Bushfire Risk in Clarence, NSW: 2026 Assessment
Bushfire Risk Score
4.0/10The risk of bushfires in Clarence is moderate, influenced by surrounding bushland and dry conditions. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfire events.
Key Facts
- Bushfire Risk
- The risk of bushfires in Clarence is moderate, influenced by surrounding bushland and dry conditions. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfire events.
- Trend
- increasing
- Suburb
- Clarence, NSW
- Overall Risk
- Medium
- Postcode
- 2790
- Region
- Regional NSW
- Median property value
- $550,000
- Dominant hazard
- extreme heat (6/10)
- Highest high-risk exposure
- 12.6% of land (riverine flood)
Bushfire Risk Analysis
Clarence, New South Wales, has a the risk of bushfires in clarence is moderate, influenced by surrounding bushland and dry conditions. climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfire events. bushfire risk profile. Key factors include distance to classified bushland, vegetation type, slope, and historical bushfire activity in the region. The New South Wales fire authority maps bushfire-prone areas and assigns BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) ratings.
The suburb is adjacent to significant bushland areas, increasing the risk of bushfires. Residents should maintain their properties and be prepared for potential fire events.
CSIRO research indicates climate change is extending fire seasons and increasing the number of severe fire weather days across southern and eastern Australia. For Clarence, this may mean shifts in bushfire risk levels over the coming decades, making property-level BAL assessment increasingly important.
Use ClimateNest for a complete address-level bushfire risk report for Clarence including BAL zone assessment, evacuation route mapping, and property-specific risk mitigation recommendations.
Clarence sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for bushfire risk. 10.7% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk bushfire zones and 62.1% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Clarence.
On ClimateNest's 0–10 suburb hazard index, Clarence scores 5 for bushfire risk — a moderate exposure relative to the Australian suburb range. For comparison, properties in Clarence can still sit well above or below this suburb average depending on elevation, distance to waterways or vegetation, and local drainage.
Clarence located in Regional NSW (postcode 2790), is a New South Wales suburb tracked by ClimateNest. The suburb's median property value is $550,000, and understanding climate exposure is becoming a standard part of due diligence for buyers, lenders and insurers pricing property in Clarence.
Across the six hazard axes ClimateNest models, the dominant climate risk in Clarence is extreme heat (score 6/10), with moderate exposure. Insurance signals for the suburb point to premiums rising moderately (+25% by 2030). These suburb-level signals help prioritise which properties need the closest look — the actual risk of any single home can only be confirmed with an address-level report.
Whether you are buying, selling or renovating in Clarence, extreme heat is the hazard to weigh first. Local council planning controls, state hazard mapping and lender climate policies each reference this kind of suburb-level signal, and property decisions in Clarence are increasingly made with an address-level climate report in hand.
Local Hazard Evidence
Historical Events
The 2019-2020 bushfires, known as the Black Summer, impacted the region around Clarence, causing significant smoke haze and raising concerns about property damage.
Bushfires in the surrounding areas threatened Clarence, requiring residents to be prepared for evacuation.
Adaptation & Mitigation Actions
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risks, such as levees, drainage systems, and flood-resistant building designs.
Est. cost: High
Enhance Bushfire Preparedness
Near-termImplement bushfire management strategies, including controlled burns, vegetation clearing, and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Develop Heatwave Action Plan
ImmediateCreate a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations, including establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Plan for Sea Level Rise
Long-termDevelop a coastal management plan to address the impacts of sea level rise, including protecting coastal infrastructure and ecosystems.
Est. cost: High
Council & Emergency Services
Explore Clarence Risk Reports
View other climate risk assessments for Clarence:
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Clarence in a bushfire prone area?
Parts of Clarence may be designated as bushfire prone land. Based on available data, Clarence has a notable bushfire risk. Check your specific property for BAL ratings through ClimateNest or your local council.
What BAL rating applies to properties in Clarence?
BAL ratings in Clarence depend on the property's distance from classified vegetation, vegetation type, and slope. A site-specific assessment under AS 3959 is required to determine the exact BAL rating for any property within the suburb.
Does bushfire risk affect insurance in Clarence?
Yes, properties in bushfire-prone parts of Clarence may face higher building insurance premiums. Insurers assess bushfire risk based on BAL rating, fire history, and proximity to bushland. Some insurers may restrict cover in very high-risk locations.
What bushfire mitigation measures help protect homes in Clarence?
Effective bushfire mitigation includes maintaining cleared asset protection zones, using ember-proof mesh on vents, installing metal gutter guards, using non-combustible building materials, and maintaining defendable space. Consult the New South Wales fire authority for property-specific guidance.
What are the main climate risks in Clarence?
ClimateNest's suburb model rates Clarence's dominant climate risk as extreme heat at 6/10 on a 0–10 index, followed by bushfire (5/10) and damaging wind (4/10). These are suburb-level averages — an address-level report is needed to confirm the risk of a specific property in Clarence.
What share of Clarence is exposed to high riverine flood risk?
ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 12.6% of Clarence in high-risk zones for riverine flood, with a further 63.6% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.
Is Clarence Safe from Climate Risk?
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