Bushfire Risk in Mulgrave, NSW: 2026 Assessment
Bushfire Risk Score
6.0/10Mulgrave faces a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions caused by climate change are projected to increase bushfire frequency and intensity.
Key Facts
- Bushfire Risk
- Mulgrave faces a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions caused by climate change are projected to increase bushfire frequency and intensity.
- Trend
- increasing
- Suburb
- Mulgrave, NSW
- Overall Risk
- High
- Postcode
- 2756
- Highest high-risk exposure
- 11.6% of land (bushfire)
Bushfire Risk Analysis
Mulgrave, New South Wales, has a mulgrave faces a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. hotter, drier conditions caused by climate change are projected to increase bushfire frequency and intensity. bushfire risk profile. Key factors include distance to classified bushland, vegetation type, slope, and historical bushfire activity in the region. The New South Wales fire authority maps bushfire-prone areas and assigns BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) ratings.
The area surrounding Mulgrave is classified as bushfire prone.
CSIRO research indicates climate change is extending fire seasons and increasing the number of severe fire weather days across southern and eastern Australia. For Mulgrave, this may mean shifts in bushfire risk levels over the coming decades, making property-level BAL assessment increasingly important.
Use ClimateNest for a complete address-level bushfire risk report for Mulgrave including BAL zone assessment, evacuation route mapping, and property-specific risk mitigation recommendations.
Mulgrave sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for bushfire risk. 11.6% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk bushfire zones and 77.5% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Mulgrave.
Mulgrave (postcode 2756) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (11.6% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (8% of land in high-risk zones), extreme wind (7.3% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Mulgrave — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.
Local Hazard Evidence
Historical Events
Bushfires in the Hawkesbury region caused smoky conditions in Mulgrave.
Adaptation & Mitigation Actions
Improve Flood Defenses
ImmediateInvest in flood levees and drainage systems to protect properties from flooding.
Est. cost: High
Develop a Heat Action Plan
Near-termCreate a community heat action plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Medium
Bushfire Risk Mitigation
Near-termImplement bushfire risk reduction measures, such as clearing vegetation around properties.
Est. cost: Low
Upgrade Building Codes
Long-termUpdate building codes to require new buildings to be more resilient to climate change impacts.
Est. cost: High
Community Awareness Programs
ImmediateEducate residents about climate risks and how to prepare for extreme weather events.
Est. cost: Low
Council & Emergency Services
Explore Mulgrave Risk Reports
View other climate risk assessments for Mulgrave:
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Mulgrave in a bushfire prone area?
Parts of Mulgrave may be designated as bushfire prone land. Based on available data, Mulgrave has a notable bushfire risk. Check your specific property for BAL ratings through ClimateNest or your local council.
What BAL rating applies to properties in Mulgrave?
BAL ratings in Mulgrave depend on the property's distance from classified vegetation, vegetation type, and slope. A site-specific assessment under AS 3959 is required to determine the exact BAL rating for any property within the suburb.
Does bushfire risk affect insurance in Mulgrave?
Yes, properties in bushfire-prone parts of Mulgrave may face higher building insurance premiums. Insurers assess bushfire risk based on BAL rating, fire history, and proximity to bushland. Some insurers may restrict cover in very high-risk locations.
What bushfire mitigation measures help protect homes in Mulgrave?
Effective bushfire mitigation includes maintaining cleared asset protection zones, using ember-proof mesh on vents, installing metal gutter guards, using non-combustible building materials, and maintaining defendable space. Consult the New South Wales fire authority for property-specific guidance.
What share of Mulgrave is exposed to high bushfire risk?
ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 11.6% of Mulgrave in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 77.5% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.
Is Mulgrave Safe from Climate Risk?
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