summer months. Rising temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing health risks to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Reduced rainfall

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

8.0

2050

8.5

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Tom Price experiences some risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events overwhelming local drainage. The risk is moderate but can be exacerbated by infrequent but intense cyclones.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development reducing permeable surfaces

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

20/100

Tom Price is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

2.0

2050

2.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

80/100

Tom Price faces a high risk of bushfires due to the surrounding arid landscape and dry vegetation. Hot, dry summers and strong winds contribute to the potential for rapid fire spread.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

8.0

2050

8.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to bushfire and flood risk.

Price Impact

Property values may be negatively impacted by increasing climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Assess bushfire risk mitigation measures.
  • 2.Check flood risk and insurance coverage.
  • 3.Evaluate cooling systems and energy efficiency.
  • 4.Consider long-term climate projections for the area.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Tributaries of the Ashburton River
Elevation Range
Approximately 747m above sea level
Flood Zone
Areas near drainage lines

Local drainage infrastructure may be insufficient to handle extreme rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Immediately adjacent to town
Planning Overlay
DFES Bushfire Prone Areas Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The town is surrounded by highly flammable vegetation.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
42°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
15 days

Extreme heat is a significant health risk during summer months.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
250 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
None
Erosion Risk
None

Historical Climate Events

2010
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in Tom Price, disrupting traffic and damaging some properties.

Source
2012
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave in the Pilbara region led to increased hospital admissions for heat-related illnesses in Tom Price.

Source
2015
bushfireModerate

A bushfire near Tom Price threatened the town, requiring emergency services to conduct backburning operations.

Source
2021
heatwaveMajor

Record-breaking temperatures were recorded in Tom Price during a severe heatwave, placing significant strain on infrastructure and emergency services.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday2030205020302050
flood656.7(+0.2)6.9(+0.4)6.8(+0.3)7.1(+0.6)
bushfire808.3(+0.3)8.5(+0.5)8.5(+0.5)8.8(+0.8)
heat758.2(+0.7)8.7(+1.2)8.7(+1.2)9.5(+2.0)
coastal202.02.02.02.0

Under a moderate emissions scenario, Tom Price is projected to experience a slight increase in overall climate risk, primarily driven by rising temperatures and increased bushfire risk.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement comprehensive bushfire management plans, including vegetation clearing, firebreaks, and community education programs.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Heatwave Response

Immediate

Develop and implement heatwave early warning systems, establish cooling centers, and provide public health advice on managing heat stress.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Upgrade Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Invest in upgrading drainage infrastructure to improve flood resilience and mitigate the impacts of heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Implement water conservation measures to reduce water demand and ensure water security in the face of increasing temperatures and reduced rainfall.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Tom Price's Climate Risk Profile

Tom Price, located in the Pilbara region of Western Australia, is particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The region is characterized by a hot, arid climate, making it susceptible to extreme heat events and bushfires.

The primary climate risks for Tom Price include increasing temperatures, leading to more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a significant threat to human health, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing medical conditions. The increased heat also exacerbates the risk of bushfires, as dry vegetation becomes more flammable.

Bushfires are a major concern for Tom Price, given the surrounding arid landscape and dry vegetation. The combination of high temperatures, strong winds, and dry fuel loads creates ideal conditions for rapid fire spread. These fires can threaten homes, infrastructure, and the local environment.

Flooding is a secondary risk, primarily associated with heavy rainfall events and cyclones. While Tom Price is not directly on the coast, intense rainfall can overwhelm local drainage systems, leading to flash flooding. The risk is moderate but can be significant during extreme weather events.

Due to its inland location, Tom Price is not exposed to coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion. However, the town must still prepare for the impacts of climate change, including extreme heat, bushfires, and flooding.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · DFES

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Tom Price?

The main climate change risks for Tom Price are extreme heat, bushfires, and flooding. Rising temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, while dry vegetation and strong winds contribute to the risk of bushfires. Heavy rainfall events can also lead to localized flooding.

How is the local council preparing for climate change?

The Shire of Ashburton is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies to address the risks posed by climate change. These strategies include improving bushfire preparedness, enhancing heatwave response, and upgrading drainage infrastructure.

What can residents do to prepare for extreme heat events?

Residents can prepare for extreme heat events by staying hydrated, seeking shade or air-conditioned environments, and avoiding strenuous activities during the hottest parts of the day. It is also important to check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

What should I do in the event of a bushfire?

In the event of a bushfire, it is important to follow the advice of emergency services. This may include evacuating your home, sheltering in place, or actively defending your property. Stay informed about the fire situation and be prepared to act quickly.

Will climate change affect property values in Tom Price?

Climate change may negatively impact property values in Tom Price due to increasing climate risks such as bushfires and flooding. It is important to consider these risks when buying or selling property in the area.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Tom Price, WA | ClimateNest