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Climate Risk in Calamia, NSW

Calamia, New South Wales
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Calamia faces moderate climate risks, particularly from heatwaves and flooding. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
4.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Calamia

increasing

Flood

60/100

Calamia faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
increasing

Bushfire

40/100

Bushfire risk in Calamia is moderate, influenced by surrounding vegetation and dry conditions. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

70/100

Calamia is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

40/100

Calamia faces a low risk from coastal hazards. Sea level rise and storm surges could pose a threat to coastal properties and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Calamia

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Calamia is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.0

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Calamia faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

coastal Risk

40/100

Calamia faces a low risk from coastal hazards. Sea level rise and storm surges could pose a threat to coastal properties and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
  • ·Coastal erosion

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

Bushfire risk in Calamia is moderate, influenced by surrounding vegetation and dry conditions. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Vegetation density

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be negatively impacted by increasing climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and prepare a bushfire survival plan.
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency and cooling options for homes.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Local River
Elevation Range
5-15m
Flood Zone
Partially within flood zone

Some areas near the river are prone to flooding during heavy rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
2km
Planning Overlay
RFS Bushfire Prone Area Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The western edge of the suburb borders bushland, increasing bushfire risk.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
32.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

The suburb experiences several days above 35°C each summer.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
15 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low
Erosion Risk
Low

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Major flooding event impacted the region, causing property damage and displacement.

Source
2013
bushfireMinor

Bushfire near the suburb caused smoke haze and required evacuation of some residents.

Source
2017
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave with temperatures exceeding 40°C for several days.

Source
2020
floodMinor

Localized flooding due to heavy rainfall.

Source
2023
heatwaveModerate

Heatwave conditions with record high temperatures.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire404.3(+0.3)4.7(+0.7)
heat707.8(+0.8)8.5(+1.5)
coastal404.2(+0.2)4.5(+0.5)

By 2030, Calamia is projected to experience a notable increase in heatwave frequency and intensity, along with a moderate increase in flood risk due to more intense rainfall events. Bushfire risk will also increase slightly. Coastal risks remain relatively low.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Develop a heatwave management plan

Immediate

Implement strategies to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, such as cooling centers and community outreach programs.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Upgrade stormwater infrastructure

Near-term

Invest in upgrading stormwater drainage systems to cope with increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement bushfire mitigation measures

Near-term

Undertake vegetation management, create firebreaks, and educate residents on bushfire preparedness.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce water stress during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Calamia's Climate Risk Profile

Calamia is a suburb in New South Wales that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include more frequent and intense heatwaves, increased flooding due to heavier rainfall, and a higher risk of bushfires.

Heatwaves pose a significant threat to the health and well-being of residents, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect can further amplify temperatures in built-up areas.

Flooding is another major concern, with potential for damage to property and infrastructure. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall events, leading to more frequent and severe flooding.

Bushfire risk is also increasing due to drier conditions and higher temperatures. Residents should be aware of bushfire safety measures and have a plan in place in case of an emergency.

Coastal risks are present but less severe than other hazards. Sea level rise and storm surges could impact coastal areas, but the overall risk is considered moderate.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW State Emergency Service · NSW Rural Fire Service · NSW Department of Planning and Environment

Local Government Resources

Local Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Calamia?

The main risks are increased heatwaves, flooding, and bushfires. Sea level rise poses a lower but still present risk.

How will climate change affect property values in Calamia?

Increasing climate risks may negatively impact property values, particularly in areas prone to flooding or bushfires.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Calamia?

Stay indoors during the hottest part of the day, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Calamia?

You can find flood maps and information on the local council's website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.

How can I reduce my bushfire risk in Calamia?

Clear vegetation around your home, have a bushfire survival plan, and stay informed about fire danger ratings.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Calamia, use our analysis tool.

Analyse a Property in Calamia →

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