Bushfire Risk in Pagewood, NSW: 2026 Assessment
Bushfire Risk Score
3.0/10The bushfire risk in Pagewood is relatively low due to its urban location and limited proximity to dense bushland. However, grassfires can still pose a threat during dry periods.
Key Facts
- Bushfire Risk
- The bushfire risk in Pagewood is relatively low due to its urban location and limited proximity to dense bushland. However, grassfires can still pose a threat during dry periods.
- Trend
- stable
- Suburb
- Pagewood, NSW
- Overall Risk
- Medium
- Postcode
- 2035
- Highest high-risk exposure
- 12.6% of land (bushfire)
Bushfire Risk Analysis
Pagewood, New South Wales, has a the bushfire risk in pagewood is relatively low due to its urban location and limited proximity to dense bushland. however, grassfires can still pose a threat during dry periods. bushfire risk profile. Key factors include distance to classified bushland, vegetation type, slope, and historical bushfire activity in the region. The New South Wales fire authority maps bushfire-prone areas and assigns BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) ratings.
While not a high-risk area, residents should maintain their properties to reduce grassfire hazards.
CSIRO research indicates climate change is extending fire seasons and increasing the number of severe fire weather days across southern and eastern Australia. For Pagewood, this may mean shifts in bushfire risk levels over the coming decades, making property-level BAL assessment increasingly important.
Use ClimateNest for a complete address-level bushfire risk report for Pagewood including BAL zone assessment, evacuation route mapping, and property-specific risk mitigation recommendations.
Pagewood sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for bushfire risk. 12.6% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk bushfire zones and 58.1% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Pagewood.
Pagewood (postcode 2035) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (12.6% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (8.3% of land in high-risk zones), coastal inundation (6.1% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Pagewood — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.
Local Hazard Evidence
Adaptation & Mitigation Actions
Upgrade stormwater drainage infrastructure
Near-termImprove the capacity and resilience of the stormwater drainage system to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: High
Implement heatwave early warning system
ImmediateDevelop and implement a heatwave early warning system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on how to stay safe.
Est. cost: Low
Protect and restore coastal ecosystems
Long-termProtect and restore coastal ecosystems, such as mangroves and saltmarshes, to provide natural buffers against sea level rise and storm surges.
Est. cost: Medium
Promote water-sensitive urban design
Near-termIncorporate water-sensitive urban design principles in new developments to reduce stormwater runoff and improve water quality.
Est. cost: Medium
Council & Emergency Services
Explore Pagewood Risk Reports
View other climate risk assessments for Pagewood:
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Pagewood in a bushfire prone area?
Parts of Pagewood may be designated as bushfire prone land. Based on available data, Pagewood has a notable bushfire risk. Check your specific property for BAL ratings through ClimateNest or your local council.
What BAL rating applies to properties in Pagewood?
BAL ratings in Pagewood depend on the property's distance from classified vegetation, vegetation type, and slope. A site-specific assessment under AS 3959 is required to determine the exact BAL rating for any property within the suburb.
Does bushfire risk affect insurance in Pagewood?
Yes, properties in bushfire-prone parts of Pagewood may face higher building insurance premiums. Insurers assess bushfire risk based on BAL rating, fire history, and proximity to bushland. Some insurers may restrict cover in very high-risk locations.
What bushfire mitigation measures help protect homes in Pagewood?
Effective bushfire mitigation includes maintaining cleared asset protection zones, using ember-proof mesh on vents, installing metal gutter guards, using non-combustible building materials, and maintaining defendable space. Consult the New South Wales fire authority for property-specific guidance.
What share of Pagewood is exposed to high bushfire risk?
ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 12.6% of Pagewood in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 58.1% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.
Is Pagewood Safe from Climate Risk?
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