๐Ÿ“ฎ Pagewood postcode: 2035

Flood Risk in Pagewood, NSW: 2026 Assessment

Pagewood, New South Walesยท Baysideยท 2035
Pagewood faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The area's drainage infrastructure may be challenged during intense downpours.Updated 2 May 2026

Flood Risk Score

6.0/10

Pagewood faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The area's drainage infrastructure may be challenged during intense downpours.

Key Facts

Flood Risk
Pagewood faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The area's drainage infrastructure may be challenged during intense downpours.
Trend
increasing
Suburb
Pagewood, NSW
Overall Risk
Medium
Postcode
2035
Highest high-risk exposure
12.6% of land (bushfire)

Flood Risk Analysis

Pagewood, located in New South Wales, has a notable flood risk profile based on available data including proximity to waterways, elevation, and historical flood events. The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) maintains river height and flood warning data for catchments across New South Wales.

Historical flood events have impacted properties in low-lying areas of Pagewood. Council is undertaking studies to improve drainage infrastructure.

Pagewood faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The area's drainage infrastructure may be challenged during intense downpours.

For a comprehensive property-specific flood assessment including address-level elevation data, flood overlay mapping, and insurance cost estimates, use the ClimateNest full analysis tool. General suburb data cannot replace a site-specific evaluation.

Pagewood sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for flood risk. 3.2% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk flood zones and 81.1% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Pagewood.

Pagewood (postcode 2035) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (12.6% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (8.3% of land in high-risk zones), coastal inundation (6.1% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Pagewood โ€” individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.

Local Hazard Evidence

Nearest WaterwayBotany Bay
Elevation Range5-20 meters
Flood Zone ClassificationAreas near Botany Bay and low-lying areas are susceptible to flooding.

Historical Events

2022
Moderate

Heavy rainfall caused localized flooding in low-lying areas of Pagewood, impacting some residential properties.

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Upgrade stormwater drainage infrastructure

Near-term

Improve the capacity and resilience of the stormwater drainage system to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Implement heatwave early warning system

Immediate

Develop and implement a heatwave early warning system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on how to stay safe.

Est. cost: Low

Protect and restore coastal ecosystems

Long-term

Protect and restore coastal ecosystems, such as mangroves and saltmarshes, to provide natural buffers against sea level rise and storm surges.

Est. cost: Medium

Promote water-sensitive urban design

Near-term

Incorporate water-sensitive urban design principles in new developments to reduce stormwater runoff and improve water quality.

Est. cost: Medium

Council & Emergency Services

Bayside Council
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 2 May 2026

Explore Pagewood Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Pagewood at risk of flooding?

Based on available data, Pagewood has a notable flood risk profile. Flood risk varies by address โ€” check your specific property for precise flood zone mapping and elevation data with ClimateNest.

What flood insurance costs can I expect in Pagewood?

Insurance costs for flood cover in Pagewood depend on the property's flood zone classification, elevation, and proximity to waterways. ClimateNest provides address-level insurance cost estimates based on your property's specific hazard exposure.

Does flood risk affect property values in Pagewood?

Yes, flood risk can affect property values in Pagewood. Properties in mapped flood zones may experience lower buyer demand, reduced valuations, and higher insurance costs. Lenders increasingly assess flood exposure as part of mortgage risk evaluation.

How does elevation affect flood risk in Pagewood?

Elevation is a critical factor in flood risk. Properties at higher elevations within Pagewood typically have lower flood exposure than those near waterways or in low-lying areas. Address-level elevation data combined with BOM flood mapping provides the most accurate picture.

What share of Pagewood is exposed to high bushfire risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 12.6% of Pagewood in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 58.1% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform โ€” individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Pagewood Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Pagewood, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 ยท Australian addresses only ยท 8 hazard scores ยท Insurance trajectory ยท 2030 & 2050 projections