Climate Risk in Collombatti, New South Wales
Collombatti faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also a concern. Climate change is projected to increase the severity of these hazards. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Overall Risk Score
Confidence: Medium
Hazard Breakdown
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Collombatti
Flood
Collombatti faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Macleay River and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
The area around Collombatti has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Collombatti is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Collombatti is located inland and has a low risk of coastal hazards. Sea level rise is not expected to directly impact the suburb.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
Wind
Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts
Storm
Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail
Social
Moderate social stability — mixed urban density
Energy
Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Collombatti
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Collombatti is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
7.5
2050
8.0
flood Risk
Collombatti faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Macleay River and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Riverine flooding
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
7.0
2050
7.5
coastal Risk
Collombatti is located inland and has a low risk of coastal hazards. Sea level rise is not expected to directly impact the suburb.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
1.5
2050
1.5
bushfire Risk
The area around Collombatti has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
Projections (RCP8.5)
2030
4.7
2050
5.2
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to increased flood and bushfire risk.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and property protection measures.
- 3.Consider energy efficiency and cooling options for heatwaves.
Local Climate Evidence
Flood Evidence
- Nearest Waterway
- Macleay River
- Elevation Range
- 5-20m
- Flood Zone
- Yes
The Macleay River has a history of flooding, impacting low-lying areas in Collombatti.
View council flood mapBushfire Evidence
- Distance to Bushland
- Adjacent
- Planning Overlay
- https://www.rfs.nsw.gov.au/plan-and-prepare/bush-fire-prone-land
- Bushfire Prone Area
- Yes
Areas surrounding Collombatti are designated as bushfire-prone, requiring specific building standards.
Heat Evidence
- Avg January Max Temp
- 31.5°C
- Heat Stress Days/Year
- 3 days
Collombatti experiences several days above 35°C each summer, increasing heat stress risk.
Coastal Evidence
- Distance to Coast
- 15 km
- Sea Level Rise Exposure
- Low
- Erosion Risk
- Low
Historical Climate Events
The Macleay River flooded, impacting low-lying areas in Collombatti and surrounding regions.
SourceBushfires impacted areas near Collombatti, causing property damage and evacuations.
SourceSevere storms caused damage to property and infrastructure in the Kempsey region.
SourceSignificant flooding occurred along the Macleay River, affecting Collombatti and surrounding areas.
SourceClimate Outlook to 2050
Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5
| Hazard | Today | 2030 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| flood | 65 | 7.0(+0.5) | 7.5(+1.0) |
| bushfire | 42 | 4.5(+0.3) | 4.9(+0.7) |
| heat | 70 | 7.7(+0.7) | 8.5(+1.5) |
| coastal | 15 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
By 2030, Collombatti is projected to experience increased flooding and heatwave risks under a high emissions scenario.
CSIRO Climate ProjectionsAdaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termConstruct levees and improve drainage systems to reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreManage Vegetation
ImmediateClear vegetation around properties to reduce bushfire fuel load.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreInstall Cooling Systems
Near-termInstall air conditioning or other cooling systems to cope with heatwaves.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop Emergency Plans
ImmediateCreate and practice emergency plans for floods, bushfires, and heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Collombatti's Climate Risk Profile
Collombatti, located in the Kempsey region of New South Wales, is vulnerable to several climate-related hazards. The suburb's proximity to the Macleay River increases its risk of flooding, which is expected to worsen with climate change due to increased rainfall intensity. Heatwaves are also a significant concern, with projections indicating more frequent and intense heat events in the future.
The surrounding bushland contributes to a moderate bushfire risk. Hotter, drier conditions are likely to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires, posing a threat to properties and residents. While coastal hazards are less of a direct concern due to Collombatti's inland location, the broader regional impacts of sea level rise could indirectly affect the suburb.
Understanding these risks is crucial for residents and property owners in Collombatti. Taking proactive measures to adapt to climate change, such as improving flood defenses, managing vegetation around properties, and preparing for heatwaves, can help mitigate the potential impacts. Staying informed about local weather conditions and emergency alerts is also essential.
The local council and emergency services play a vital role in managing climate risks. Residents should familiarize themselves with local emergency plans and resources, and participate in community initiatives to enhance resilience. By working together, the community can better prepare for and respond to the challenges posed by climate change.
Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · Kempsey Shire Council
Local Government Resources
Kempsey Shire Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Collombatti?
The main risks are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a moderate bushfire risk.
How will climate change affect property values in Collombatti?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value. Increased insurance premiums are also likely.
What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Collombatti?
Install air conditioning or other cooling systems, stay hydrated, and avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day.
How can I protect my property from bushfires in Collombatti?
Clear vegetation around your property, install fire-resistant building materials, and have a bushfire survival plan.
Where can I find information about local emergency plans in Collombatti?
Visit the Kempsey Shire Council website or the NSW State Emergency Service website.
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