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Climate Risk in Llandilo, New South Wales

Llandilo, New South Wales· Penrith· 2747
Medium Risk
Updated May 2026

Llandilo faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with increasing bushfire risk. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these hazards, requiring proactive adaptation measures.

Overall Risk Score

52/100
Medium

Confidence: Medium

Hazard Breakdown

Flood
6.5
Bushfire
4.0
Heat
6.0
Coastal
1.0

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Llandilo

increasing

Flood

65/100

Llandilo faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Hawkesbury River and local creeks. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways
increasing

Bushfire

40/100

The area around Llandilo has some bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
increasing

Heat

60/100

Llandilo is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
stable

Coastal

10/100

Llandilo is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

stable

Wind

28/100

Moderate wind risk — East Coast Lows and gust fronts

stable

Storm

39/100

Moderate storm risk — severe thunderstorms and hail

stable

Social

21/100

Moderate social stability — mixed urban density

increasing

Energy

35/100

Moderate energy costs — climate-driven cooling demand

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Llandilo

Should I Buy

Property buying guide with climate risk assessment

Flood Risk

Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections

Bushfire Risk

BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history

Climate Safety

Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050

Storm Risk

Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis

Heat Risk

Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs

Insurance Costs

Premium estimates and insurance availability

Investment Score

Climate-adjusted property investment analysis

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

60/100

Llandilo is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

6.5

2050

7.0

Data source

flood Risk

65/100

Llandilo faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Hawkesbury River and local creeks. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways
  • ·Urban development

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

7.0

2050

7.5

Data source

coastal Risk

10/100

Llandilo is not directly exposed to coastal risks.

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

1.0

2050

1.0

Data source

bushfire Risk

40/100

The area around Llandilo has some bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load

Projections (RCP8.5)

2030

4.5

2050

5.0

Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency and cooling options for heatwaves.
  • 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related risks.

Local Climate Evidence

Flood Evidence

Nearest Waterway
Hawkesbury River
Elevation Range
20-40m
Flood Zone
Likely

Historical flood data indicates that parts of Llandilo are susceptible to inundation during heavy rainfall events.

View council flood map

Bushfire Evidence

Distance to Bushland
Adjacent
Planning Overlay
RFS Bush Fire Prone Land Map
Bushfire Prone Area
Yes

Properties bordering bushland areas are at higher risk during bushfire season.

Heat Evidence

Avg January Max Temp
31.5°C
Heat Stress Days/Year
5 days

The number of days exceeding 35°C is projected to increase in the coming decades.

Coastal Evidence

Distance to Coast
50 km
Sea Level Rise Exposure
None
Erosion Risk
None

Historical Climate Events

1990
floodModerate

Major flooding of the Hawkesbury River impacted low-lying areas of Llandilo.

Source
2001
bushfireModerate

Bushfires in the surrounding areas threatened properties in Llandilo.

Source
2011
floodModerate

Significant rainfall caused flooding in parts of Llandilo.

Source
2013
heatwaveModerate

Prolonged heatwave conditions impacted the health of vulnerable residents.

Source
2020
floodModerate

Heavy rainfall led to flooding along the Hawkesbury River, affecting Llandilo.

Source

Climate Outlook to 2050

Projections based on CSIRO and BOM climate modelling. Scenario: RCP8.5

HazardToday20302050
flood657.0(+0.5)7.5(+1.0)
bushfire404.3(+0.3)4.5(+0.5)
heat606.7(+0.7)7.2(+1.2)
coastal101.01.0

By 2030, Llandilo is projected to experience a moderate increase in overall climate risk, primarily driven by increased flooding and heatwave intensity.

CSIRO Climate Projections

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in levees and drainage systems to protect properties from flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Develop a community heat action plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Bushfire Risk Mitigation

Near-term

Implement bushfire risk reduction measures, including vegetation management and community education.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Improve Building Standards

Long-term

Update building codes to incorporate climate resilience measures, such as flood-resistant materials and energy-efficient design.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Immediate

Conduct community workshops and awareness campaigns to educate residents about climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Llandilo's Climate Risk Profile

Llandilo, located in the Penrith region of New South Wales, is subject to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding due to its proximity to the Hawkesbury River, and increasing heatwave frequency and intensity. Bushfire risk is also present due to surrounding bushland.

Flooding is a significant concern, with potential for increased rainfall intensity leading to more frequent and severe flood events. The Hawkesbury River and local creeks pose a threat to properties in low-lying areas. Effective flood management strategies are crucial to mitigate these risks.

Heatwaves are becoming more common and intense, posing health risks to vulnerable populations, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions. Urban planning and infrastructure design should consider heat mitigation strategies to reduce the impact of extreme heat.

Bushfire risk is present due to the surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires, requiring proactive bushfire management and community preparedness.

While coastal risks are minimal, the overall climate risk profile of Llandilo necessitates a comprehensive approach to climate adaptation, including infrastructure upgrades, community awareness programs, and emergency response planning.

Data sources: BOM · CSIRO · NSW SES · NSW RFS · Penrith City Council

Local Government Resources

Penrith City Council

Climate StrategyFlood MapsEmergency Services

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Llandilo?

Llandilo faces risks from flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires, which are expected to worsen with climate change.

How is Penrith City Council addressing climate change?

Penrith City Council has implemented a climate strategy focused on reducing emissions and building resilience to climate impacts.

What can I do to protect my property from flooding in Llandilo?

You can implement flood-proofing measures, such as raising electrical outlets and installing flood barriers. Check the Penrith City Council website for more information.

How can I prepare for heatwaves in Llandilo?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors during heatwaves. Follow advice from NSW Health.

What should I do during a bushfire in Llandilo?

Follow the advice of the NSW Rural Fire Service. Have a bushfire survival plan and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.

Where can I find information about flood maps for Llandilo?

Flood maps are available on the Penrith City Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.

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