Flood Risk in Lake Burrendong, NSW: 2026 Assessment

Lake Burrendong, New South Wales· Mid-Western Regional
Lake Burrendong is at high risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Burrendong Dam and the Macquarie River. Heavy rainfall events can lead to rapid increases in water levels, inundating low-lying areas.Updated 29 May 2026

Flood Risk Score

8.5/10

Lake Burrendong is at high risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Burrendong Dam and the Macquarie River. Heavy rainfall events can lead to rapid increases in water levels, inundating low-lying areas.

Key Facts

Flood Risk
Lake Burrendong is at high risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Burrendong Dam and the Macquarie River. Heavy rainfall events can lead to rapid increases in water levels, inundating low-lying areas.
Trend
increasing
Suburb
Lake Burrendong, NSW
Overall Risk
High
Postcode
2820
Highest high-risk exposure
16% of land (bushfire)

Flood Risk Analysis

Lake Burrendong, located in New South Wales, has a notable flood risk profile based on available data including proximity to waterways, elevation, and historical flood events. The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) maintains river height and flood warning data for catchments across New South Wales.

Burrendong Dam is a major water storage facility, but its capacity can be exceeded during extreme rainfall events, leading to downstream flooding.

Lake Burrendong is at high risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Burrendong Dam and the Macquarie River. Heavy rainfall events can lead to rapid increases in water levels, inundating low-lying areas.

For a comprehensive property-specific flood assessment including address-level elevation data, flood overlay mapping, and insurance cost estimates, use the ClimateNest full analysis tool. General suburb data cannot replace a site-specific evaluation.

Lake Burrendong sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for flood risk. 6.2% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk flood zones and 87.8% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Lake Burrendong.

Lake Burrendong (postcode 2820) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (16% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (7% of land in high-risk zones), riverine flood (6.2% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Lake Burrendong — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.

Local Hazard Evidence

Nearest WaterwayMacquarie River
Elevation Range250-300m
Flood Zone ClassificationAreas adjacent to the Macquarie River and Burrendong Dam

Historical Events

2023
Moderate

Heavy rainfall caused moderate flooding in low-lying areas around Lake Burrendong.

2017
Moderate

Moderate flooding along the Macquarie River caused minor damage to properties and infrastructure.

2010
Major

Major flooding along the Macquarie River impacted Lake Burrendong and surrounding areas, causing significant damage to infrastructure and properties.

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Upgrade flood defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to protect properties from flooding, such as levees and improved drainage systems.

Est. cost: High

Implement bushfire management strategies

Immediate

Reduce fuel loads around properties and implement community fire management plans.

Est. cost: Medium

Develop a heatwave response plan

Near-term

Establish cooling centers and provide support to vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Promote water conservation

Long-term

Implement measures to conserve water resources and manage drought conditions.

Est. cost: Low

Council & Emergency Services

Mid-Western Regional Council
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 29 May 2026

Explore Lake Burrendong Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Lake Burrendong at risk of flooding?

Based on available data, Lake Burrendong has a notable flood risk profile. Flood risk varies by address — check your specific property for precise flood zone mapping and elevation data with ClimateNest.

What flood insurance costs can I expect in Lake Burrendong?

Insurance costs for flood cover in Lake Burrendong depend on the property's flood zone classification, elevation, and proximity to waterways. ClimateNest provides address-level insurance cost estimates based on your property's specific hazard exposure.

Does flood risk affect property values in Lake Burrendong?

Yes, flood risk can affect property values in Lake Burrendong. Properties in mapped flood zones may experience lower buyer demand, reduced valuations, and higher insurance costs. Lenders increasingly assess flood exposure as part of mortgage risk evaluation.

How does elevation affect flood risk in Lake Burrendong?

Elevation is a critical factor in flood risk. Properties at higher elevations within Lake Burrendong typically have lower flood exposure than those near waterways or in low-lying areas. Address-level elevation data combined with BOM flood mapping provides the most accurate picture.

What share of Lake Burrendong is exposed to high bushfire risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 16% of Lake Burrendong in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 54.5% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Lake Burrendong Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Lake Burrendong, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections