๐Ÿ“ฎ Horsley postcode: 2530

Flood Risk in Horsley, NSW: 2026 Assessment

Horsley, New South Walesยท Wollongongยท 2530
Horsley faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.Updated 30 May 2026

Flood Risk Score

6.5/10

Horsley faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key Facts

Flood Risk
Horsley faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Trend
increasing
Suburb
Horsley, NSW
Overall Risk
Medium
Postcode
2530
Highest high-risk exposure
10.7% of land (bushfire)

Flood Risk Analysis

Horsley, located in New South Wales, has a notable flood risk profile based on available data including proximity to waterways, elevation, and historical flood events. The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) maintains river height and flood warning data for catchments across New South Wales.

Historical flood data indicates past events impacting low-lying areas near Mullet Creek.

Horsley faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

For a comprehensive property-specific flood assessment including address-level elevation data, flood overlay mapping, and insurance cost estimates, use the ClimateNest full analysis tool. General suburb data cannot replace a site-specific evaluation.

Horsley sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for flood risk. 9.5% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk flood zones and 78.5% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Horsley.

Horsley (postcode 2530) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (10.7% of land in high-risk zones), riverine flood (9.5% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (7.2% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Horsley โ€” individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.

Local Hazard Evidence

Nearest WaterwayMullet Creek
Elevation Range5-20m
Flood Zone ClassificationPartially within identified flood zones

Historical Events

2022
Moderate

Heavy rainfall led to flash flooding in parts of Horsley, affecting local businesses and residences.

2011
Moderate

Major flooding in the Wollongong area impacted Horsley, causing property damage and road closures.

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Immediate

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Implement Heatwave Early Warning System

Near-term

Develop a system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on staying safe.

Est. cost: Medium

Bushfire Risk Mitigation

Near-term

Implement vegetation management programs and promote fire-resistant building materials to reduce bushfire risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Community Education Programs

Long-term

Educate residents about climate risks and preparedness measures, including emergency planning and home adaptation.

Est. cost: Low

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water-saving practices to mitigate the impacts of drought and water scarcity.

Est. cost: Low

Council & Emergency Services

Wollongong City Council
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 30 May 2026

Explore Horsley Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Horsley at risk of flooding?

Based on available data, Horsley has a notable flood risk profile. Flood risk varies by address โ€” check your specific property for precise flood zone mapping and elevation data with ClimateNest.

What flood insurance costs can I expect in Horsley?

Insurance costs for flood cover in Horsley depend on the property's flood zone classification, elevation, and proximity to waterways. ClimateNest provides address-level insurance cost estimates based on your property's specific hazard exposure.

Does flood risk affect property values in Horsley?

Yes, flood risk can affect property values in Horsley. Properties in mapped flood zones may experience lower buyer demand, reduced valuations, and higher insurance costs. Lenders increasingly assess flood exposure as part of mortgage risk evaluation.

How does elevation affect flood risk in Horsley?

Elevation is a critical factor in flood risk. Properties at higher elevations within Horsley typically have lower flood exposure than those near waterways or in low-lying areas. Address-level elevation data combined with BOM flood mapping provides the most accurate picture.

What share of Horsley is exposed to high bushfire risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 10.7% of Horsley in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 83.9% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform โ€” individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Horsley Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Horsley, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 ยท Australian addresses only ยท 8 hazard scores ยท Insurance trajectory ยท 2030 & 2050 projections