Bushfire Risk in Jolly Nose, NSW: 2026 Assessment

Jolly Nose, New South Wales· UNKNOWN
The risk of bushfires in Jolly Nose is moderate, given the presence of surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are projected to elevate this risk.Updated 10 May 2026

Bushfire Risk Score

4.2/10

The risk of bushfires in Jolly Nose is moderate, given the presence of surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are projected to elevate this risk.

Key Facts

Bushfire Risk
The risk of bushfires in Jolly Nose is moderate, given the presence of surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are projected to elevate this risk.
Trend
increasing
Suburb
Jolly Nose, NSW
Overall Risk
Medium
Postcode
2445
Highest high-risk exposure
9.5% of land (bushfire)

Bushfire Risk Analysis

Jolly Nose, New South Wales, has a the risk of bushfires in jolly nose is moderate, given the presence of surrounding bushland. drier conditions and higher temperatures are projected to elevate this risk. bushfire risk profile. Key factors include distance to classified bushland, vegetation type, slope, and historical bushfire activity in the region. The New South Wales fire authority maps bushfire-prone areas and assigns BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) ratings.

The western edge of Jolly Nose borders bushland, increasing the risk of bushfire spread during dry periods.

CSIRO research indicates climate change is extending fire seasons and increasing the number of severe fire weather days across southern and eastern Australia. For Jolly Nose, this may mean shifts in bushfire risk levels over the coming decades, making property-level BAL assessment increasingly important.

Use ClimateNest for a complete address-level bushfire risk report for Jolly Nose including BAL zone assessment, evacuation route mapping, and property-specific risk mitigation recommendations.

Jolly Nose sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for bushfire risk. 9.5% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk bushfire zones and 80.2% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Jolly Nose.

Jolly Nose (postcode 2445) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (9.5% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (5.7% of land in high-risk zones), riverine flood (4.1% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Jolly Nose — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.

Local Hazard Evidence

Distance to BushlandWithin 1km
BAL Overlay / Zonehttps://www.rfs.nsw.gov.au/plan-and-prepare/bush-fire-prone-land
Bushfire Prone AreaYes

Historical Events

2017
Minor

A bushfire near Jolly Nose threatened properties but was contained by firefighters.

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Upgrade Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Improve drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Implement Bushfire Management Strategies

Near-term

Reduce fuel loads and create firebreaks to protect properties from bushfires.

Est. cost: Medium

Develop a Heatwave Response Plan

Immediate

Establish cooling centers and provide support for vulnerable residents during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Protect Coastal Ecosystems

Long-term

Restore and protect coastal vegetation to buffer against sea level rise and erosion.

Est. cost: Medium

Raise Community Awareness

Near-term

Educate residents about climate change risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Council & Emergency Services

MidCoast Council
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 10 May 2026

Explore Jolly Nose Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Jolly Nose in a bushfire prone area?

Parts of Jolly Nose may be designated as bushfire prone land. Based on available data, Jolly Nose has a notable bushfire risk. Check your specific property for BAL ratings through ClimateNest or your local council.

What BAL rating applies to properties in Jolly Nose?

BAL ratings in Jolly Nose depend on the property's distance from classified vegetation, vegetation type, and slope. A site-specific assessment under AS 3959 is required to determine the exact BAL rating for any property within the suburb.

Does bushfire risk affect insurance in Jolly Nose?

Yes, properties in bushfire-prone parts of Jolly Nose may face higher building insurance premiums. Insurers assess bushfire risk based on BAL rating, fire history, and proximity to bushland. Some insurers may restrict cover in very high-risk locations.

What bushfire mitigation measures help protect homes in Jolly Nose?

Effective bushfire mitigation includes maintaining cleared asset protection zones, using ember-proof mesh on vents, installing metal gutter guards, using non-combustible building materials, and maintaining defendable space. Consult the New South Wales fire authority for property-specific guidance.

What share of Jolly Nose is exposed to high bushfire risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 9.5% of Jolly Nose in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 80.2% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Jolly Nose Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Jolly Nose, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections