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Lower Turners Marsh vs Lower Wilmot — Which is Safer?

Compare climate risk between Lower Turners Marsh, Tasmania and Lower Wilmot, Tasmania. Our analysis uses data from BOM, CSIRO, and state hazard authorities to score each suburb across 6 climate hazards.

34/100
Moderate
34/100
Moderate
Hazard
Flood44/10049/100
Bushfire19/10035/100
Heat61/10057/100
Storm23/10026/100
Coastal28/10011/100
Cyclone28/10025/100

How to Interpret These Scores

Each hazard is scored from 0 (minimal risk) to 100 (severe risk). Scores are derived from BOM historical data, CSIRO climate projections, and state hazard authority mapping. A score of 50 means the property is in the moderate range — above average risk but not extreme. Scores above 67 indicate high risk requiring due diligence.

Minimal
0-16
Low
17-33
Moderate
34-50
Elevated
51-66
High
67-83
Severe
84-100

Insurance Cost Trajectory

Based on the hazard scores for these suburbs, current annual insurance premiums are estimated around A$5,348. With projected climate changes under RCP 8.5, premiums could rise to approximately A$7,487 by 2030 and A$13,905 by 2050. These projections align with Insurance Council of Australia data showing 28% average premium increases nationally between 2022-2025, with higher-risk areas seeing 80-120% increases.

Current
A$5,348
2030 (RCP 4.5)
A$7,487
2050 (RCP 8.5)
A$13,905

Property Value Climate Impact

Rising insurance premiums directly impact property values. Research from the Insurance Council of Australia and climate risk analysts shows that properties in areas with higher climate risk can experience a climate value drag. For a median-priced home, this could mean a potential impact of around A$42,785 or more over time.

Verdict

Lower Turners Marsh and Lower Wilmot have similar overall climate risk scores.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Lower Turners Marsh or Lower Wilmot safer from flooding?
Lower Turners Marsh has a flood risk score of 44/100, while Lower Wilmot scores 49/100. A lower score indicates lower flood risk. Get an address-level flood risk report for a specific property.
Which suburb has lower bushfire risk?
Lower Turners Marsh scores 19/100 for bushfire risk. Lower Wilmot scores 35/100. Fire risk depends on proximity to vegetation and local fire history.
Should I buy in Lower Turners Marsh or Lower Wilmot?
Both suburbs have climate considerations. Lower Turners Marsh has a lower overall climate risk score. We recommend getting a full ClimateNest report for any specific property you're considering, which includes 8 hazard scores, insurance projections, and actionable recommendations.

Explore Detailed Reports

Lower Turners Marsh Flood RiskLower Wilmot Flood RiskLower Turners Marsh Should I Buy?Lower Wilmot Should I Buy?

Check Your Flood Risk Now

Check Lower Turners Marsh's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

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Get Your Flood Risk Report — A$69

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections