Bushfire Risk in Little Pelican, NSW: 2026 Assessment

Little Pelican, New South Wales· UNKNOWN
The risk of bushfire in Little Pelican is moderate, given the presence of surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood of bushfires.Updated 21 May 2026

Bushfire Risk Score

4.0/10

The risk of bushfire in Little Pelican is moderate, given the presence of surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key Facts

Bushfire Risk
The risk of bushfire in Little Pelican is moderate, given the presence of surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Trend
increasing
Suburb
Little Pelican, NSW
Overall Risk
Medium
Postcode
2281
Highest high-risk exposure
8.7% of land (bushfire)

Bushfire Risk Analysis

Little Pelican, New South Wales, has a the risk of bushfire in little pelican is moderate, given the presence of surrounding bushland. drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood of bushfires. bushfire risk profile. Key factors include distance to classified bushland, vegetation type, slope, and historical bushfire activity in the region. The New South Wales fire authority maps bushfire-prone areas and assigns BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) ratings.

Properties bordering bushland are at higher risk.

CSIRO research indicates climate change is extending fire seasons and increasing the number of severe fire weather days across southern and eastern Australia. For Little Pelican, this may mean shifts in bushfire risk levels over the coming decades, making property-level BAL assessment increasingly important.

Use ClimateNest for a complete address-level bushfire risk report for Little Pelican including BAL zone assessment, evacuation route mapping, and property-specific risk mitigation recommendations.

Little Pelican sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for bushfire risk. 8.7% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk bushfire zones and 73.9% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Little Pelican.

Little Pelican (postcode 2281) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (8.7% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (5.7% of land in high-risk zones), riverine flood (3.5% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Little Pelican — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.

Local Hazard Evidence

Distance to BushlandAdjacent to bushland reserves
BAL Overlay / ZoneRFS Bush Fire Prone Land Map
Bushfire Prone AreaYes

Historical Events

2013
Moderate

Bushfires threatened properties near Little Pelican.

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Improve drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Develop a heatwave response plan

Immediate

Implement a plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves, including cooling centers and outreach programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Implement coastal protection measures

Long-term

Construct seawalls and other coastal protection measures to reduce the impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Est. cost: Very High

Promote energy efficiency

Near-term

Encourage residents to adopt energy-efficient practices to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and lower energy bills.

Est. cost: Low

Council & Emergency Services

Lake Macquarie City Council
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 21 May 2026

Explore Little Pelican Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Little Pelican in a bushfire prone area?

Parts of Little Pelican may be designated as bushfire prone land. Based on available data, Little Pelican has a notable bushfire risk. Check your specific property for BAL ratings through ClimateNest or your local council.

What BAL rating applies to properties in Little Pelican?

BAL ratings in Little Pelican depend on the property's distance from classified vegetation, vegetation type, and slope. A site-specific assessment under AS 3959 is required to determine the exact BAL rating for any property within the suburb.

Does bushfire risk affect insurance in Little Pelican?

Yes, properties in bushfire-prone parts of Little Pelican may face higher building insurance premiums. Insurers assess bushfire risk based on BAL rating, fire history, and proximity to bushland. Some insurers may restrict cover in very high-risk locations.

What bushfire mitigation measures help protect homes in Little Pelican?

Effective bushfire mitigation includes maintaining cleared asset protection zones, using ember-proof mesh on vents, installing metal gutter guards, using non-combustible building materials, and maintaining defendable space. Consult the New South Wales fire authority for property-specific guidance.

What share of Little Pelican is exposed to high bushfire risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 8.7% of Little Pelican in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 73.9% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Little Pelican Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Little Pelican, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections