📮 Little Bay postcode: 2036

Bushfire Risk in Little Bay, NSW: 2026 Assessment

Little Bay, New South Wales· Randwick· 2036
The bushfire risk in Little Bay is relatively low due to its urbanized environment and limited proximity to dense bushland. However, dry vegetation in nearby parks and reserves can pose a localized risk during hot and windy conditions.Updated 25 May 2026

Bushfire Risk Score

3.2/10

The bushfire risk in Little Bay is relatively low due to its urbanized environment and limited proximity to dense bushland. However, dry vegetation in nearby parks and reserves can pose a localized risk during hot and windy conditions.

Key Facts

Bushfire Risk
The bushfire risk in Little Bay is relatively low due to its urbanized environment and limited proximity to dense bushland. However, dry vegetation in nearby parks and reserves can pose a localized risk during hot and windy conditions.
Trend
stable
Suburb
Little Bay, NSW
Overall Risk
Medium
Postcode
2036
Highest high-risk exposure
15.7% of land (bushfire)

Bushfire Risk Analysis

Little Bay, New South Wales, has a the bushfire risk in little bay is relatively low due to its urbanized environment and limited proximity to dense bushland. however, dry vegetation in nearby parks and reserves can pose a localized risk during hot and windy conditions. bushfire risk profile. Key factors include distance to classified bushland, vegetation type, slope, and historical bushfire activity in the region. The New South Wales fire authority maps bushfire-prone areas and assigns BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) ratings.

While not a high-risk area, residents should maintain awareness of fire safety during the bushfire season.

CSIRO research indicates climate change is extending fire seasons and increasing the number of severe fire weather days across southern and eastern Australia. For Little Bay, this may mean shifts in bushfire risk levels over the coming decades, making property-level BAL assessment increasingly important.

Use ClimateNest for a complete address-level bushfire risk report for Little Bay including BAL zone assessment, evacuation route mapping, and property-specific risk mitigation recommendations.

Little Bay sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for bushfire risk. 15.7% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk bushfire zones and 58.3% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Little Bay.

Little Bay (postcode 2036) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (15.7% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (6.1% of land in high-risk zones), coastal inundation (4.6% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Little Bay — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.

Local Hazard Evidence

Distance to Bushland1 km to Malabar Headland National Park
BAL Overlay / ZoneNot significantly affected by bushfire prone area overlay.
Bushfire Prone AreaNo

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Improve stormwater drainage

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater infrastructure to handle increased rainfall and reduce the risk of flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Implement coastal protection measures

Long-term

Construct seawalls and other coastal defenses to protect against erosion and sea level rise.

Est. cost: High

Develop a heatwave management plan

Immediate

Establish cooling centers and provide public education on heat safety to mitigate the impacts of heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Promote water conservation

Near-term

Encourage residents to conserve water to reduce strain on water resources during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Council & Emergency Services

Randwick City Council
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 25 May 2026

Explore Little Bay Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Little Bay in a bushfire prone area?

Parts of Little Bay may be designated as bushfire prone land. Based on available data, Little Bay has a notable bushfire risk. Check your specific property for BAL ratings through ClimateNest or your local council.

What BAL rating applies to properties in Little Bay?

BAL ratings in Little Bay depend on the property's distance from classified vegetation, vegetation type, and slope. A site-specific assessment under AS 3959 is required to determine the exact BAL rating for any property within the suburb.

Does bushfire risk affect insurance in Little Bay?

Yes, properties in bushfire-prone parts of Little Bay may face higher building insurance premiums. Insurers assess bushfire risk based on BAL rating, fire history, and proximity to bushland. Some insurers may restrict cover in very high-risk locations.

What bushfire mitigation measures help protect homes in Little Bay?

Effective bushfire mitigation includes maintaining cleared asset protection zones, using ember-proof mesh on vents, installing metal gutter guards, using non-combustible building materials, and maintaining defendable space. Consult the New South Wales fire authority for property-specific guidance.

What share of Little Bay is exposed to high bushfire risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 15.7% of Little Bay in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 58.3% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Little Bay Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Little Bay, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections