Bushfire Risk in Braemar Bay, NSW: 2026 Assessment

Braemar Bay, New South Wales· UNKNOWN
Braemar Bay has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.Updated 26 May 2026

Bushfire Risk Score

4.2/10

Braemar Bay has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key Facts

Bushfire Risk
Braemar Bay has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Trend
increasing
Suburb
Braemar Bay, NSW
Overall Risk
Medium
Postcode
2628
Region
Regional NSW
Median property value
$550,000
Dominant hazard
extreme heat (6/10)
Highest high-risk exposure
11.3% of land (bushfire)

Bushfire Risk Analysis

Braemar Bay, New South Wales, has a braemar bay has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires. bushfire risk profile. Key factors include distance to classified bushland, vegetation type, slope, and historical bushfire activity in the region. The New South Wales fire authority maps bushfire-prone areas and assigns BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) ratings.

Properties on the edge of the suburb are at higher risk.

CSIRO research indicates climate change is extending fire seasons and increasing the number of severe fire weather days across southern and eastern Australia. For Braemar Bay, this may mean shifts in bushfire risk levels over the coming decades, making property-level BAL assessment increasingly important.

Use ClimateNest for a complete address-level bushfire risk report for Braemar Bay including BAL zone assessment, evacuation route mapping, and property-specific risk mitigation recommendations.

Braemar Bay sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for bushfire risk. 11.3% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk bushfire zones and 63.8% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Braemar Bay.

On ClimateNest's 0–10 suburb hazard index, Braemar Bay scores 5 for bushfire risk — a moderate exposure relative to the Australian suburb range. For comparison, properties in Braemar Bay can still sit well above or below this suburb average depending on elevation, distance to waterways or vegetation, and local drainage.

Braemar Bay located in Regional NSW (postcode 2628), is a New South Wales suburb tracked by ClimateNest. The suburb's median property value is $550,000, and understanding climate exposure is becoming a standard part of due diligence for buyers, lenders and insurers pricing property in Braemar Bay.

Across the six hazard axes ClimateNest models, the dominant climate risk in Braemar Bay is extreme heat (score 6/10), with moderate exposure. Insurance signals for the suburb point to premiums rising moderately (+25% by 2030). These suburb-level signals help prioritise which properties need the closest look — the actual risk of any single home can only be confirmed with an address-level report.

Whether you are buying, selling or renovating in Braemar Bay, extreme heat is the hazard to weigh first. Local council planning controls, state hazard mapping and lender climate policies each reference this kind of suburb-level signal, and property decisions in Braemar Bay are increasingly made with an address-level climate report in hand.

Local Hazard Evidence

Distance to Bushland1km
BAL Overlay / ZoneBushfire prone area overlay
Bushfire Prone AreaYes

Historical Events

2020
Major

Significant bushfires impacted the region, causing widespread damage and evacuations.

2013
Moderate

Bushfires in the surrounding area caused smoke haze and elevated fire danger.

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems and implement flood barriers to protect properties.

Est. cost: Medium

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Clear vegetation around properties and develop a bushfire survival plan.

Est. cost: Low

Heatwave Management

Near-term

Establish cooling centers and provide support for vulnerable residents during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Water Conservation

Long-term

Implement water-saving measures to reduce water stress during droughts.

Est. cost: Low

Council & Emergency Services

Local Council
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 26 May 2026

Explore Braemar Bay Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Braemar Bay in a bushfire prone area?

Parts of Braemar Bay may be designated as bushfire prone land. Based on available data, Braemar Bay has a notable bushfire risk. Check your specific property for BAL ratings through ClimateNest or your local council.

What BAL rating applies to properties in Braemar Bay?

BAL ratings in Braemar Bay depend on the property's distance from classified vegetation, vegetation type, and slope. A site-specific assessment under AS 3959 is required to determine the exact BAL rating for any property within the suburb.

Does bushfire risk affect insurance in Braemar Bay?

Yes, properties in bushfire-prone parts of Braemar Bay may face higher building insurance premiums. Insurers assess bushfire risk based on BAL rating, fire history, and proximity to bushland. Some insurers may restrict cover in very high-risk locations.

What bushfire mitigation measures help protect homes in Braemar Bay?

Effective bushfire mitigation includes maintaining cleared asset protection zones, using ember-proof mesh on vents, installing metal gutter guards, using non-combustible building materials, and maintaining defendable space. Consult the New South Wales fire authority for property-specific guidance.

What are the main climate risks in Braemar Bay?

ClimateNest's suburb model rates Braemar Bay's dominant climate risk as extreme heat at 6/10 on a 0–10 index, followed by bushfire (5/10) and damaging wind (4/10). These are suburb-level averages — an address-level report is needed to confirm the risk of a specific property in Braemar Bay.

What share of Braemar Bay is exposed to high bushfire risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 11.3% of Braemar Bay in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 63.8% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Braemar Bay Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Braemar Bay, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections