Flood Risk in Toms Creek, NSW: 2026 Assessment

Toms Creek, New South Wales· UNKNOWN
Toms Creek faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flood events.Updated 10 May 2026

Flood Risk Score

6.0/10

Toms Creek faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flood events.

Key Facts

Flood Risk
Toms Creek faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flood events.
Trend
increasing
Suburb
Toms Creek, NSW
Overall Risk
Medium
Postcode
2446
Highest high-risk exposure
17.8% of land (bushfire)

Flood Risk Analysis

Toms Creek, located in New South Wales, has a notable flood risk profile based on available data including proximity to waterways, elevation, and historical flood events. The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) maintains river height and flood warning data for catchments across New South Wales.

Historical flood data indicates that Toms Creek has experienced flooding in the past, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall.

Toms Creek faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially leading to more frequent and severe flood events.

For a comprehensive property-specific flood assessment including address-level elevation data, flood overlay mapping, and insurance cost estimates, use the ClimateNest full analysis tool. General suburb data cannot replace a site-specific evaluation.

Toms Creek sits within ClimateNest's suburb-level hazard model for flood risk. 7.3% of the suburb's land area is mapped in high-risk flood zones and 82% in moderate-risk zones, based on the national hazard overlay. Exposure at this scale varies street by street, which is why an address-level check matters before you buy or insure a specific property in Toms Creek.

Toms Creek (postcode 2446) is tracked in ClimateNest's suburb hazard model, which maps the share of the suburb's land exposed to each hazard at high and moderate levels. The suburb's highest high-risk exposures are bushfire (17.8% of land in high-risk zones), surface flood (8.2% of land in high-risk zones), riverine flood (7.3% of land in high-risk zones). Exposure is not uniform across Toms Creek — individual properties can sit well above or below these averages, so an address-level check is recommended before buying, selling or insuring.

Local Hazard Evidence

Nearest WaterwayToms Creek
Elevation Range50-100m
Flood Zone ClassificationModerate

Historical Events

2022
Moderate

Significant flooding occurred in the region, impacting Toms Creek and surrounding areas.

2013
Moderate

Heavy rainfall caused Toms Creek to flood, affecting several homes and businesses.

Adaptation & Mitigation Actions

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risks, such as levees, drainage systems, and flood-resistant building designs.

Est. cost: High

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire management strategies, including vegetation clearing, fire breaks, and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Develop Heatwave Response Plan

Near-term

Establish a heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable populations, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce water stress during periods of drought and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Council & Emergency Services

UNKNOWN
Emergency Services

Data last updated: 10 May 2026

Explore Toms Creek Risk Reports

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Toms Creek at risk of flooding?

Based on available data, Toms Creek has a notable flood risk profile. Flood risk varies by address — check your specific property for precise flood zone mapping and elevation data with ClimateNest.

What flood insurance costs can I expect in Toms Creek?

Insurance costs for flood cover in Toms Creek depend on the property's flood zone classification, elevation, and proximity to waterways. ClimateNest provides address-level insurance cost estimates based on your property's specific hazard exposure.

Does flood risk affect property values in Toms Creek?

Yes, flood risk can affect property values in Toms Creek. Properties in mapped flood zones may experience lower buyer demand, reduced valuations, and higher insurance costs. Lenders increasingly assess flood exposure as part of mortgage risk evaluation.

How does elevation affect flood risk in Toms Creek?

Elevation is a critical factor in flood risk. Properties at higher elevations within Toms Creek typically have lower flood exposure than those near waterways or in low-lying areas. Address-level elevation data combined with BOM flood mapping provides the most accurate picture.

What share of Toms Creek is exposed to high bushfire risk?

ClimateNest's hazard overlay maps 17.8% of Toms Creek in high-risk zones for bushfire, with a further 69.7% in moderate-risk zones. Suburb-level exposure is not uniform — individual properties can differ from these averages, so an address-level check is recommended.

Is Toms Creek Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Toms Creek, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$69 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$69 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections