๐Ÿ“ฎ Centennial Park postcode: 2021

Bushfire Risk in Centennial Park, NSW: 2026 Assessment

Centennial Park, New South Walesยท City of Sydneyยท 2021
Centennial Park has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urban location and lack of significant bushland within the immediate vicinity. However, ember attack from distant fires remains a potential concern.Updated 25 May 2026

Bushfire Risk Score

3.0/10

Centennial Park has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urban location and lack of significant bushland within the immediate vicinity. However, ember attack from distant fires remains a potential concern.

Key Facts

Bushfire Risk
Centennial Park has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urban location and lack of significant bushland within the immediate vicinity. However, ember attack from distant fires remains a potential concern.
Trend
stable
Suburb
Centennial Park, NSW
Overall Risk
Medium
Postcode
2021
Region
Greater Sydney
Median property value
$1.6 million
Dominant hazard
extreme heat (5/10)
Highest high-risk exposure
12.9% of land (bushfire)

Bushfire Risk Analysis

Centennial Park, New South Wales, has a centennial park has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urban location and lack of significant bushland within the immediate vicinity. however, ember attack from distant fires remains a potential concern. bushfire risk profile. Key factors include distance to classified bushland, vegetation type, slope, and historical bushfire activity in the region. The New South Wales fire authority maps bushfire-prone areas and assigns BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) ratings.

While not a designated bushfire prone area, ember attack remains a potential concern during severe bushfire events in surrounding regions.

CSIRO research indicates climate change is extending fire seasons and increasing the number of severe fire weather days across southern and eastern Australia. For Centennial Park, this may mean shifts in bushfire risk levels over the coming decades, making property-level BAL assessment increasingly important.

Use ClimateNest for a complete address-level bushfire risk report for Centennial Park including BAL zone assessment, evacuation route mapping, and property-specific risk mitigation recommendations.

Centennial Park sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for bushfire risk. 12.9% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk bushfire zones and 76.8% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Centennial Park.

On ClimateNest's 0โ€“10 suburb hazard index, Centennial Park scores 2 for bushfire risk โ€” a lower exposure relative to the Australian suburb range. For comparison, properties in Centennial Park can still sit well above or below this suburb average depending on elevation, distance to waterways or vegetation, and local drainage.

Centennial Park located in Greater Sydney (postcode 2021), is a New South Wales suburb tracked by ClimateNest. The suburb's median property value is $1.6 million, and understanding climate exposure is becoming a standard part of due diligence for buyers, lenders and insurers pricing property in Centennial Park.

Across the six hazard axes ClimateNest models, the dominant climate risk in Centennial Park is extreme heat (score 5/10), with moderate exposure. Insurance signals for the suburb point to premiums rising moderately (+20% by 2030). These suburb-level signals help prioritise which properties need the closest look โ€” the actual risk of any single home can only be confirmed with an address-level report.

Whether you are buying, selling or renovating in Centennial Park, extreme heat is the hazard to weigh first. Local council planning controls, state hazard mapping and lender climate policies each reference this kind of suburb-level signal, and property decisions in Centennial Park are increasingly made with an address-level climate report in hand.

Local Hazard Evidence

Distance to Bushland2km to Moore Park
BAL Overlay / ZoneNot significantly overlaid
Bushfire Prone AreaNo

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Increase urban green spaces

Near-term

Plant more trees and create green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade.

Est. cost: Medium

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: High

Develop a heatwave management plan

Immediate

Implement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Promote water-sensitive urban design

Long-term

Incorporate water-sensitive design principles in new developments to reduce stormwater runoff and improve water quality.

Est. cost: Medium

Council & Emergency Services

City of Sydney
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 25 May 2026

Explore Centennial Park Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Centennial Park in a bushfire prone area?

Parts of Centennial Park may be designated as bushfire prone land. Based on available data, Centennial Park has a notable bushfire risk. Check your specific property for BAL ratings through ClimateNest or your local council.

What BAL rating applies to properties in Centennial Park?

BAL ratings in Centennial Park depend on the property's distance from classified vegetation, vegetation type, and slope. A site-specific assessment under AS 3959 is required to determine the exact BAL rating for any property within the suburb.

Does bushfire risk affect insurance in Centennial Park?

Yes, properties in bushfire-prone parts of Centennial Park may face higher building insurance premiums. Insurers assess bushfire risk based on BAL rating, fire history, and proximity to bushland. Some insurers may restrict cover in very high-risk locations.

What bushfire mitigation measures help protect homes in Centennial Park?

Effective bushfire mitigation includes maintaining cleared asset protection zones, using ember-proof mesh on vents, installing metal gutter guards, using non-combustible building materials, and maintaining defendable space. Consult the New South Wales fire authority for property-specific guidance.

What are the main climate risks in Centennial Park?

ClimateNest's suburb model rates Centennial Park's dominant climate risk as extreme heat at 5/10 on a 0โ€“10 index, followed by damaging wind (4/10) and severe storm (4/10). These are suburb-level averages โ€” an address-level report is needed to confirm the risk of a specific property in Centennial Park.

What share of Centennial Park is exposed to high bushfire risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 12.9% of Centennial Park in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 76.8% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform โ€” individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Centennial Park Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Centennial Park, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 ยท Australian addresses only ยท 8 hazard scores ยท Insurance trajectory ยท 2030 & 2050 projections