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PROPERTY ANALYTICS

Climate Risk in Welshpool, WA

Welshpool, Western Australia· UNKNOWN
Medium Risk
Updated Mar 2026

Welshpool faces moderate climate risks, primarily related to heatwaves and potential flooding. Bushfire risk is present but relatively lower compared to other hazards. Coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location.

Overall Risk Score

5.5/10
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
4.0
Bushfire
3.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
1.0

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

7.0/10

Welshpool is likely to experience an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Global warming
  • ·Urban heat island effect
  • ·Reduced vegetation cover

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

4.0/10

Flooding may pose a risk to some properties in Welshpool, particularly those near drainage lines or low-lying areas. Localized flooding can occur during periods of heavy rainfall.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure

Projections (RCP4.5)

2030

4.2

2050

4.5

Data source

coastal Risk

1.0/10

Coastal risks are minimal in Welshpool due to its inland location. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not direct threats.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Minimal coastal proximity

Projections (RCP4.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

3.0/10

Welshpool has a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to industrial areas and some vegetated areas. While not directly adjacent to dense bushland, embers can travel and pose a threat.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Increased frequency of extreme heat days
  • ·Human ignition sources

Projections (RCP4.5)

2030

3.2

2050

3.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the rising risk of heatwaves and flooding.

Price Impact

Property values may be slightly affected by increasing climate risks, particularly for properties in flood-prone areas.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider the potential for future climate impacts.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Swan River
Elevation Range
Relatively flat, ranging from 5 to 15 meters above sea level.
Flood Zone
Low-lying areas near drainage lines may be susceptible to flooding.

Historical records indicate localized flooding events in Welshpool during periods of intense rainfall.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Several kilometers from significant bushland areas.
Planning Overlay
Check DFES website for current bushfire overlays.
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

While not directly surrounded by dense bushland, Welshpool is located in a region prone to bushfires, and ember attacks can pose a risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

Welshpool experiences hot summers, with temperatures frequently exceeding 30 degrees Celsius. The urban environment can exacerbate the heat island effect.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
10 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Not directly exposed to sea level rise.
Erosion Risk
No significant erosion risk.

Historical Climate Events

2010
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in parts of Welshpool, disrupting traffic and affecting some businesses.

Source
2011
heatwaveModerate

A prolonged heatwave in Perth led to increased energy demand and health concerns in Welshpool.

Source
2015
bushfireMinor

Bushfires in the Perth hills caused smoky conditions in Welshpool, raising concerns about air quality.

Source
2022
floodMinor

Significant rainfall event caused flash flooding in industrial areas of Welshpool.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP4.5

HazardToday20302050
flood4.04.2(+0.2)4.5(+0.5)
bushfire3.03.1(+0.1)3.3(+0.3)
heat7.07.5(+0.5)8.5(+1.5)
coastal1.01.01.0

By 2030, Welshpool is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, primarily driven by rising temperatures and increased flood risk. Heatwaves are expected to become more frequent and intense.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Invest in upgrading drainage systems to reduce the risk of localized flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Heat Action Plans

Immediate

Develop and implement heat action plans to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including providing cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce water demand during periods of drought and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement bushfire preparedness measures, such as clearing vegetation around properties and developing evacuation plans.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Welshpool's Climate Risk Profile

Welshpool, an industrial suburb of Perth, is projected to experience increasing climate-related challenges in the coming decades. The most significant risk is the increasing frequency and intensity of heatwaves, which could impact worker health and productivity, as well as strain energy infrastructure.

Flooding is a secondary concern, with potential for localized flooding during periods of heavy rainfall. While Welshpool is not directly adjacent to bushland, the risk of ember attacks during bushfire events should not be ignored. Coastal hazards are not a significant concern for Welshpool due to its inland location.

Climate change projections indicate a continued increase in average temperatures and more frequent extreme heat days. Rainfall patterns may also become more erratic, potentially leading to both increased flood risk and prolonged periods of drought. These changes could have significant implications for businesses and residents in Welshpool.

Adapting to these changes will require a combination of infrastructure improvements, such as upgrading drainage systems, and community-level initiatives, such as promoting water conservation and providing support for vulnerable populations during heatwaves. Businesses should also consider implementing strategies to mitigate the impacts of climate change on their operations.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · DFES

Local Government Resources

City of Canning

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Welshpool?

The main climate change risks for Welshpool are increasing heatwaves, potential flooding, and bushfire risk.

How will climate change affect businesses in Welshpool?

Climate change could affect businesses through increased energy costs, disruptions to supply chains, and impacts on worker health and productivity.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Welshpool?

You can prepare for heatwaves by staying hydrated, seeking air-conditioned environments, and checking on vulnerable neighbors.

Is my property at risk of flooding in Welshpool?

Properties in low-lying areas near drainage lines may be at risk of flooding. Check flood maps and consider purchasing flood insurance.

How can I protect my property from bushfires in Welshpool?

You can protect your property by clearing vegetation around your home, installing ember screens, and developing a bushfire survival plan.

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