Is Manly, ACT Climate Safe? 2026 Assessment
Climate Safety Score
5.8/10Moderate climate risk — address-specific
Key Facts
- Climate Safety
- Medium
- Flood
- Manly faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
- Bushfire
- Manly has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hotter and drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
- Heat
- Manly is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
- Storm
- Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms in warmer months
Climate Safety Analysis
Manly in Australian Capital Territory has an overall climate safety rating of Medium. This multi-hazard assessment combines flood, bushfire, heat, coastal, and storm risk data with climate projections to 2050 from CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology.
Key factors affecting Manly's climate safety include heat, flood. Each hazard is assessed independently and combined for an overall picture. Australia has warmed by approximately 1.5 °C since 1910, with flow-on effects to fire weather, extreme rainfall, and heatwave frequency.
Climate safety for property in Manly is not uniform — it varies by address. Factors such as elevation, distance to waterways, proximity to bushland, and local drainage all influence actual risk at a specific property. Two nearby properties can have materially different risk profiles.
For a complete property-specific climate safety report for Manly including address-level hazard mapping, insurance outlook, and adaptation recommendations, use the ClimateNest full analysis tool.
Local Hazard Evidence
Historical Events
A prolonged heatwave resulted in increased hospital admissions and strain on emergency services.
A severe thunderstorm caused flash flooding and property damage in Manly.
The 2003 Canberra bushfires caused widespread destruction and loss of life in the region.
Adaptation & Mitigation Actions
Upgrade drainage infrastructure
Near-termInvest in upgrading drainage infrastructure to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.
Est. cost: High
Implement bushfire prevention measures
ImmediateImplement bushfire prevention measures, such as controlled burns and vegetation management, to reduce the risk of bushfires.
Est. cost: Medium
Develop a heatwave response plan
Near-termDevelop a heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Promote water conservation
Long-termPromote water conservation measures to reduce water demand during periods of drought.
Est. cost: Low
Council & Emergency Services
Explore Manly Risk Reports
View other climate risk assessments for Manly:
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Manly safe from climate change?
No location in Australia is entirely immune to climate change impacts. Manly has an overall Medium climate risk rating. Understanding the specific hazards at your property address — not just the suburb average — provides the most reliable risk picture.
Which climate hazard poses the biggest risk in Manly?
The dominant hazard for Manly depends on geography and local environment. Proximity to waterways elevates flood risk, while proximity to bushland increases bushfire risk. ClimateNest's multi-hazard analysis identifies the highest-risk hazards for any specific address.
How does Manly compare to nearby suburbs for climate safety?
Nearby suburbs may have different climate risk profiles depending on elevation, vegetation cover, drainage patterns, and land use. ClimateNest allows comparison of climate safety scores across Australian Capital Territory suburbs.
Should I be concerned about buying property in Manly?
Climate risk should be one factor in your decision, alongside price, location, and amenity. An informed buyer understands the specific risks at a property address and factors insurance costs and climate projections into their assessment of long-term value.
What climate projections should I know for Manly?
Key projections for Australian Capital Territory from CSIRO include increased average temperatures, more frequent hot days, changes in rainfall seasonality, longer fire seasons, and potential increases in extreme rainfall intensity. These trends inform the long-term outlook for Manly.
Is Manly Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Manly, Australian Capital Territory, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections