Flood Risk in The Lagoon, NSW: 2026 Assessment

The Lagoon, New South Wales· UNKNOWN
The Lagoon faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flood events.Updated 14 Apr 2026

Flood Risk Score

6.0/10

The Lagoon faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flood events.

Key Facts

Flood Risk
The Lagoon faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flood events.
Trend
increasing
Suburb
The Lagoon, NSW
Overall Risk
Medium
Postcode
2795
Highest high-risk exposure
18.6% of land (bushfire)

Flood Risk Analysis

The Lagoon, located in New South Wales, has a notable flood risk profile based on available data including proximity to waterways, elevation, and historical flood events. The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) maintains river height and flood warning data for catchments across New South Wales.

Check local council for specific flood studies and planning controls.

The Lagoon faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flood events.

For a comprehensive property-specific flood assessment including address-level elevation data, flood overlay mapping, and insurance cost estimates, use the ClimateNest full analysis tool. General suburb data cannot replace a site-specific evaluation.

The Lagoon sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for flood risk. 6% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk flood zones and 71% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in The Lagoon.

The Lagoon (postcode 2795) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (18.6% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (6.4% of land in high-risk zones), riverine flood (6% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across The Lagoon — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.

Local Hazard Evidence

Nearest WaterwayLocal creeks and drainage systems
Elevation RangeRelatively low-lying
Flood Zone ClassificationPotentially subject to inundation

Historical Events

2022
Major

Significant flooding event impacted multiple properties and required evacuations.

2013
Moderate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas.

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade local drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Bushfire Preparedness Planning

Immediate

Develop and implement community-based bushfire preparedness plans, including evacuation routes and firebreaks.

Est. cost: Medium

Heatwave Early Warning System

Near-term

Establish a heatwave early warning system to alert vulnerable populations and provide guidance on staying safe during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Community Education Programs

Long-term

Conduct community education programs to raise awareness of climate change risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Council & Emergency Services

UNKNOWN
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 14 April 2026

Explore The Lagoon Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is The Lagoon at risk of flooding?

Based on available data, The Lagoon has a notable flood risk profile. Flood risk varies by address — check your specific property for precise flood zone mapping and elevation data with ClimateNest.

What flood insurance costs can I expect in The Lagoon?

Insurance costs for flood cover in The Lagoon depend on the property's flood zone classification, elevation, and proximity to waterways. ClimateNest provides address-level insurance cost estimates based on your property's specific hazard exposure.

Does flood risk affect property values in The Lagoon?

Yes, flood risk can affect property values in The Lagoon. Properties in mapped flood zones may experience lower buyer demand, reduced valuations, and higher insurance costs. Lenders increasingly assess flood exposure as part of mortgage risk evaluation.

How does elevation affect flood risk in The Lagoon?

Elevation is a critical factor in flood risk. Properties at higher elevations within The Lagoon typically have lower flood exposure than those near waterways or in low-lying areas. Address-level elevation data combined with BOM flood mapping provides the most accurate picture.

What share of The Lagoon is exposed to high bushfire risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 18.6% of The Lagoon in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 59.3% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is The Lagoon Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for The Lagoon, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections