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The Lagoon vs The Marra — Which is Safer?

Compare climate risk between The Lagoon, New South Wales and The Marra, New South Wales. Our analysis uses data from BOM, CSIRO, and state hazard authorities to score each suburb across 6 climate hazards.

32/100
Low
38/100
Moderate
Hazard
Flood28/10056/100
Bushfire36/10022/100
Heat71/10054/100
Storm27/10045/100
Coastal13/10023/100
Cyclone16/10025/100

How to Interpret These Scores

Each hazard is scored from 0 (minimal risk) to 100 (severe risk). Scores are derived from BOM historical data, CSIRO climate projections, and state hazard authority mapping. A score of 50 means the property is in the moderate range — above average risk but not extreme. Scores above 67 indicate high risk requiring due diligence.

Minimal
0-16
Low
17-33
Moderate
34-50
Elevated
51-66
High
67-83
Severe
84-100

Insurance Cost Trajectory

Based on the hazard scores for these suburbs, current annual insurance premiums are estimated around A$6,028. With projected climate changes under RCP 8.5, premiums could rise to approximately A$8,439 by 2030 and A$15,673 by 2050. These projections align with Insurance Council of Australia data showing 28% average premium increases nationally between 2022-2025, with higher-risk areas seeing 80-120% increases.

Current
A$6,028
2030 (RCP 4.5)
A$8,439
2050 (RCP 8.5)
A$15,673

Property Value Climate Impact

Rising insurance premiums directly impact property values. Research from the Insurance Council of Australia and climate risk analysts shows that properties in areas with higher climate risk can experience a climate value drag. For a median-priced home, this could mean a potential impact of around A$48,225 or more over time.

Verdict

The Lagoon has a lower overall climate risk score (32/100) compared to The Marra (38/100). We recommend getting an address-level report for properties in both suburbs before making a purchase decision.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is The Lagoon or The Marra safer from flooding?
The Lagoon has a flood risk score of 28/100, while The Marra scores 56/100. A lower score indicates lower flood risk. Get an address-level flood risk report for a specific property.
Which suburb has lower bushfire risk?
The Lagoon scores 36/100 for bushfire risk. The Marra scores 22/100. Fire risk depends on proximity to vegetation and local fire history.
Should I buy in The Lagoon or The Marra?
Both suburbs have climate considerations. The Lagoon has a lower overall climate risk score. We recommend getting a full ClimateNest report for any specific property you're considering, which includes 8 hazard scores, insurance projections, and actionable recommendations.

Explore Detailed Reports

The Lagoon Flood RiskThe Marra Flood RiskThe Lagoon Should I Buy?The Marra Should I Buy?

Check Your Flood Risk Now

Check The Lagoon's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

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Get Your Flood Risk Report — A$69

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections