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Climate Risk Profile: Croobyar, NSW

Croobyar, New South Wales· 2546
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Croobyar faces increasing climate risks, particularly from heatwaves and flooding. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events. Long-term planning is needed to mitigate these risks.

Overall Risk Score

55/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.0
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
7.0
Coastal
5.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Croobyar

increasing

Flood

60/100

Croobyar faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
increasing

Bushfire

40/100

Croobyar has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

70/100

Croobyar is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
increasing

Coastal

50/100

Croobyar faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and erosion. These risks are expected to increase with climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Croobyar

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

70/100

Croobyar is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.5

2050

8.5

Data source

flood Risk

60/100

Croobyar faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Inadequate drainage

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

50/100

Croobyar faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and erosion. These risks are expected to increase with climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

5.5

2050

6.5

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

Croobyar has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.5

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks

Price Impact

Property values may be negatively impacted by increasing climate risks

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and building standards
  • 3.Consider the impact of heatwaves on property value
  • 4.Evaluate potential sea level rise impacts

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Clyde River
Elevation Range
5-20 meters
Flood Zone
Partially within flood zone

Historical flood data indicates inundation in low-lying areas near the Clyde River.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent to bushland
Planning Overlay
RFS Bush Fire Prone Land Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

The area is designated as bushfire prone, requiring specific building standards for new constructions.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
28.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
3 days

Average January maximum temperature is projected to increase by 1-2 degrees Celsius by 2050.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
10 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
Low-lying areas may be affected by sea level rise
Erosion Risk
Minimal erosion risk

Historical Climate Events

2011
floodModerate

Major flooding of the Clyde River caused widespread damage.

Source
2019
bushfireMajor

Severe bushfires impacted the region, causing property damage and evacuations.

Source
2017
stormModerate

Severe storms caused power outages and property damage.

Source
2020
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions impacted vulnerable populations.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood606.5(+0.5)7.0(+1.0)
bushfire404.3(+0.3)4.8(+0.8)
heat707.7(+0.7)8.5(+1.5)
coastal505.4(+0.4)5.9(+0.9)

By 2030, Croobyar is projected to experience a notable increase in heatwave frequency and intensity, along with a heightened risk of flooding due to more intense rainfall events. Bushfire risk will also increase slightly. Coastal risks will also increase slightly.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade drainage infrastructure and implement flood barriers to protect properties from flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement bushfire management strategies, including fuel reduction and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Response Plan

Immediate

Establish a heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Plan for Sea Level Rise

Long-term

Develop a long-term plan to address the impacts of sea level rise on coastal areas.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Near-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce water stress during droughts.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Croobyar's Climate Risk Profile

Croobyar is a suburb in New South Wales that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include more frequent and intense heatwaves, increased flooding due to heavier rainfall, and a moderate risk of bushfires.

The risk of heatwaves is a significant concern, particularly for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The increasing frequency and intensity of heatwaves can lead to heat stress, heatstroke, and other health problems.

Flooding is another major risk, with the potential for significant damage to property and infrastructure. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe flooding events. The suburb's proximity to waterways exacerbates this risk.

Bushfire risk is moderate, with the potential for fires to spread from surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires, posing a threat to homes and businesses.

Coastal risks are also present, with sea level rise and increased storm intensity posing a threat to coastal areas. These risks are expected to increase over time, potentially leading to erosion and inundation.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW RFS · Eurobodalla Shire Council

Local Government Resources

Eurobodalla Shire Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Croobyar?

The main climate change risks in Croobyar are increased heatwaves, flooding, and bushfires. Sea level rise also poses a threat to coastal areas.

How will climate change affect property values in Croobyar?

Climate change is likely to negatively impact property values in Croobyar due to increased risks of flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Croobyar?

To prepare for heatwaves, stay hydrated, stay indoors during the hottest part of the day, and check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

What should I do during a flood in Croobyar?

During a flood, move to higher ground, avoid driving through floodwaters, and follow the instructions of emergency services.

How can I protect my home from bushfires in Croobyar?

To protect your home from bushfires, clear vegetation around your home, install fire-resistant building materials, and have a bushfire survival plan.

Where can I find information about local emergency services?

Information about local emergency services can be found on the NSW Emergency Services website.

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